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jcs11204 06-24-2008 09:45 PM

Colonel John
 
Does anyone want to talk about him ?
I just read he's going to saratoga for the summer, i looked at his pp's very talented horse... i think he can make some big noise in the division this summer, and he has handled all synthetic tracks.... that is a obvious plus, with the breeders cup in cali this year and next.
pedigree says he will get better with age, i really do see a big second half of the seasson for him

NTamm1215 06-24-2008 09:59 PM

There was a great amount of discussion about him prior to the Derby and I know DrugS made it clear on this site that Tiznow's progeny are doing extraordinarily well on synthetic surfaces. Thus, Colonel John's ability to win a race like the Travers is completely unknown until he tries conventional dirt again.

I can tell you this much, if he comes into the Travers off of a good race in the Swaps but with no dirt race since the Derby, I'll bet against him with both fists.

NT

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
There was a great amount of discussion about him prior to the Derby and I know DrugS made it clear on this site that Tiznow's progeny are doing extraordinarily well on synthetic surfaces. Thus, Colonel John's ability to win a race like the Travers is completely unknown until he tries conventional dirt again.

I can tell you this much, if he comes into the Travers off of a good race in the Swaps but with no dirt race since the Derby, I'll bet against him with both fists.

NT

swaps ? i read today hes already at saratoga.

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
There was a great amount of discussion about him prior to the Derby and I know DrugS made it clear on this site that Tiznow's progeny are doing extraordinarily well on synthetic surfaces. Thus, Colonel John's ability to win a race like the Travers is completely unknown until he tries conventional dirt again.

I can tell you this much, if he comes into the Travers off of a good race in the Swaps but with no dirt race since the Derby, I'll bet against him with both fists.

NT

at this point, if your looking at the big picture he has to be a very legit horse, just because of his success on synthetics and the fact that the breeders cup is run over it.
i still think his run in the santa anita derby was very explosive.

texarkana 06-24-2008 10:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
swaps ? i read today hes already at saratoga.

Huh? As of last week he was still at Hollywood Park and they were talking Swaps...

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by texarkana
Huh? As of last week he was still at Hollywood Park and they were talking Swaps...

my local paper says that he is going to saratoga.... hold on im going to check it

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:27 PM

ok i read it wrong, i guess he could be going swaps then to saratoga... here is the paragraph...

One-time top Derby candidate Pyro, who recently won the Northern Dancer at Churchill Downs for trainer Steve Asmussen, is another candidate. Trainers Todd Pletcher of Ready’s Echo and Behindatthebar, Dallas Stewart of Macho Again and Eoin Harty of Colonel John will also be on the grounds this summer, and none of their horses have been ruled out.

Danzig 06-24-2008 10:31 PM

according to the bloodhorse magazine i got in the mail yesterday, pyro is being pointed to the haskell. of course that could change, but i would think after the belmont that other trainers won't be quite so antsy about facing big brown. he showed he was a mere mortal that day.

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
according to the bloodhorse magazine i got in the mail yesterday, pyro is being pointed to the haskell. of course that could change, but i would think after the belmont that other trainers won't be quite so antsy about facing big brown. he showed he was a mere mortal that day.

at this point, i would say, no way pyro runs in the haskell, i read dwyer... then maybe jim dandy-travers

Danzig 06-24-2008 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
at this point, i would say, no way pyro runs in the haskell, i read dwyer... then maybe jim dandy-travers

"pyro was coming off two extremely disappointing efforts for a top-class horse," said Asmussen, who will now point the colt toward the $200,000 Dwyer Stakes at Belmont Park as a prep for the $1 million Haskell Invitational...

that's from the bloodhorse magazine dated june 21.

jcs11204 06-24-2008 10:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
"pyro was coming off two extremely disappointing efforts for a top-class horse," said Asmussen, who will now point the colt toward the $200,000 Dwyer Stakes at Belmont Park as a prep for the $1 million Haskell Invitational...

that's from the bloodhorse magazine dated june 21.

i see that mrs.
but i read where steve said the dwyer might come up to fast, and he would then point to the jim dandy-travers....
i guess it does not matter... most ppl use the haskall as a prep for the travers, im sure we will see both of them in travers.

RolloTomasi 06-24-2008 11:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215
There was a great amount of discussion about him prior to the Derby and I know DrugS made it clear on this site that Tiznow's progeny are doing extraordinarily well on synthetic surfaces. Thus, Colonel John's ability to win a race like the Travers is completely unknown until he tries conventional dirt again.

I can tell you this much, if he comes into the Travers off of a good race in the Swaps but with no dirt race since the Derby, I'll bet against him with both fists.

NT

I was disappointed Colonel John didn't contest either of the remain TC races. He showed in his CD workout, which may have been a bit too fast in retrospect (sub-58 for 5f) that he could handle the dirt. In the Derby, as is typical of Corey Nakatani in that race (see Halory Hunter, AP Valentine, Alyrob, etc), he was placed way too far back in the field to make an impact. Whereas he was typically no more than 5 or 6 off the pace (and even sometimes right on top of it) in his previous starts, having him nearly 20 lengths arrears early certainly didn't put him in position to win, particularly when he's displayed more of a "grinder"-type finish in his off-the-pace efforts. Regardless, he did make a big middle move to at least reach the second flight of horse before failing to sustain his bid, none which suggests that the surface was much of a problem.

I suppose he skipped the last two classics to prepare for this second half. Unfortunately, now, he faces what may be a much tougher Swaps then previously anticipated. Two Step Salsa (who at this stage is still on the fence) has been monstrous on the lead in his last pair going 7f and 8.5f. The Swaps figures to come up light in field size and pace, putting this colt in prime position to derail Colonel John's summer, right off the bat.

Coach Pants 06-24-2008 11:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
according to the bloodhorse magazine i got in the mail yesterday, pyro is being pointed to the haskell. of course that could change, but i would think after the belmont that other trainers won't be quite so antsy about facing big brown. he showed he was a mere mortal that day.

I think you're being just a lil bit ridiculous with the Big Brown trash talking.

jcs11204 06-24-2008 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
I was disappointed Colonel John didn't contest either of the remain TC races. He showed in his CD workout, which may have been a bit too fast in retrospect (sub-58 for 5f) that he could handle the dirt. In the Derby, as is typical of Corey Nakatani in that race (see Halory Hunter, AP Valentine, Alyrob, etc), he was placed way too far back in the field to make an impact. Whereas he was typically no more than 5 or 6 off the pace (and even sometimes right on top of it) in his previous starts, having him nearly 20 lengths arrears early certainly didn't put him in position to win, particularly when he's displayed more of a "grinder"-type finish in his off-the-pace efforts. Regardless, he did make a big middle move to at least reach the second flight of horse before failing to sustain his bid, none which suggests that the surface was much of a problem.

I suppose he skipped the last two classics to prepare for this second half. Unfortunately, now, he faces what may be a much tougher Swaps then previously anticipated. Two Step Salsa (who at this stage is still on the fence) has been monstrous on the lead in his last pair going 7f and 8.5f. The Swaps figures to come up light in field size and pace, putting this colt in prime position to derail Colonel John's summer, right off the bat.

grinder ? i saw a explosive turn of foot in the santa anita derby

jcs11204 06-24-2008 11:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
I was disappointed Colonel John didn't contest either of the remain TC races. He showed in his CD workout, which may have been a bit too fast in retrospect (sub-58 for 5f) that he could handle the dirt. In the Derby, as is typical of Corey Nakatani in that race (see Halory Hunter, AP Valentine, Alyrob, etc), he was placed way too far back in the field to make an impact. Whereas he was typically no more than 5 or 6 off the pace (and even sometimes right on top of it) in his previous starts, having him nearly 20 lengths arrears early certainly didn't put him in position to win, particularly when he's displayed more of a "grinder"-type finish in his off-the-pace efforts. Regardless, he did make a big middle move to at least reach the second flight of horse before failing to sustain his bid, none which suggests that the surface was much of a problem.

I suppose he skipped the last two classics to prepare for this second half. Unfortunately, now, he faces what may be a much tougher Swaps then previously anticipated. Two Step Salsa (who at this stage is still on the fence) has been monstrous on the lead in his last pair going 7f and 8.5f. The Swaps figures to come up light in field size and pace, putting this colt in prime position to derail Colonel John's summer, right off the bat.

also the swaps is just a comeback race, a prep for bigger things. if he runs a good second to a very sharp horse like TSS, im sure the connections will be happy, and ready to move forward to saratoga.

pgardn 06-24-2008 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Two Step Salsa (who at this stage is still on the fence) has been monstrous on the lead in his last pair going 7f and 8.5f. The Swaps figures to come up light in field size and pace, putting this colt in prime position to derail Colonel John's summer, right off the bat.

Holy cow.

Just watched those replays. Horse runs very hard early and still has gas in the tank.

RolloTomasi 06-24-2008 11:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Holy cow.

Just watched those replays. Horse runs very hard early and still has gas in the tank.

Not that they are particularly top class monsters, but when good horses like Salute The Sarge and Dixie Chatter come at you at the 3/8s pole with threatening runs and you rip their heads off down the lane, you've got to be considered one very promising race horse.

Let's see what how he finishes when he actually has a worthy pace rival early, however.

jcs11204 06-24-2008 11:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi
Not that they are particularly top class monsters, but when good horses like Salute The Sarge and Dixie Chatter come at you at the 3/8s pole with threatening runs and you rip their heads off down the lane, you've got to be considered one very promising race horse.

Let's see what how he finishes when he actually has a worthy pace rival early, however.

i might be wrong, but wasen't he on easy leads all alone in his last 2 ?
pace is the key to every race....

RolloTomasi 06-24-2008 11:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
grinder ? i saw a explosive turn of foot in the santa anita derby

He was under heavy pressure to get going from behind at the 1/4 pole and a lot of his dramatic rush to the wire was probably aided by sprinter Bob Black Jack yielding late. His Hollywood Futurity run suggests the same.

RolloTomasi 06-24-2008 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
i might be wrong, but wasen't he on easy leads all alone in his last 2 ?
pace is the key to every race....

Yeah, I mentioned that.

I also mentioned that its likely at this point that he will also get an easy lead in the Swaps.


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