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-   -   Late pick 4 for Wed. @ the 'Spa (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=24603)

caf 08-18-2008 09:15 PM

Late pick 4 for Wed. @ the 'Spa
 
All opinions welcome...Love the wide open races...

Here's my ticket...

3 4 6 8 9 / 2 4 5 7 / 2 3 7 / 1 5 10

$180 for a buck...

Caf

SilverRP 08-18-2008 09:50 PM

$180 for a $??? Seems a little too much for me. Isn't a $50 bet for a $1 Pick 4 plenty??

NTamm1215 08-18-2008 10:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by caf
All opinions welcome...Love the wide open races...

Here's my ticket...

3 4 6 8 9 / 2 4 5 7 / 2 3 7 / 1 5 10

$180 for a buck...

Caf

That ticket doesn't have Zada Belle in the 8th, Icabad Crane in the 9th nor Absolute Heaven in the 10th?

Can you elaborate on why you're using Almighty Silver, who has shown no interest in winning stakes races over a horse like Icabad Crane or even Tin Cup Chalice for that matter? For the record, I don't think Tin Cup Chalice is going to win but he is still much, much more likely than WRITINGONTHEWALL or ALMIGHTY SILVER.

Also, Zada Belle is an absolute standout in the 8th. She is going 2nd off the layoff, exits a strong performance where she lost position going into the far turn. She also fits the profile of the two winners the mighty Godolphin Stable has posted at this meet.

Good luck!

NT

hrfan 08-19-2008 12:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by caf
All opinions welcome...Love the wide open races...

Here's my ticket...

3 4 6 8 9 / 2 4 5 7 / 2 3 7 / 1 5 10

$180 for a buck...

Caf

give me a little, im going into drf plus now, i will give you a winner for cheaper then 150....

zada belle is def. no standout

caf 08-19-2008 07:34 AM

Originally Posted by caf
 
Here's my opinion...

Race 7- Took the 3 best IMO, then put 2 horses in that are coming off Turf races @ a 1 1 /16. Love that angle. 1 1/16 turf to 7F dirt, always include them, no matter the price.

Race 8- Zada Belle is best, but just have the feeling she won't fire her "A" game. If you look, her PP's have lots of gaps, now she comes back in 19 days with NO work off a monster race where she caught trouble. If she wins I lose. Took others I thought had a shot.

Race 9- Don't like Icabad Crane. Best races were @ Pimlico and he comes off layoff. People will see Preakness and Belmont, and his price will be too short for me. Chalice is best, but she's going for the BA Triple. Big Brown all over again. Took the other 3 that have a shot. "Writing" will sit right behind Chalice or Kent will gun from there. Love the 2 works for "Silver", worked 6 and 5 F for this. May give him that extra 1/16th down the stretch. Big Truck, Tagg/Coe are on fire. Huge work the other day. Just have the feeling Chalice will be caught that last 1/16. If he wins, I tip my cap and throw away my ticket.

Race 10- Took horses I thought would show speed. I think the turf will start playing to speed once it dries out. I live 10 minutes from the Spa and it rained last night. May have to reconsider this race tomorrow. Will put Bella in and take Marilyn out. Likes the turf here and has a win over the track. Heaven is a toss for me. Motion and Prado 0/7 last 60 days together. Price too short for with those odds.

Good luck to all playing. Hope Tar Heel has an opinion on this. BTW, had the late Pick on Sunday for $1900. So juice in the pocket will bring marginal horses to my ticket. Will post my final ticket Wed. afternoon once I see what the weather is. May change because of the rain.

Good luck to all.

Coach Pants 08-19-2008 09:51 AM

Are you sure $180 is enough? I'd double that.

hoovesupsideyourhead 08-19-2008 10:41 AM

the last is pretty tough i toss bella 1/6/2/9 6 bieng the most danger as domingez leaves motion for a stake dropper who ran off the grass but excelled on an gd turf..imo gl

caf 08-19-2008 10:56 AM

Are you sure $180 is enough? I'd double that.
 
Do you have a pick 4 yet ???

I could go for $360. That's how much I went in for Sunday. Got back $1900.
Looking back, could have used smaller $ and still hit it. Always the case after the fact. I always try to use marginal horses when I 'm not using 3 favorites.

Last race is very difficult. I'll try all angles possible.

Weather is clearing up. Had lots of wind this AM. Hope course dries out. Love front end speed, when the course is hard, especially on the Mellon.

IrishofNDMan 08-20-2008 08:37 AM

Saratoga Early Pick 4 try

Race 2: 1,3,5,8
Race 3: 9,10
Race 4: 3,4
Race 5: 7,9

$32.00

fantini33 08-20-2008 11:48 AM

Early Pick 4) Race 2) 3 4 6 9 / 4 7 9 10 / 4 5 / 4 8 9 ---- $96

Late Pick 4) Race 7) 3 4 10 11 / 6 7 / 5 6 7 / 1 3 5 9 ----$96

Pick 3) Race 5) 4 8 9 / 1 4 6 / 3 4 10 11 -----$36

Race 2) $1 Tri Box 3469 ----$24

Best of Luck!

fantini33 08-20-2008 12:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33
Early Pick 4) Race 2) 3 4 6 9 / 4 7 9 10 / 4 5 / 4 8 9 ---- $96

Late Pick 4) Race 7) 3 4 10 11 / 6 7 / 5 6 7 / 1 3 5 9 ----$96

Pick 3) Race 5) 4 8 9 / 1 4 6 / 3 4 10 11 -----$36

Race 2) $1 Tri Box 3469 ----$24

Best of Luck!

Managed to get the longest shot on the board ( the 17-1 out of Dynaformer ) with the winner but couldn't crack what would have been a BIG tri, leaving off the place running fav. Arrrggggh!

Heels1989 08-20-2008 12:51 PM

After Monday's BIG :rolleyes: $34 late P4 diving back in again today:

Tix #1 - ($72) Steve's Picks

Tix #2 - ($84)

R7 3/4/5/8/9/10/11
R8 6/7
R9 3/7
R10 1/2/9

Good Luck

fantini33 08-20-2008 01:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33
Early Pick 4) Race 2) 3 4 6 9 / 4 7 9 10 / 4 5 / 4 8 9 ---- $96

Quote:

Originally Posted by fantini33
Late Pick 4) Race 7) 3 4 10 11 / 6 7 / 5 6 7 / 1 3 5 9 ----$96

Pick 3) Race 5) 4 8 9 / 1 4 6 / 3 4 10 11 -----$36

Race 2) $1 Tri Box 3469 ----$24

Best of Luck!


Payouts

4=$515
8=$196
9=$347

ateamstupid 08-20-2008 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hrfan
zada belle is def. no standout

:zz:


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