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-   -   Casino Drive: Defender of the Crown? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=22174)

justindew 05-03-2008 10:45 PM

Casino Drive: Defender of the Crown?
 
Just tossing it out there. No one else in America looks up to the task.

Have a nice day.

The Indomitable DrugS 05-04-2008 03:10 AM

You are holding out hope that a horse with one career start - which came in Japan no less - can prevent a triple crown in a 12 furlong race?

Big Brown's hind shoes are turndowns - which are illegal in New York - I think Casino Drive is about as likely to stop him in the Belmont as the change to regulated back shoes will.

justindew 05-04-2008 06:48 AM

Casino Drive will have had two starts by the time the Belmont rolls around. One of which will have come over the track.

And I'm not hoping for anything.

ddthetide 05-04-2008 07:16 AM

IF big brown had different connections he would be easy to root for. sad that a nice horse is tied to this crew.

The Indomitable DrugS 05-04-2008 07:23 AM

Harlem Rocker is the most likely Preakness spoiler.

If Big Brown makes short work of that field - they might have to take a page out of Dutrow's '05 Woodward playbook (run two rabbits to harass Big Brown from both sides) to beat him in the Belmont.

If Casino Drive wasn't out of Better Than Honour he'd not only be unheard of - but he'd still be in Japan.

_ed_ 05-04-2008 07:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ddthetide
IF big brown had different connections he would be easy to root for. sad that a nice horse is tied to this crew.

Yeah.

It's not the horse's fault though.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-04-2008 08:20 AM

Doubtful ain't one beats him in the Preakness.....now, the Belmont Stakes...that's another question!

SCUDSBROTHER 05-04-2008 12:14 PM

Just show up fresh in the Belmont,and you got a shot. You really think Bird droppings was anywhere near as good as Smarty? Didn't matter.He was fresh with some distance ability.That's what you need to have.Winners of the 1st 2 legs of the Triple Crown are still tired,and they don't have those tight turns anymore(it's a real 12f race,and that last 8th of a mile is not what they are ready for.)

Danzig 05-04-2008 12:35 PM

horse comes around the turn, and still has a 1/4 mile to go..has to be hard for a horse who's used to running a bit down the lane and then shutting her down to have to keep going and going....

but he has to win in md first. swale, anyone?

so, no matter how impressive big browns win was, and it was impressive, this is NOT easy. 11 horses have done it. how many won two of the three? a lot more than 11!

pointman 05-04-2008 12:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Just show up fresh in the Belmont,and you got a shot. You really think Bird droppings was anywhere near as good as Smarty? Didn't matter.He was fresh with some distance ability.That's what you need to have.Winners of the 1st 2 legs of the Triple Crown are still tired,and they don't have those tight turns anymore(it's a real 12f race,and that last 8th of a mile is not what they are ready for.)

It also helps when there are 3 or 4 riders whose only object is to take one horse out of the race instead of trying to win it themselves. Maybe Jerry Bailey will come out of retirement for the Belmont.

Better Than Honour 05-05-2008 08:13 AM

they will not beat a 100% sound big brown but if he has any foot problem a 12f race will take the toll on them. he is very beatable in a 12f race if there is a horse in there that wants to run 12f. casino drive probably could pick up the pieces if big brown goes backwards in the stretch. somebody in that race is going to be a birdstone or jazil. not very talented but at a competitive advantage in a 12f race. casino drive appears the most likely candidate if he runs a solid peter pan.

justindew 05-05-2008 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Better Than Honour
they will not beat a 100% sound big brown but if he has any foot problem a 12f race will take the toll on them. he is very beatable in a 12f race if there is a horse in there that wants to run 12f. casino drive probably could pick up the pieces if big brown goes backwards in the stretch. somebody in that race is going to be a birdstone or jazil. not very talented but at a competitive advantage in a 12f race. casino drive appears the most likely candidate if he runs a solid peter pan.

Wasn't Birdstone a multiple Grade I winner?

Better Than Honour 05-05-2008 12:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
Wasn't Birdstone a multiple Grade I winner?

Yes. There are quite a few that are multiple grade 1 winners that aren't that talented.

AlexP 05-05-2008 12:50 PM

Birdstone was talented. He completed a triple that was either done by only a couple of horses or not very many. Sure, he may not have been as good as the top horses that year like Smarty or Zapper, but he was still good. And, he had some stamina this breed needs.

Better Than Honour 05-05-2008 01:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexP
Birdstone was talented. He completed a triple that was either done by only a couple of horses or not very many. Sure, he may not have been as good as the top horses that year like Smarty or Zapper, but he was still good. And, he had some stamina this breed needs.

True, but he was not very fast.

AlexP 05-05-2008 01:57 PM

That's one of the things that separates the greats from the non greats, lol. And I have to admit, I LOVED his Travers, although more because of the weather.

Better Than Honour 05-05-2008 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by AlexP
That's one of the things that separates the greats from the non greats, lol. And I have to admit, I LOVED his Travers, although more because of the weather.

Well I am a huge fan of Jazil but maybe I shouldn't have grouped Birdstone with him. Birdstone was quite the animal. He had to be to run down Smarty Jones.

AlexP 05-05-2008 02:05 PM

Yeah. I liked Jazil too, but he wasn't as good lol.

justindew 05-20-2008 01:37 PM

Bump.

jaripeo 06-05-2008 08:45 PM

IN BELMONDRUGS HE WILL BE THE ONLY CLEAN ONE


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