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-   -   8/30: Saratoga (Woodward; Forego) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24797)

Kasept 08-30-2008 08:57 AM

8/30: Saratoga (Woodward; Forego)
 
Limping towards Monday finale as final third of meet has ostensibly been a series of mediocre to poor efforts after bankroll buildup during the first 4 weeks. Quality cards to close out the last 72 hours of the Spa, and hope to wrap up this great session on a positive.


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: CLM, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 King Mobay 5-2 7th
Best Value: #4 Blowout 12-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Terrific Storm 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Por Favor 4-1 5th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Sharif Al Medina 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Saint 20-1 9th; #7 Lion's Circle 20-1 8th
Next Best: #5 Storm Harbor 7-2 4th
Super Add: #10 Offshore 8-1 2nd


3rd: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Rollers 9-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Benlayla 6-1
Next Best: #2 Benny the Waiter 2-1 2nd
Super Add: #1a SCR


4th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Chief Talkeetna 5-2 WON
Best Value: #9 SCR
Next Best: #8 T.J.'s Posse 7-2 4th
Super Add: #7 SCR


5th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Jamaludin 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Lucky Will 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Moore Miles 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Warn 15-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 3-5-7-8-10
3: 2-5
4: 4-8
5: 2-4-9-11

5x2x2x4 = $80


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Western Fable 5-2 WON
Best Value: #10 The Cuff Shooter 12-1 8th
Next Best: #2 French Action 2-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Don't You Linger 12-1 5th


7th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Understatement 5-1 6th
Best Value: #5 August Rex 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 Sammarco 5-2 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Freedom Bay 10-1 WON


8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Speed Limit 4-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Fast Draw 12-1 4th
Next Best: #9 Hello Broadway 5-1 WON
Exotics Use: #11 Pious David 12-1 11th


9th: 29th Forego (Gr. I), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Lucky Island 8-5 6th
Best Value: #9 Tasteyville 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Eternal Star 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Bold Start 10-1 8th


10th: 55th Woodward (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Curlin 3-5 WON
Best Value: #7 Out of Control 12-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Divine Park 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #8 Wanderin Boy 8-1 3rd


11th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #7 TRANSIT OF VENUS 7-2 9th
Best Value: #11 Casey's Joy 9-2 8th
Next Best: #9 Came Close 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Cabazon 12-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 1-3-4-6-9
9: 3-7-9
10: 4-5-7-8
11: 7

5x3x4x1 = $60


Good luck!
Steve

TheSpyder 08-30-2008 09:29 AM

I thought the first was more than interesting where Garcia is riding for Pletcher for the first time at the meet and Velazquez turns to Aro for the mount. With speed playing well at 1 1/8 distance both are poised to at the front. This will be as much a jockeys race as horse race.

Spyder

CSC 08-30-2008 11:00 AM

Just concentrating on one Pick 3 today Races 8-10.

Hoping for a few upsets in the 8th and 10th in hopes of a better payout. Will not play Curlin in the 10th. G'luck

$10 Pick 3,

1,6,7,9/7/4,8

docicu3 08-30-2008 11:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Just concentrating on one Pick 3 today Races 8-10.

Hoping for a few upsets in the 8th and 10th in hopes of a better payout. Will not play Curlin in the 10th. G'luck

$10 Pick 3,

1,6,7,9/7/4,8

What is with these "trying to beat Curlin" posts.....do yourself a favor and spread on the other two races and at least you have a chance othwise your just giving it away....

pointman 08-30-2008 12:20 PM

Early pk4:

2- 5,8,10
3- 2
4- 1,4
5- ALL

Good Luck!

Bobby Fischer 08-30-2008 01:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept


8th: MSW, 2yo, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)
Next Best: #9 Hello Broadway 5-1

note:
Dam should read Nightstorm(storm cat) - valando

sire is broken vow , not sir cat

brisnet past performance has it listed as Devine(topsider)
haven't checked DRF

pointman 08-30-2008 02:02 PM

This 5th seems pretty wide open. Going to box the 6,8,10,11 in exactas and tri's. Good luck!

DogsUp 08-30-2008 02:34 PM

Whew...made it home in time to wager on Saratoga. Didn't think I would make it. Hope everyone is making some money today. If not, then things will turn around because I am bound to lose which will then make you people win.

Race 6.

I think I sort of like this 1 horse a little. Just a little $10 win bet.

hi_im_god 08-30-2008 03:33 PM

race 8 pick 3

6,8,11/2,6,7/4,5

pointman 08-30-2008 04:28 PM

Not going well today, play a $5 Tri Key 5/2,7,8. Hope others doing better than me today.

SentToStud 08-30-2008 04:46 PM

1/5?
I'm on Divine Park.


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