My Bets for Belmont.......Please Help
 

I promise not to start another thread for a while, but I wanted to share the bets I was planning to make for tomorrow. Please tell me why this is either a good selection of bets or bad and any basic mistakes that I am making while I can still correct it.

My budget is $300.00

My picks for now are:

$170.00 – Big Brown to Win

Exacta $20 Big Brown –Denis Of Cork

Trifecta $6 Big Brown – Denis Of Cork – Tale Of Ekati

Across The Board $8 Macho Again
Across The Board $6 Ichabod Crane
Across The Board $10 Casino Drive

Total 300.00

I'm sure I will get hazed pretty bad for doing this but go ahead and fire away. I honestly would appreciate the critique and what you might do different. FYI...I do not want to move off of making Big Brown #1 pick.

Seriously.....any win bet on BIG Brown is not the brightest of ideas.
The horse will be 1/5 or even 1/9. So what can you possibly stand to make betting to win in this situation?

Load up on your exactas, and take a shot.......

If you are going to go to Belmont in person, i would bet a 2.00 ticket on BB and save it....

The $170.00 to win on Big Brown, if he wins you make peanuts (well probably about $30) and if he somehow loses your out $170.00 obviously. Doesn't sound like a good bet to me but what do I know, I make plenty of stupid bets. Why not put $100 to win on Big Brown if you really want to bet him to win, and take the other $70 playing a $35 exacta Denis of Cork, Tale of Ekati with Big Brown. That's if you like DofC and ToE. I think Anak Nakal might love the distance and nab a piece as well.

This is a really wasteful way to play. . .

Well based on those responses, and as much as I hate to do it, I guess I won't bet Big Brown to Win. As Wyatt Earp said to Johnny Ringo in the movie Tombstone, "There's no money in it."

Maybe just Exactas and Trifectas? Is that a better strategy? I hate the fact that CD is somewhat injured and makes it hard to factor him.

I wouldn't play it this way but for $144 you could do Big Brown / all / all.

If it were me I'd use him over Macho, Tale of Ekati and Anak over all or something like that, and single him in a Pick 3 or 4.

Anyway, best of luck.

Toss Casino Drive.

Bet a different race.

You could go that way as well and put $200 to win and $100 to place on Dancing Forever in the Manhattan. If I had $300 and was betting one race this is what I would do.

That's a pretty chaotic race and it's probably not on TV.

With the question marks over Big Brown's quarter crack and Casino Drive's stone bruise, I'd suggest passing the race. Just enjoy the spectacle.

I would think it would surely be on tv.

http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23024

Why would ABC or ESPN want to show a world-class G1 that many of their viewers will have bets on?

Why didn't I think of that? If it was a 5k claimer from Buelah we might have a chance to see it live on tv........:zz:

Show $$$$$
 

Play the field 'to show' minus Big Brown.
That's the only way your going to make any $$$$$$

you like him that much ? i think the race is to wide open to even bet that way. dam maybe i will be confident in your opinion and scale back in that race

you are crazy if you don't back that up a little. i think dennis of cork has a shot to win !

roll with it roller doc

$300 is nothing to sneeze at. Why do you propose making a wagers that you posted without having the courage of your convictions?

That is the best wager on Big Brown, I have seen yet!:tro: