Derby Trail Forums

Just an agonizing slow day at work. Took a look at the early pick 4 (pre-scratches) and will try put together a winner. I am very appreciative to people that take their time to put there picks and analysis on to the board. Here is my shot, Good Luck.

Race#1
#1 LORD IN COMMAND-Guillot first time starter, with a couple of good works under his belt. Though the last work on the 7th is a bit worrisome, he doesn't seem to be running against much.

#4 WARREN'S YODLER-4 year old has hit the board in 3/4 career starts. Comes off a slight freshening and puts the hood on for the first time in a race that doesn't seem to have much speed in it. He is coming out of a race where the 2nd and 3rd place finishers won next time out.

#5 RINGMASTER-21st career start, hoping this closer (I know I said no pace in the race, but I can't get off him) will be a little closer to the pace and moved a little earlier by Omar Berrio. Just missed at this distance/level in December and hopes he breaks through tonight. Last race I am tossing after breaking from the 12 and being wide. 2nd place finisher won next out.

#8 HEATHER'S ECHO-2nd off the layoff. He ran a couple of 71's last year, gets in light with Arambula who is winning at a %50 clip for Jorge Gutierrez. Hoping he will be stalking the pace.

Race#2
#5 DUMAANI'S GOLD-Ran 2nd at this level to a repeat winner on 5/16. Should be near the lead in what seems to be another paceless race.

#8 TOPAZ MOON-The only four year old in the race has burned up alot of money in her last 2 starts. Cutting back to 7 panels after racing wide under Bejerano. 3rd off the layoff and a switch to Rosario might just insure a price.

#9 AFTERNOON GOLD-Versatile horse who can run up front or come from behind for a trainer that is 0/6 at the meet so far. Cutting back from the last race where she ran 5th near the lead most of the way at 1 1/16. Back to Back 60+ Beyers makes me hope the horse is in good form and is near the front the whole way.

Race#3
#1 MR. CHAIRMAN-3rd off the layoff for the combo of O'Neill and Bejerano are winning at a %25 clip. Should be in a ground saving, stalking spot the whole way. Coming out of the same race as the 4 & 6 horses with the winner winning again his next out. Just think he will be closer to a slow pace and the 4 & 6 will not be able to close into.

#2 ANZISONG-Looks like the lone speed in the race. He won his last start in wire to wire fashion in a starter allowance. Hoping he doesn't bounce.

Race#4
#5 TOO PHAR-Horse just missed last 2 out at 7 and 7 1/2 panels including a near miss in a stakes race. The Mig should have a decent pace to shoot at as there should be a few horses that want to go to the front. She has hit the board in all 3 career starts at the distance.

#6 BARBARA'S LOVE-One of those speed horses who is working well in the morning and is running for the 1st time for Ted West. He is winning at %45 clip when going turf to synthetic. Her last synthetic start was a win against open 40k claiming company where she stalked the pace. Picks up smokin Joe.

Beware of the 1, Mullins horse (who I just can't personally gauge. When I bet him he is up the track and when I don't, he wins by daylight.) If I am live going into this race I am sure that this horse will be my undoing.

Early Pick 4
1)1-4-5-8
2)5-8-9
3)1-2
4)5-6
$48 dollar play
GOOD LUCK TO EVERYONE! $297