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-   -   Saratoga opening day - race 7 tri, exacta (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=2303)

Secretariat 07-25-2006 08:50 AM

Saratoga opening day - race 7 tri, exacta
 
trying something new here, i capped this with a mathematical model i have created that relies about 50% on sheet numbers as a ranking criteria (averages, trends within the data)and also
uses weight, time, races at this distance, races on this track,
among a few other things.

Race 7 6.5f sprint - feature

trifecta

2/189/1893
2/346/189
89/1289/12389
34/134/1896

exacta
2/1893

the tri ticket is about 50 dollars ($1) it gives you 50 picks at a sequence that can only have 336
combinations it gives you 14.8 % of the possibilities. it involves 7 horses, where as a box 5 horses ticket would cost $60, and would use 2 less horses. it is designed to return your $50 dollars if the favorite wins and leaves open the possibility of a $500 score if the final ticket listed above in order above should hit. i have used the tri sequence before and it works, but i have never used the method to rank the horses in order before. i hope it works.,

sumitas 07-25-2006 01:41 PM

I will go with I'm The Tiger to win. After that, it's up for grabs.

Secretariat 07-25-2006 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
I will go with I'm The Tiger to win. After that, it's up for grabs.

actually, the tiger scored MUCH higher than the rest of them. the 9 horse, if you take out the two races at over 7f has a good streak going. spanish chestnut as a 4 yo is runnig VERY fast to 6f, 108 and change more than once. the 1 horse is the local. he has a win on the track at the distance.

Secretariat 07-26-2006 04:15 PM

soooo close,

i cannot believe A twist got up for that win..

unbelievable.

Secretariat 07-26-2006 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Secretariat
trying something new here, i capped this with a mathematical model i have created that relies about 50% on sheet numbers as a ranking criteria (averages, trends within the data)and also
uses weight, time, races at this distance, races on this track,
among a few other things.

Race 7 6.5f sprint - feature

trifecta

2/189/1893
2/346/189
89/1289/12389
34/134/1896

exacta
2/1893

the tri ticket is about 50 dollars ($1) it gives you 50 picks at a sequence that can only have 336
combinations it gives you 14.8 % of the possibilities. it involves 7 horses, where as a box 5 horses ticket would cost $60, and would use 2 less horses. it is designed to return your $50 dollars if the favorite wins and leaves open the possibility of a $500 score if the final ticket listed above in order above should hit. i have used the tri sequence before and it works, but i have never used the method to rank the horses in order before. i hope it works.,

seriously, i wrote the last sequence down wrong... ARRRGGGHHHH.

it was supoposed to go like this
sequence = 2 ,9, 8 ,1 ,3 ,4 ,6 ,5

1/234/2345
1/567/234
23/1234/12345
45/145/1236

my sequence was, based on the frist line of the bet
1/234/2345 = 2/189/1389

the last line should have been

45/145/1236 = 13/213/2986 had i typed it right..


too many damn numbers.

in my mind i ha dit right i just wrote it down wrong,
i know.. ya sure
but if you follow through the logic and the sequnce you will see i just wrote it wrong, based upon the firast line of the bet, dam.

i would have lost anyways it only paid $35.00


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