6/25: Carry Nation! (BEL $61k; HOL $172k) Contests!
 

$2,000.. As Belmont and HollyPark both tip the scales! Analysis/Coverage on 'ATR' Tuesday-Wednesday!

BELMONT PARK

4th (2:36)

5 1/2 Furlongs | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $47,000

1 Stunning Electra Gomez G K 118 FTL
2 Ouchy Night Prado E S 118 FTL
3 Dancing Daisy Castellano J J 118 FTL
4 Sneakin Up Marquez C H Jr 118
5 Alexandra's Halo Garcia Alan 118 L
6 Helen's Lady Velasquez C 118 FTL
7 Dorothy's Essense Maragh R 118 L
8 Justify Hill C 118 FTL
9 Beboblues Art Coa E M 118 L
10 Red Seven Velazquez J R 118 L



5th (3:08)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $46,000

2 Alpha Dancer Velazquez J R 118 L
3 Senor Musician Prado E S 123 L
4 Carr Ride Rodriguez R R 118 Blk-On L
5 Digital Age Maragh R 118 L
6 Tee With the Tiger Espinoza J L 123 L
7 Challenger's Song Chavez J F 123 L
8 Pure Tantrum Hill C 123 L
1 City Sneakers Velasquez C 118 L
9 Pano's Love Gomez G K 123 L
10 MTO Fourteen and Out Morales S 111 L
11 MTO Tough Jake Desormeaux K J 118 L
12 MTO Gimmee Getme Panici L 123 L
1A MTO Blazing Buddha Velasquez C 118 L

A-Coupled: City Sneakers and Blazing Buddha



6th (3:40)

1 Mile | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($75,000) | Purse: $60,000

2 Marina Market Velazquez J R 119 L
3 Frost Giant Gomez G K 119 L
1 Rathor (IRE) Coa E M 119 $75,000 L
4 No Reply Garcia Alan 119 L
1A Temecula Creek Prado E S 119 L
5 Shuffling Maddnes Velasquez C 119 L
6 Bribon (FR) Morales S 112 L

A-Coupled: Rathor (IRE) and Temecula Creek



7th (4:12)

6 Furlongs (Inner turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($35,000) | Purse: $33,000

1 Carry On the Dream Velasquez C 121 $35,000 L
2 Unbridled Refrain Castellano J J 116 $35,000 L
3 Steamroller Coa E M 118 $35,000 L
4 Unbridled Wish Velazquez J R 116 $35,000 L
5 Ballston Samyn J L 121 $35,000 L
6 Catch Up Chris Luzzi M J 116 $35,000 L
7 Mackinaw Hill C 116 $35,000 L
8 Lyke a Hurricane Prado E S 123 $35,000 L
9 Austin Laviva Baby Gomez G K 116 $35,000 L
MTO Golden Caesar Morales S 114 $35,000 L



8th (4:45)

1 1/16 Miles (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance Optional Claiming ($50,000) | Purse: $58,000

1 Leo (GB) Maragh R 121 $50,000 L
4 Rio Mistico (CHI) Velasquez C 121 $50,000 L
5 Hotstufanthensome Hill C 121 $50,000 L
6 Extra Zip Desormeaux K J 123 L
1A Quip (ARG) Garcia Alan 121 Blk-On L
7 Winstrella Velazquez J R 121 L
2 Sir Lowry Gomez G K 121 L
2B Trimaran Prado E S 121 L
3 Prince Rahy Coa E M 121 L
8 MTO True Resurgence Hill C 121 L
9 MTO Giant Chieftan Castellano J J 121 L
3X MTO Slambino Velasquez C 116 L

A-Coupled: Leo (GB) and Quip (ARG)
B-Coupled: Sir Lowry and Trimaran
C-Coupled: Prince Rahy and Slambino


9th (5:17)

6 Furlongs | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($15,000) | Purse: $22,000

1 Count This Senora Berrios Cruz J 110 $15,000 L
2 Watch My Lass Espinoza J L 117 $15,000 L
3 Kettlencranberry Hill C 119 $15,000 L
4 Sounds Tacky Velasquez C 117 $15,000 L
5 Only a Vision Coa E M 121 $15,000 L
6 Optime' Maragh R 117 $15,000 L
7 Mesa Girl Chavez J F 117 $15,000 L
8 Skipping Class Desormeaux K J 123 $15,000 L
9 Birds Away Garcia Alan 119 $15,000 L
10 Scorsica Luzzi M J 119 $15,000 L

HOLLYWOOD PARK

3rd (2:20)

1 1/16 Miles (All Weather Track) | Fillies and Mares | 3 Year Olds And Up Allowance | Purse: $57,000

1 Film Editor Baze T C 120 L
2 Chocolate Lava Rosario J 122 L
3 Down Bejarano R 122 L
4 Honored Gold Nakatani C S 120 L
5 Vanguarda (ARG) Valdivia J Jr 120 L
6 Look Deep Pedroza M A 120 L



4th (2:50)

5 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 2 Year Olds Maiden Claiming ($40,000 - $32,000) | Purse: $20,000

1 C. C.'s Secret Delgadillo A 120 $40,000 Blk-On L
2 Red Jasper Rosario J 120 $40,000
3 Glorious One Enriquez I D 120 $40,000
4 Got Alot Going Solis A 120 $40,000 L
5 Sporty Guy Talamo J 120 $40,000
6 Sherry's Reddy Scott J M 120 $40,000 L
7 Say It Again Garcia M 120 $40,000 L
8 Memo Number Five Campos J L M 115 $40,000
9 Aquicksting Gryder A T 120 $40,000 L
10 Code Brown Arambula P 111 $32,000 Blk-Off L
AE Delaware Doe Bejarano R 120 $40,000
AE Albacore Bob Baze T C 120 $40,000



5th (3:20)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($50,000 - $45,000) | Purse: $39,000

1 One On the House Bejarano R 120 $50,000 L
2 Spark of Dubai Flores D R 120 $50,000 L
3 Toasted Blanc B 120 $50,000 L
4 Kewen Garcia M 120 $50,000 L
5 Ghosttrapper Court J K 122 $50,000 L
6 Ocean Grand Valdivia J Jr 120 $50,000 L
7 El Don Rosario J 120 $50,000 L



6th (3:50)

6 1/2 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds And Up Claiming ($12,500 - $10,500) | Purse: $15,000

1 Wild McDreamie Baze T C 124 $12,500 L
2 Tracker Jack Flores D R 124 $12,500 L
3 Devil Down Enriquez I D 121 $12,500 Blk-Off L
4 Twin Turbo Rosario J 121 $12,500 L
5 The Unclean Spirit Quinonez A 124 $12,500 L
6 Wellnessfast Bejarano R 121 $12,500 L
7 Bluegrass Hill (IRE) Martinez M 116 $12,500 L
8 Taint That a Cat Pedroza M A 121 $12,500 L
9 Falstaff Lane Scott J M 121 $12,500 L



7th (4:20)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds Allowance Optional Claiming ($80,000) |

1 El Martillo Rosario J 123 L
2 Crimson Star Contreras L 123 L
3 Guts Smith M E 123 L
4 Raingear Court J K 119 L
5 Enactment (GB) Nakatani C S 121 L
6 Funny Me (GB) Solis A 123 L
7 Wild and Ready Baze T C 121 $80,000 L
8 Afleet Ruler Bejarano R 121 L



8th (4:50)

5 Furlongs (All Weather Track) | Fillies | 2 Year Olds Maiden Special Weight | Purse: $48,000

1 Lippy Rules Espinoza V 120 L
2 Winningdancer Garcia J A 120
3 Mad for Candy Gryder A T 120
4 Veranda Cafe Bejarano R 120
5 Sorry Baby Rosario J 120
6 Susan's Wildcat Pedroza M A 120
7 Candilejas Garcia M 120 L
8 Evita Argentina Baze T C 120
9 Stardom Bound Smith M E 120
10 Brewha Baby Flores D R 120
AE Stormy Gigi Talamo J 120

well let's break the ice and discuss a few races?

Belmont 4.
this race comes down to an opinion on Red Seven. I don't think she is a single, but I don't know that I want to toss her either.
Had everything her way last out going 5f, and still managed to lose. A.Dutrow has a lot of cheap speed. Still, the one who beat her last time would be attractive as a bet-back and she only got beat by a nose. Tough to toss, but I think someone may beat her here.
Asmussen filly Stunning Electra is a prime candidate if for no other reason than Assmussen trains to win first out 2yo and does it at a good% (seemingly moreso with fillies as well?). Slow training style can hide speed, looks like the one time they let her run a little she had a good work over the training track.
Anybody using Dorothy's Essence for Contessa? Is she a must use?

http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdf...ssa_114818.pdf




Opinions on this and others Bel/Hol Carry Nation $$:eek:

i thought Red Seven was an obvious single

She could very well be.

What do you think of her finish in the debut? Seek On was coming pretty good, but I thought maybe Red Seven was stopping as well.

I think it's kinda dangerous singling horses like her.

i thought it was a pretty good debut and that she wasn't stopping so much as Seek On was just running a huge one. Red Seven continued to leave the favorite Dorothys Essence in the dust, clear by over six in the end.

yeah but i would counter that its also costly to try to beat a horse like that not knowing anything about the other firsters. how many debut horses fire off an 11 in their first race? i'm not saying that i would single her on 100% of my tickets, but certainly the majority.

I hear you, I just don't like betting horses who give up clear leads in the stretch, and combining that with the possibility that there may be one or two runners in the race, I don't think she's a clear single. If I were playing the Pick 6, I'd watch the board. If any of the firsters took significant money, I'd consider tossing her or them in with Red Seven, who definitely looks like the most likely winner.

5th -
Senor Musician is a must use ?
Pure Tantrum/City Sneakers are tough for me, because I don't know ANYTHING about these guys.
PANO'S LOVE - race watchers?? bridesmade, hanger or victim?? Gomez on.
http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdf...ssa_114819.pdf

6th -
I like Temecula Creek here a little , this is a tough race:confused:. Hard to believe Frost Giant favored in skipaway
http://www.brisnet.com/bris_link/pdf...lin_114815.pdf

i know what you're saying, but even though you say she gave up a clear lead, she ran fast. she ran the kind of race that would be a winning effort more often than not. though her 1/4 was 22.2 which i'm sure durkin would agree is blazing, she didn't come home that slow. given over three weeks and a couple interim works i think its pretty likely that she moves forward, and if she does it would be a tall order for one of the others.

I agree with AJim. She ran a pretty solid race and didn't really seem to hang. The time was good and I think the Jockey wrapped her up thinking he had the race won. I think she will improve and unless one of the 1sters is sitting on a huge race she is a very likely winner. Will single unless one of the firsters takes a ton of money.

No doubt. Not saying she's a sucker bet, just saying that I try to avoid singling horses like her usually. I've seen too many horses run good debuts that they should've won, then come back to burn money.

I agree, I have lost a ton of money on horses that always find a way to come in 2nd when they should be much the best. Because of budget limitation on P6's this is the type of horse I'm "forced" to single.

HERE WE GO...
i hate keying the 10 in the first leg, i wish i could use gomez, but i just cant, every other race requires spreading IMO.
BELMONT PICK 6 CONTEST....some changes with the scratches...

1,10/1,2,3,8,9/2,4/1,2,3,6/2,3,7/4,5,9

$1440
GOOD LUCK

Hollywood

3,4,6/1,4,5/3,4,6/1,2,4,6/5,8/1,7,8,9

$1728
Good Luck

Belmont
 

Main

4 - 1,2,10
5 - 3,8,9
6 - 3,6
7 - 2,3,9
8 - 1,2,5,6
9 - 3,8,9

$1,296

Back-ups

3/3,9/3/2,3/1,5/8,9 = $32

2,10/1,2,7/3/2,3/1,5/8,9 = $96

2,10/3,9/1,4/2,3/1,5/8,9 = $128

2,10/3,9/3/6,7/1,5/8,9 = $64

2,10/3,9/3/2,3/3,7/8,9 = $64

2,10/3,9/3/2,3/1,5/4,5 = $64

Total = $1,744

GL

Hollywood
 

Main

3 - 3,5
4 - 2,4,11
5 - 1,6,7
6 - 1,5,6
7 - 1,2,3,8
8 - 1,7,9,10

$1,728

Backups

4,6/2,11/1,6/1,6/8/7,9 = $64

3/8/1,6/1,6/8/7,9 = $16

3/2,11/2,3/1,6/8/7,9 = $32

3/2,11/1,6/2/8/7,9 = $16

3/2,11/1,6/1,6/4,5,6,7/7,9 = $128

3/2,11/1,6/1,6/8/2,4,5 = $16

$2,000

GL

1/2/3/6

1/4/8/7

5 /1

9/5

2/3

1/3/5/4/9/10/6 1,792
belmont