mudders and maybe nots
 

My lists of horses who may improve or deteriorate on a wet track (in no particular order):

proven mud performers
Pyro
Z Fortune
Smooth Air
Cool Coal Man
Anak Kanal
Visionaire
Denis of Cork

possibly bad mud performers
Tale of Ekati
Z Humor*
Big Truck

*it's questionable if BC Juvenile performance is a true measure of horse's proclivity for the slop; has high Tomlinson number

high Tomlinson #s
Z Humor
Adriano
Recapturetheglory
Eight Belles

low Tomlinson #s
Court Vision
Smooth Air*
Big Truck

*seems to be contradicted by actual performances

I believe Big Brown would love the slop. Boundary sired horses do well in the slop.

Visionaire has the 2nd bet speed figure, Pyro with the best, in the slop. His only hope is an off track.


The only thing I am curious about is Tale of Ekati - sure he failed to run big in the BCJ slop but he's definately not a complete toss like Z Fortune (I have a big bet on hm.. better re-think it)