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-   -   5/30: Belmont ($45k C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22868)

Kasept 05-30-2008 06:37 AM

5/30: Belmont ($45k C/O)
 
Haven't played all week, but lure of day-night carryover double header at Belmont and Hollywood (1st off at 10:05pm EST) kind of fun and irresistible.

Belmont Week coverage kicks off Monday Live in New York and will include a Belmont Stakes Day 'At the Races' Special Noon-3pm on Sirius.


BELMONT PARK


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-T (P6, P3)

Most Likely: #9 Lyke a Hurricane 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 SCR
Best Value: #7 Western Call 7-2
Exotics Add: #5 Sir Sapphire 20-1


5th: OC/N3X, 4+, 8.5f (G/S, P3)

Most Likely: #5 Deputy Indy 4-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Marina Market 8-1 3rd
Next Best: # 2 Rising Moon 5-2 WON


6th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 JJ's Prophet 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #8 Steamroller 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 All Verses 4-1 5th
Exotics Add: #11 Maven 5-1 4th


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Aristo 7-2 5th
Best Value: #5 Whateverwillbwillb 6-1 4th
Next Best: #1 SCR
Exotics Add: #3 Kat's Golden Ways 3-1 3rd

.10 Super Spot Play: 10 keyed W/P with 3-5-8-11 (1x4x3x2 = 24 x 2 = 48 x .30 = $14.40)


8th: The Noble Nashua (NYB), 3+, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Naughty New Yorker 5-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Shuffling Maddnes 6-1 6th
Next Best: #1e Dr. V's Magic/Organizer 3-1 5th/9th
Exotics Add: #3 Prince of Peace 12-1 7th


9th: CLM/N3L, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #10 Savor It 2-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Royal Spaulding 5-2 5th
Best Value: #8 Miss Annie M 8-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #3 Crusader's Code 15-1 6th


<$300 P6 Play:

4: 7-9
5: 5
6: 1-8-10-11
7: 3-4-5-8-10-11
8: 1-2-5
9: 10

2x1x4x6x3x1 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-8-9-10-11
7: 3-5-8-10-11
8: 1-2-5
9: 10

5x5x3x1 = $75


Good luck!
Steve

IrishofNDMan 05-30-2008 10:01 AM

Good Luck Steve, I like your pick 4 play and will probably punch it in myself as well.

Kasept 05-30-2008 10:19 AM

SCR
 
4TH
2 Smell My Carrots Early
2B Dont Forget Grampa Early
11 Another Hades Early
13 After Colin Early
14 Wanna Winna Early

5TH
1 Malibu Moonshine Early NO SHOW OR TRIFECTA
4 Sea of Trees Early

6TH
1A Dealer Beware Early
6 Hostile Takeover Early
14 Who Can Bluff Early
15 Sinister Storm Early

7TH
1 Queen of Protocol Early
1A Salt City Miss Early
2 Positive Charge Early

9TH
1A Karakorum Playmate Early
12 Carrs and Stripes Early
13 Out of Service Early

philcski 05-30-2008 10:35 AM

Love the entry in the feature. If Organizer doesn't get loose, then he should soften the rest of the speed to set up Dr V's.

Not often you see full brothers coupled in a race... let alone back-to-back winners of the legendary Empire Classic!

knickslions2 05-30-2008 12:22 PM

Its time to start losing some cash

Belmont Race 2 b

Hard to go against the 1.

$20 win 1
$6 box 1-7
$2 box 1-4
$2 box 4-7

Total Bet $40.

Good luck all

knickslions2 05-30-2008 12:43 PM

Looks like I'm in the wrong thread. Won 37 back on that race. -3 for day so far. Moving to other thread.

Kasept 05-30-2008 05:59 PM

HOLLYWOOD

3: 7
4: 7 (13)
5: 3-7
6: 3-10-11-12
7: 2-4-6
8: 3-6-9-13

1x1x2x4x3x4 = 96 x $2 = $192

Handicappy 05-30-2008 08:15 PM

Be careful of Mclaughlin shipping into Belmont
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2
Its time to start losing some cash

Belmont Race 2 b

Hard to go against the 1.

$20 win 1
$6 box 1-7
$2 box 1-4
$2 box 4-7

Total Bet $40.

Good luck all

Whenever you see a Mclaughlin horse work anywhere but Belmont, you gotta think a bit more about it. His best Assistant is at Belmont and tends to run high percentages of win and in the money finishes until they start shipping in. When they have a horse with a couple of work going in at Belmont, you can be assured the horse is fit. As an example, look what happened to your 7 in the 2nd and look what happened to Wafi City in the 5th. Both weren't fit in the stretch. Of course the Lears Princess's are an exception as it doesn't matter who trains them, they train themselves. But they are few and far between.


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