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-   -   8/31: Saratoga (Spinaway; Saranac) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24811)

Kasept 08-31-2008 05:29 AM

8/31: Saratoga (Spinaway; Saranac)
 
The highly anticipated closing weekend Saturday produced underwhelming results all around, though Warn and Freedom Bay helped keep the afternoon from being a fiasco at the windows. First Defense's runaway win in the Forego was impressive, while Curlin's workaday performance in the Woodward was humdrum and yawn-inducing. Final Sunday of the meet has some OK spots as I continue to look forward to Monday and a break... Hope you did well Saturday...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM/N2L, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Shaami 4-1
Best Value: #5 Sacred Icon 5-1
Next Best: #4 Ya Think 3-1 WON
Super Add: #8 Stolen Greeting 12-1


MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Zito entry 9-5
Next Best: #8 Big Flirt 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mr. Jolson 15-1


3rd: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Retribution 3-1
Best Value: #9 Sky Dragon 6-1
Next Best: #3 Hangingbyathread 5-1


4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

How is a Super not available here? This is one of the day's best betting races with some logical 'troubled trip last out' runners and 2-3 well priced 'must use' types..

Most Likely: #7 Americas Dreaming 5-2
Best Value: #6 Classofsixtythree 20-1
Next Best: #2 Bambolina 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #3 Scintillation 5-1

SPOT PLAY: Key 6 1st/2nd in tris with 2-3-5-7 (1x4x3 = 12 x 2 = $24.00)


5th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Love for a Price 5-2
Best Value: #10 Walkabout Winner 6-1 WON
Next Best: #9 Tom and Dicks Girl 4-1
Exotics Use: #11 Magic Shop 15-1


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-8
3: 1-9
4: 2-3-6-7
5: 8-9-10

2x2x4x3 = $48


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #11 Amanwella 4-1
Best Value: #6 Song of Charm 20-1
Next Best: #13 Critical 5-1
Super Add: #3 Pearl of Valor 12-1


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super)

Crazy race..

Most Likely: #2 Secret Gypsy 2-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Victorious Dream 20-1
Next Best: #8 A Rose for You 12-1
Super Add: #9 Dulcet Tone 6-1


8th: The Caveat Comptor, 3yo-F, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Zubani 20-1
Most Likely: #1 Sea Chanter 3-1
Next Best: #5 Remarkable Remy 10-1 WON
Super Add: #4 Ready for Fortune 12-1


9th: The Saranac (Gr. III), 3yo, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Ready's Echo 5-2
Best Value: #6 Marlang 5-1 WON
Next Best: #3 Nistle's Crunch 3-1
Super Add: #4 Schopenhauer 12-1


10th: The Spinaway (Gr. I), 2yo-F, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Mani Bhavan 5-2
Best Value: #4 Jardin 5-1
Next Best: #3 Casanova Move 4-1
Super Add: #1 Girlfrienontheside 15-1


11th: CLM, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Talented Princess 5-1
Best Value: #8 Spirited Seacat 15-1
Next Best: #1 Whateverwillbwillb 8-1
Super Add: #9 Positive Prospect 9-2


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-4-5
9: 5-6
10: 3-4-8
11: 1-3-8

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

philcski 08-31-2008 08:53 AM

4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

How is a Super not available here? This is one of the day's best betting races with some logical 'troubled trip last out' runners and 2-3 well priced 'must use' types..

Same reason as I had called into the show about a couple days ago... superfectas are not offered in NY on any races with coupled entries. Yet another reason to do away with them.

On a side note, why was there no Sixty Minute Six yesterday? Website listed it as 'cancelled'... I hope they didn't can it already...

GPK 08-31-2008 09:05 AM

Isn't the Saranac the same race Rock Lobster won 2 years ago? Now he's running for a 35k tag.

hockey2315 08-31-2008 12:05 PM

Race 6
 
I've been eagerly waiting for this Carroll horse to run back, but now that I look at her first race again more objectively I'm not quite as impressed. I'll probably throw some money on her so if she wins I don't go insane, but not the type of money I was planning to bet. . .

Ronnie 08-31-2008 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
On a side note, why was there no Sixty Minute Six yesterday? Website listed it as 'cancelled'... I hope they didn't can it already...

I thought I got an email that was the last one scheduled, there was no carryover and there was lack of interest. They will evaluate if they will have it next year.

MISTERGEE 08-31-2008 01:34 PM

how bout pletcher entry in the 4th to take it all the way

Coach Pants 08-31-2008 01:37 PM

I like the 2 in the 4th

MISTERGEE 08-31-2008 01:55 PM

good one pants. i went to key box your pick with mine in the 4th but there wasnt enough time. it was a nice tri. i will key distinctive doc in the 5th. he is 9-1 now and with no trouble jusy may hit the board for a tri

Coach Pants 08-31-2008 02:09 PM

Thanks

I like The Ag in this race...not enough to bet though.

eajinabi 08-31-2008 02:33 PM

My pick of the day is CRITICAL in the 6th.

Working well at AQU only to be shipped to SAR today. Dutrow could easily wait for Belmont meet but seems to me this horse is fit and ready for today.
If he wins, it will cap off a decent pick 3 score for me.

IrishofNDMan 08-31-2008 02:40 PM

In the 6th I'm playing the 10 Sweet Ariette to win/place.

Coach Pants 08-31-2008 03:47 PM

Late Pick 4
1,8,11
1,3
4,8
4,5,7
$36

Coach Pants 08-31-2008 03:55 PM

That's what I get for picking Captain Suck-Up's horse over Kimmel's.

Cannon Shell 08-31-2008 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
Isn't the Saranac the same race Rock Lobster won 2 years ago? Now he's running for a 35k tag.

THE LOBSTER!!!!!

MISTERGEE 08-31-2008 05:13 PM

steve alive with 3 nice ones in the pick 4

XIIPointStables 08-31-2008 05:24 PM

Been playing most of the day with modest gain.

This #3 in the finale looks like they sort of pointed for this, if pointing to a claiming race is even possible. I would love to see Walder's Turf Route/Sprint - not that this is a perfect fit but 1 3/4 to a mile is a pretty serious cutback.

Coach Pants 08-31-2008 05:29 PM

Taking Factual Number and also boxing with the 4,5.

GPK 08-31-2008 05:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
THE LOBSTER!!!!!


Rat Lobster....will never forgive him for winning that year. :zz:

MISTERGEE 08-31-2008 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MISTERGEE
steve alive with 3 nice ones in the pick 4

damn ran 2nd


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