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-   -   10/13: Belmont (Columbus Day Card) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=25569)

Kasept 10-13-2008 08:01 AM

10/13: Belmont (Columbus Day Card)
 
It's Columbus Day, which always makes me think of John Turturro as Herbie Stempel in "Quiz Show": "You know why they call them Indians? Because Columbus thought he was in India. They're "Indians" because some white guy got lost."

Caught a few winners and exotics in attempt at double carryover Sunday, but fell far short there and later in the P4. $460,000 payday went to a deserving single ticketholder in the sextet, as the sequence was supremely difficult to traverse. Hope you did OK...

Nice holiday card on tap at Big Sandy today with lovely weather forecast. Looked at the whole 10 races. Enjoy Columbus Day as they do in New York... with a parade and cannolis! "And tell Gene Krupa to take 5.."


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Flibberjibit 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Seeing Clearly 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Talented Princess 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 My Nina Rose 15-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE 9-5 WON
Best Value: #6 West Court 8-1 6th
Next Best: #4 False Impression 6-1 7th


3rd: The Trapp Mountain, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 9-5 WON
Next Best: #4 Uncle Gidge 5-2 4th


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 SCR
Best Value: #1 Clay County 6-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Charging Hero 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Cool Tales 8-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (1-4) Paid $9.90
$1 Trifecta (1-4-6) Paid $26.00



5th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 The Plot Thickens 6-1 6th
Most Likely: #8 Up for Love 2-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Benton Drive 5-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Routine Addendum 8-1 2nd


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 5
3: 1-3-4-5
4: 1-4-5-6-7
5: 4-8

1x4x5x2 = $40


6th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Wildbutable 7-2 5th
Best Value: #7 SCR
Next Best: #9 SCR
Exotics Use: #5 Sneaky Deeds 6-1 4th


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1e K. O'Brien entry 5-1 2nd/6th
Most Likely: #9 Skipping Class 3-1 5th
Next Best: #2 My Anna Rose 4-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 My Montana Dream 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (2-1) Paid $16.30
$1 Trifecta (2-1-7) Paid $109.50



8th: 16th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Zee Zee 9-2 10th
Most Likely: #9 Remarkable Remy 7-2 WON
Next Best: #2 Meriwether Jessica 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Fareena 12-1 6th


9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5-IT (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Logic Way 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Stormy Mirage 8-1 5th
Next Best: #8 Big Jerome 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Baletti 9-2 3rd


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Best Value: #7 Seven in a Row 8-1 4th
Most Likely: #11 Fast Learner 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cordilleran Ice 5-2 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Spinnaker Run 30-1 9th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-2-5-7-9-11
8: 9-10
9: 7
10: 1-6-7-11

6x2x1x4 = $48

$1 Pick 4 (2/9/7,10/6) Paid $354.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 10-13-2008 11:55 AM

1
10 Chicago's Girl Early

4
3 Masterwork Early

6
6 Lacy Halo Early NO TRIFECTA or SUPERFECTA
7 Cleverly Regal Early
8 Amongooseamongus Early
9 Gus's Axios Early

7
6 Kettlencranberry Early
12 Sweet Bama Breeze Early
13 Indycat Early
14 Indy's Forum Early
15 Cougar Hunt Early

8
1 Ready for Fortune Early
1A Time Reveals All Early

9
10 Marq of Love Early

pointman 10-13-2008 12:13 PM

Decided to take the day off, so . . . let's play some horses! Stab at early pk4:

2- 5
3- 1,3,4
4- 4,6,7
5- 3,4,5,8,10

Good Luck!

Payson Dave 10-13-2008 01:46 PM

Steve...on fire thru the first 4... keep it going

Kasept 10-13-2008 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Payson Dave
Steve...on fire thru the first 4... keep it going

Thx Dave, though it hasn't exactly taken Kreskin here for the first 4. Would like to grab this chalky P4 though before finalizing tonight's Show.. Anyone have the will pays for the 4 and 8? I only saw the P3 payouts..

pointman 10-13-2008 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx Dave, though it hasn't exactly taken Kreskin here for the first 4. Would like to grab this chalky P4 though before finalizing tonight's Show.. Anyone have the will pays for the 4 and 8? I only saw the P3 payouts..

4- 322
8- 104

I am a bonehead for leaving the 1 out of last. Considering how chalky so far, willpays to anything other than the 8 (who I think is overbet here) are not bad.

I like the 3 here, playing $20W 3, tri - 3/4,8,10. Good Luck, Steve!

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 02:07 PM

Square price on The Plot Thickens

$20 win

pointman 10-13-2008 02:14 PM

Wow, Arroyo went down bad! That did not look good, looked like he got kicked in the head. I hope he is ok.

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 02:15 PM

That was unfortunate. Yikes.

pointman 10-13-2008 02:29 PM

Jason Blewitt reporting that Arroyo concious, on way to North Shore Hospital.

pointman 10-13-2008 02:38 PM

Think the 2 is a fair price in the 6th, $20W 2.

SCUDSBROTHER 10-13-2008 02:52 PM

LOL..Are they running Meadowlands and Belmont at the same time? ...Wow:eek: :tro:

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 03:09 PM

Race 7

$5wp North Ocean Drive

pointman 10-13-2008 03:10 PM

Taking a shot on a deep ticket in pk4:

7- 1,2,5,9
8- 8,9
9- 1,4,7,8
10- 5,6,7,8,12

Good Luck!

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 03:41 PM

Race 8

Senior Rita Lady $15 wp

pointman 10-13-2008 04:12 PM

I like Thou Swell's chances to take them around the park, $20W 4, $2 EX 4/1,7,8,9, good luck!

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 04:13 PM

Race 9

ex/tri 7/1,5,8
$15 and $18

Coach Pants 10-13-2008 04:19 PM

One of these days we'll see a 27 and 53 and the same outcome.

kenny p 10-13-2008 04:25 PM

Bring it home Steve...


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