4/19: KEE (Lex/P4); PIM (Tesio)
 

Fifty cent option might have been the right approach to Friday's P4 at Keeneland. Came away feeling like I had right idea trying to spread in 2nd and 4th legs, but budget kept 'Best Value' feature winner Carriage Trail (9-1) and nightcap logical inclusion William Tell (5-1) off the play. Fun, tough sequence brought back close to $700 on the .50 version alone. Hope I was able to at least get some of you to include Carriage Trail if you hadn't looked at her. Though the slow pace and Panty Raid's dull as dirt return were key, the fact that Shug ran back with her in <10 days was telling... He's only done that 5 times in the last 3 years. He's now 2 for 6 with 3 ITM hits turning around quick. Hope you did well!

YESTERDAY: http://www.thoroughbredracingradione...d=22&Itemid=38

Lexington highlights Saturday P4 today, and super card at Pimlico too headlined by the Federico Tesio, the traditional prep for the Preakness!


KEENELAND


7th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 6f (P4, P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Morakami 5-2 4th
Best Value: #4 Lady Yankee 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 SCR
Exotics Add: #11 Ride Em Cowgirl 12-1 WON

$1 Exacta (11-4) $45.00


8th: 12th Giant's Causeway, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P3, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Jazzy 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #6 Kindling 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Danceroftherealm 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #7 Pola's Place 10-1 9th

$1 Exacta (3-6) Paid $34.40
$1 Trifecta (3-6-5) Paid $95.50


9th: 27th Lexington (Gr. II), 3yo, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #10 Riley Tucker 12-1: Can make case his 2 best races were here last and at Arlington over similar strip; Adds goggles and JV and would not surprise as possible 5th Zayat Derby-intended player.. 3rd
Best Value: #9 Big Glen 12-1: Note that Brothers' demure colt is 4/4 with clean breaks and unfettered journies; Video review of past successes demonstrate uncommon gameness, and outside draw ideal for stalker's preferred trip.. 5th
Next Best: #7 Behindatthebar 12-1: Recent Pletcher acquiree has multiple gears, handy style, and familiarity with synthetic; Comes back quick for undertaking today, but 'other' stablemate angle (Atoned) may apply here with colt that has a future.. WON
Exotics Add: #3 Samba Rooster 8-1: Baffert shopped all winter and spring for Triple Crown colt, and while too late for this one (not nominated) to enter Derby fray, speedy number could take them a long way on front end with any adaptation to surface; Would like it soggy too.. 2nd

$1 Exacta (7-3) Paid $126.00
$1 Trifecta (7-3-10) Paid $1,227.20
$1 Pick 3 (11/3/7) Paid $279.90


10th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 12f-T (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Sunshine Kid 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #12 Hold Your Ground 7-2 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Biggerbadderbetter 4-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Snake River Canyon 12-1 9th

$1 Exacta (4-11) Paid $22.50
$1 Pick 3 (3/7/4) Paid $297.60


<$75 P4 Play:

7: (2/SCR)-4-5-8-11
8: 3-5-6
9: 2-5-7-9-10
10: 11-12

4x3x5x2 = $120 x .50 = $60



PIMLICO


9th: Federico Tesio, 3yo, 9f

#3 ICHABAD CRANE (8-1): Motion's NY bred was even third in Rushaway behind Blue Grass rough trip victim Miner's Claim and likely Lex player Big Glen establishing open company bona fides; Appears certain to receive pace he'll like at distance he'll adore; Load or key up at anything above 5-1.. WON

EXOTICS INCLUDE: #2 Wonder Mon (6-1); #7 Regal Solo (5-1); #8 Cave's Valley (3-1)


Good luck!
Steve

8-1 on Icabad... Here's to hoping!!!

Good luck today!

Icabod was 9-5, I pre-bet hours ahead so won a pittance. Also had Powerful Touch for $8.80 in the prior race( J McKay)

Trust me

Riley Tucker remains near his ml odds, currently 13-1 with 13 minutes to post

Great job in the 9th, Steve!!

As always, thanks for the insight.

Same here with Icabad. Bet before I ran out. Saw $5.80 and did a double take...

Live in KEE pk4 with steves play. Played buck to 11 because NYRA doesn't have $.50. Definitely hurt if 12 wins finale...

Willpays anyone?

Good Luck!!!

$627 to the 11 for $1

Thanks

Close, but no Cigr on pk4.

Solid Cappin Steve! Hope you had a good day.

Thx.. About as good a day as was possible. Very pleased to have deciphered the Lex... Must have been easier than it looked on paper.

Downside was P4 was there to be had, and was sorry that Ichabad Crane couldn't stay over $10.00...

Other than actually placing bets for people, I'm not sure what else I could have done today.

Well...some of do work on Saturdays. So next time, if you don't mind. Im good for the money...;)

I could use a pair of New Balance 992's. Preferably black in size 13 Wide.

Thanks.

Send the $$ and you got em.

Hear any reason behind our scratch today?

made a little over $300 for tailing your picks in 2 races, thanks so much and have a great weekend. =)

I'm probably going to order these...

http://www.nbwebexpress.com/newbalanceMR1123MC.htm

F.uck the 992's. They're nice and all but for 20 bucks more I can have better.

I'd say the post was the reason why he was scratched.

you have done enough..........nice job steveo

I,

That's great. Congrats.. and it's my pleasure. The cards at KEE have been challenging, a lot of fun and even with the kooky poly, very playable.

Not sure if the feature was a spot you hit, but I thought the Blue Grass result made the Lexington particularly approachable. And was shocked that Tomcito was bet in this spot when he and Atoned were total play-againsts.

You're like me...I dont mind paying a little more for better quality.

Just hope for a better draw next out. Price should still be there.

Good A.m. Steve,
Any Picks Today ? I Hit Som Nice Exactas Off Your Piks Sat Thx Stan

Seems Like You Are Getting A Good Feel For Synthectic Tracks.

Stan,

Thx! Glad you scored, and I do feel that I'm 'handling poly' better. About to post late P4 today which looks interesting.

G/L today!