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-   -   7/16: BEL (4th-9th); DMR (6th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23975)

Kasept 07-16-2008 05:14 AM

7/16: BEL (4th-9th); DMR (6th-9th)
 
The racing summer moves further towards its' main events Wednesday with the opening of Del Mar. Meanwhile, Belmont begins its' final 5 days of the spring-summer meet with the close Sunday and shift to Saratoga a week away.


BELMONT


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Fios 9-2 WON
Best Value: #1 SCR
Next Best: #5 Money Manager 2-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Who Can Bluff 5-1 6th


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3)

Best Value: #4 Real Quality 10-1 7th
Most Likely: #3 Blazing Dynamo 5-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Al Basha 3-1 4th
Exotics Add: #1 (POE) Broadway Producer 8-1 WON (Other half of entry)


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 SCR-Late
Most Likely: #1 Glorious America 8-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 Talbots Shopper 2-1 WON
Exotics Add: #9 Mickeless 6-1 2nd

$2 Exacta (2-9) Paid $27.60
$2 Trifecta (2-9-1) Paid $52.50



7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 SCR
Best Value: #4 Classic Impact 20-1 2nd.. at 45-1
Next Best: #9 El Apache 4-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Taken Not Given 8-1 9th

.10 Super Play: Box 3-4-5-6-9 (5x4x3x2 = 120 x .10 = $12)


8th: Irish Actress, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rewrite 2-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Factual Contender 8-5 4th
Best Value: #5 Latitude Forty 6-1 2nd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Using firsters for protection (#'s 5 & 9) in weak nightcap..

Most Likely: #2 Digital Age 4-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Valid Threat 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Let's Go Yankees 3-1 WON
Super Add: #6 SCR


<$250 P6 Play:

4: 5-6-8
5: 3-4
6: 1-(7 LATE SCR)
7: 9
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-9

3x2x2x1x3x3 = 108 x $2 = $216


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7-LATE SCR (2 next choice)
7: 4-9
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-4-9

2x2x3x4 = $48



DEL MAR


6th: 62nd Oceanside (1st Div.), 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 SCR
Best Value: #1 Indian Sun 9-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Ez Dreamer 3-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Moral Compass 7-2 2nd

.10 Super Play: Key 1-4 with 1-2-3-4-9-10 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 2 = 48 x .10 = $4.80)


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Mama Luc 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Sherry's High 3-1 5th
Exotics Add: #3 Perfect Cast 3-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Angel's Reward 12-1 3rd

$2 Exacta (3-5) Paid $32.60
$2 Trifecta (3-5-4) Paid $334.40



8th: 62nd Oceanside (2nd Div.), 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Afleet Ruler 4-1 5th
Best Value: #5 Devil's Afleet 12-1 9th
Next Best: #10 Cannonball 9-2 8th
Super Add: #3 Dixie Chatter 9-2 WON


MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Bigum 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #9 Joshua's Dream 15-1 4th
Next Best: #2 SCR
Super Add: #8 Devive 8-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3
7: 5-12
8: 3-5-8-10
9: 2/SCR-3-9

3x2x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Handicappy 07-16-2008 09:27 AM

you might be missing one in the fifth although a bit of a stretch. Teide is first on the grass but has solid breeding for turf being out of a Najinsky mare. I think he'll show up big time today. Mclaughlin and his assist, Magnuson, are great at finding good spots for their horses. Just a thought. Glad to have your show back. That one show with Hill'n Dale that spoke about how good Vindication will be was a bit sad to listen to. Particularly since I had just seen him a few days before he died in his paddock. Loved the race calls yesterday.

Handicappy 07-16-2008 11:03 AM

Steve FYI
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
The racing summer moves further towards its' main events Wednesday with the opening of Del Mar. Meanwhile, Belmont begins its' final 5 days of the spring-summer meet with the close Sunday and shift to Saratoga a week away.


BELMONT


4th: MDN CLM, 3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Fios 9-2
Best Value: #1 Challenger's Song 10-1
Next Best: #5 Money Manager 2-1
Super Add: #8 Who Can Bluff 5-1


5th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (G/S, P3)

Best Value: #4 Real Quality 10-1
Most Likely: #3 Blazing Dynamo 5-1
Next Best: #6 Al Basha 3-1
Exotics Add: #1 Broadway Producer 8-1


6th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Philosophizer 15-1
Most Likely: #1 Glorious America 8-5
Next Best: #2 Talbots Shopper 2-1
Exotics Add: #9 Mickeless6-1


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-IT (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #7 VERITABLE 8-5
Best Value: #4 Classic Impact 20-1
Next Best: #9 El Apache 4-1
Super Add: #6 Taken Not Given 8-1

.10 Super Play: Key #7 1st/2nd with 3-4-5-6-9 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12)


8th: Irish Actress, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #1 Rewrite 2-1
Next Best: #6 Factual Contender 8-5
Best Value: #5 Latitude Forty 6-1


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super)

Using firsters for protection (#'s 5 & 9) in weak nightcap..

Most Likely: #2 Digital Age 4-1
Best Value: #1 Valid Threat 12-1
Next Best: #4 Let's Go Yankees 3-1
Super Add: #6 Wanna Winna 6-1


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 1-6
5: 3-4-6
6: 1-7
7: 7
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-5-9

2x3x2x1x3x4 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-7
7: 7-9
8: 1-5-6
9: 1-2-4-5-6-9

2x2x3x6 = $72



DEL MAR


6th: 62nd Oceanside (1st Div.), 3yo, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Sky Cape 4-1
Best Value: #1 Indian Sun 9-2
Next Best: #3 Ez Dreamer 3-1
Super Add: #2 Moral Compass 7-2

.10 Super Play: Key 1-4 with 1-2-3-4-9-10 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 2 = 120 x .10 = $12)


7th: CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Mama Luc 9-2
Next Best: #12 Sherry's High 3-1
Exotics Add: #3 Perfect Cast 3-1
Best Value: #4 Angel's Reward 12-1


8th: 62nd Oceanside (2nd Div.), 3yo, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Afleet Ruler 4-1
Best Value: #5 Devil's Afleet 12-1
Next Best: #10 Cannonball 9-2
Super Add: #3 Dixie Chatter 9-2


MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #3 Bigum 9-5
Best Value: #9 Joshua's Dream 15-1
Next Best: #2 Officer M.D.
Super Add: #8 Devive 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-3-4
7: 5-12
8: 5-8-10
9: 2-3-9

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

Scratches out. Your 1 in the 4th, your single in the 7th (#7), and your 5 in the 9th are all scratched. And your 9 in the 9th is a gelding (poor guy).

onebadbeast 07-16-2008 01:10 PM

1st race..............4
3rd race..............3
5th race..............2,3,10
7th race..............8 throw in ?,9
9th race..............throw in 11

Kasept 07-16-2008 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Handicappy
Scratches out. Your 1 in the 4th, your single in the 7th (#7), and your 5 in the 9th are all scratched. And your 9 in the 9th is a gelding (poor guy).

Thx Cappy...

Just back from Saratoga (where we're getting close to ready..) and got changes in...

G/L today to all!

Scav 07-16-2008 01:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Thx Cappy...

Just back from Saratoga (where we're getting close to ready..) and got changes in...

G/L today to all!

I have to hear reasoning for not at least including Liberian Fighter if you get a moment, fastest horse, speed shortening up and should get a great trip.

Bobby Fischer 07-16-2008 02:05 PM

5th race
 
I wonder if Gravitional gets the easy slow pace lead in the 5th? I don't like him at all if he doesn't.

If Coa can get long-shot Rio Mistical to break on top, it wouldn't be a bad tactic for him to try the front here either.

Kind of liked Blazing Dynamo at 5-1, tough price on him now...

Bobby Fischer 07-16-2008 02:13 PM

great ride from Coa, he just had no horse, I don't see Rio Mistical winning a non claiming race , ever.

kenny p 07-16-2008 02:36 PM

race 6 $2 p3 1,2,6/4,8,11/1,6 $36 GL to all. Steve, see you opening weekend. KP

Kasept 07-16-2008 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kenny p
race 6 $2 p3 1,2,6/4,8,11/1,6 $36 GL to all. Steve, see you opening weekend. KP

Kenny..

Looking forward to it! Going to be a great summer...


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