9/13: BEL (5th-10th) + Misc. Stakes
 

Monster carryover at Belmont became a little anti-climatic with early chalk ($6.00, $5.40, $4.90) coming through in the first half before $12.20, $9.40 and $10.00 winners closed out the sextet. Wager ultimately returned $9,000+, which should have rewarded even those that invested heavily in the sequence.

Saturday features an eclectic mix of stakes action all over the country, highlighted by Belmont's quartet of quality events and Big Brown returning to the turf in a much tougher than expected "Monmouth Stakes". Kentucky Downs opens for their 6 day run with the Kentucky Cup races expecting to draw a big crowd just north of Nashville. In Chicago, the Arlington-Washington Park Futurity drew an overflow crowd of 14 2yo colts and geldings, and may be the best betting race of the day.

Weather will be a concern on the Eastern Seaboard, but for now, it looks like the turf courses won't get any softer than they already are...


BELMONT PARK


5th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD)

This is some terrific Maiden gathering.. Many here chased hot babies..

Most Likely: #1 Royal Vindication 9-2: Nice pair offers value.. WON $13.40
Next Best: #7 Daimon's Glory 3-1: Chief's bay did all but win in bow.. 3rd
Best Value: #6 Grizzly Peak 12-1 9th
Exotics Use: #2 Darley entry 5-2 2nd

$1 Exacta (1-2) Paid $32.25
$1 Trifecta (1-2-7) Paid $119.25


6th: 21st Noble Damsel (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sefroua 9-2: 3yo Euro invader gets give in grass.. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Chestoria 8-1: Buried in Diana but eligible to snap back..
Next Best: #6 Criminologist 3-1: Chance on best sure, but where's best been? WON $4.70
Exotics Use: #5 Trouble Maker 6-1: Consistant, honest board hitter.. 4th


7th: 119th Futurity (Gr. II), 2yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Tremendously competitive group..

Most Likely: #7 Charitable Man 7-5: KMC LDK colt mature, quick.. WON $4.80
Best Value: #2 Kensei 15-1: $300k bay can sit trip if speed duel cooks.. 5th
Next Best: #5 Gone Astray 3-1: Shug's Dixie Union may be overlooked.. 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Friesan Fire 10-1: Can't ignore L. Jones here with 2.. 3rd


8th: 102nd Matron (Gr. II), 2yo-F, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 DOREMIFASOLLATIDO 4-1: Chased Mani B; Has tactical edge.. WON $8.80
Best Value: #8 Persistently 8-1: Overlaid ML on rallying Phipps miss.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Heavenly Vision 5-2: Baffert Forestry miss can gun or stalk.. 5th
Exotics Use: #2 On the Menu 10-1: Gov. Jones' homebred will lost on board.. 7th

$1 Exacta (1-8) Paid $26.50


9th: 113th Gazelle (Gr. I), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Music Note 2-5: Isn't 2-5 in my book; Likely, but no immortal.. WON $2.10
Next Best: #3 SCR
Best Value: #4 Mega 20-1: Pletcher owns; Looking for Gr. I placing.. 4th


10th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

1-5/WON $7.50-8


<$200 P6 Play:

5: 1-2-5-6-7
6: 8
7: 2-5-7
8: 1
9: 3/SCR-5
10: 1-5-8

5x1x3x1x2x3 = 90 x $2 = $180

$2 Pick 6 (1-2/6-7-1-3/5-5) 5 Correct Paid $25.60 (X 2 = $51.20)


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 2-5-7
8: 1-2-6-8
9: 3-5
10: 1-5-8

3x4x2x3 = $72

$1 Pick 4 (7-1-3/5-5) 4 Correct Paid $64.00 (X 2 = $128.00)


MONMOUTH PARK


9th (4:52pm): The Monmouth, $500,000, 3+, 9f-T

For those that are unsure of what a "bet-against" looks like, it is Big Brown in this spot.. And note that Shakis may hate the off going and is coming off a big performance.. Will look to beat BOTH of these short-priced horses..

Most Likely: #6 Proudinsky 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #5 Kiss the Kid 10-1 9th
Next Best: #7 SCR



ARLINGTON PARK

The day's best betting race.. Wide open..

10th: 74th Arlington-Washington Futurity (Gr. II), 2yo, 1m

Best Value: #10 Terrain 10-1 WON $18.20
Most Likely #8 My Dominick James 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Jose Adan 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Ready Racer 12-1 8th

$1 Exacta (10-6) Paid $123.20



PRESQUE ISLE DOWNS

7th (8:00pm): 2nd PID Masters, $400,000, F&M-3+, 6f ($2 Super)

Most Likely: #5 Miss Macy Sue 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #2 Ride Em Cowgirl 10-1 5th
Next Best: #12 Wild Gams 7-2 WON $8.40
Exotics Use: #4 Miss Blue Tye Dye 12-1 7th


Good luck!
Steve

Only the 6th stays on the turf at Belmont.

Uggh...


Thx Andy...

It rained pretty hard for a while.

The good news is that it's warm and beautiful today, and supposed to be the same tomorrow, so maybe tomorrow will be OK.

Belmont changes...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

As of 12:30 today, # 7 & 10 scratched

Rained at various degrees most of yesterday afternoon and last night.
Cloudy but no rain so far today. Weather reports says no rain until after 7:00 pm. They list the turf as good. They have been working hard to get it back in shape for this race after letting it go over the summer. A shame after what they spent last year on for BC.

What does this consist of exactly? If the turf is listed as good, then they really need to be running on it.

All I meant was that I'm a little surprised that with all the rain that it's listed as good. Really just trying to give those who aren't in the area a little info on condition, weather etc. Heading over to the track around 3. Good luck

Serious race from a serious horse...CHARITABLE MAN!

yes, very strong today... i think the #4 might have a future as well, he ran third today

Going against the experts and taking SHAKIS!!!!

thanks steve...for do re mi... made lotsa cash on the 1-8-5!!!!!! i had the 8=5 as my top two.... 408 tri.... bam... bam ... shamalamadingdong..... had it twice and only about 70 invested..... and a great call if you missed it....lol

Great handicapping. ...Terrain!:$:
Thanks for all you do.

Willie..

More than welcome.. Good work. I didn't see who was going to beat DOREMI there...

G2B,

Thx so much.. We'll take it on the DQ or otherwise. I thought he was the 'right' horse at the 'right' price going in... I have to watch the replay a few more times... Glad it worked out in our direction though I know a few took the short end of the decision..