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-   -   SUN - Queens Plate (WO) & Poss Perf (AP) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23462)

Bogey 06-21-2008 11:46 PM

SUN - Queens Plate (WO) & Poss Perf (AP)
 
Woodbine

R9 - Queens Plate

#12 Solitaire
#11 Jungle Brew
#10 Ginger Brew
#13 Not Bourbon
#7 Palmers

Arlington Park

Keep your eye out on the weather. Possible storms in the afternoon.

R8 - Possibly Perfect (Turf)

#7 May Night
#8 Clever Strike
#2 Angel Smoke
#6 Barbette
#4 Demisemiquaver (GB)

Good Racing Luck

CSC 06-22-2008 08:58 AM

I'm hoping Not Bourbon goes off as the third choice, he is the ML favorite but I don't think he will go off as fav. I think he will run a big race today if he settles and anything around 4/1 or 5-1 would be a gift in my opinion.

Kasept 06-22-2008 09:22 AM

Most Likely: #10 Ginger Brew 4-1
Best Value: #15 Took the Time 15-1
Next Best: #13 Not Bourbon 3-1
Exotics Add: #9 Shadowless 20-1

philcski 06-22-2008 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Most Likely: #10 Ginger Brew 4-1
Best Value: #15 Took the Time 15-1
Next Best: #13 Not Bourbon 3-1
Exotics Add: #9 Shadowless 20-1

I love the filly in this race as well.

downtown denny 06-22-2008 09:45 AM

Philly Park
 
Steve, What do you think of Seek the Truth's chances today?

CSC 06-22-2008 09:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I love the filly in this race as well.

She can certainly win and she has potential growth, I'm just not sure if she will be any value and more importantly how she will react to racing off 2 weeks rest? If Harlem Rocker was in this race, she wouldn't have been supplemented.

Immanuel Kant 06-22-2008 10:29 AM

I think the filly goes off as 2nd or 3rd choice around 3/1-7/2....is that enough of a price?...don't think you get more than 3/1 on Bourbon...Bond's horse should end up favoured.

I'm looking for a price ....

11 Jungle Brew
15 Took the Time

CSC 06-22-2008 10:31 AM

On the undercard, there's an interesting race. The Singspiel...btw a pretty good horse by In The Wings out of Glorious Song.

This is not a tough field thus there is some value for Pellegrino here, yes he's 9 and yes his form looks over the top, however that last race he had no business being in, far too tough for him at this stage of his career.

The 2 probably favorites look beatable in Rahy's Attorney who got a dream trip in the Connaught and he picks up 4 lbs to 125, plus I'm not sure the distance will be to his liking and Marchfield who will probably be overbet is coming into this off only a modest allowance win at CD. Despite his nice pedigree he seems to be only an average horse at this stage of his career.

1. Pellegrino
2. Marchfield.
3. Rahy's Attorney

hockey2315 06-22-2008 10:35 AM

I like the Contessa horse in there. . .

pgardn 06-22-2008 11:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
On the undercard, there's an interesting race. The Singspiel...btw a pretty good horse by In The Wings out of Glorious Song.

This is not a tough field thus there is some value for Pellegrino here, yes he's 9 and yes his form looks over the top, however that last race he had no business being in, far too tough for him at this stage of his career.

The 2 probably favorites look beatable in Rahy's Attorney who got a dream trip in the Connaught and he picks up 4 lbs to 125, plus I'm not sure the distance will be to his liking and Marchfield who will probably be overbet is coming into this off only a modest allowance win at CD. Despite his nice pedigree he seems to be only an average horse at this stage of his career.

1. Pellegrino
2. Marchfield.
3. Rahy's Attorney

Marchfield's modest win at Churchill is not the preferred distance for this horse imo.
I think he can run forever. The field gets spread out, and he gets his back of the pack clean run and pounces. Problem is the price.

Bigsmc 06-22-2008 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I like the Contessa horse in there. . .

Nice one hockey.

jcs11204 06-22-2008 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Immanuel Kant
I think the filly goes off as 2nd or 3rd choice around 3/1-7/2....is that enough of a price?...don't think you get more than 3/1 on Bourbon...Bond's horse should end up favoured.

I'm looking for a price ....

11 Jungle Brew
15 Took the Time

if the filly is 3-1, just put your whole bankroll on her to win...
she lays over these.

Scav 06-22-2008 03:06 PM

In regards to the Possibly Perfect, Talkin Indian is a touch slow but I really think the horse can run well in this spot, especially with a large jock change, from Geroux to Graham.

3-5-7-8 Exacta/Trifecta boxs

Late P4
6: 7
7: 2,7
8: 3,5,7,8
9: 4,5,7,10,11

Bobby Fischer 06-22-2008 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I like the Contessa horse in there. . .

good call

CSC 06-22-2008 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pgardn
Marchfield's modest win at Churchill is not the preferred distance for this horse imo.
I think he can run forever. The field gets spread out, and he gets his back of the pack clean run and pounces. Problem is the price.

My picked stunk in that one, however I'm happy for Attfield record 8th Plate I believe. A shot of Bourbon!

CSC 06-22-2008 04:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I like the Contessa horse in there. . .

Nice call and a heady ride by the jock.

hockey2315 06-22-2008 05:38 PM

Eh not the price I was hoping for but I did ok. . . I'm glad the Queen's Plate winner got lost on the board like that - I didn't have much of an opinion on the race but he seemed like a steal at 9/2. Got a little lucky at the end when he wouldn't switch leads.

pgardn 06-22-2008 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I like the Contessa horse in there. . .

Great call.

pgardn 06-22-2008 06:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
My picked stunk in that one, however I'm happy for Attfield record 8th Plate I believe. A shot of Bourbon!

Hockeys horse easy wire job.
Lots of horse there.

If hockey reads this:

did you think they would try and wire the field like that?

Bogey 06-23-2008 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I'm hoping Not Bourbon goes off as the third choice, he is the ML favorite but I don't think he will go off as fav. I think he will run a big race today if he settles and anything around 4/1 or 5-1 would be a gift in my opinion.

CSC, Nice Job - Game effort holding off the filly.

Hockey, good call


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