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-   -   12/28: Aqueduct ($31k+ C/O) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=19018)

Kasept 12-28-2007 07:23 AM

12/28: Aqueduct ($31k+ C/O)
 
Speed continued to hold well at AQU Thursday, though three off the pace winners during the 2nd half of the card provided an indication that it isn't impossible to come from the clouds. $31,000 carryover in the 6 on a somewhat fun card to handicap...


AQUEDUCT


4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 2yo-F, 6f (P6, P3)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Flower Storm 5-1 10th
Most Likely: #11 Linden Ave. 7-2 8th
Next Best: #3 Snare 3-1 WON
Exotics Add: #4 Kaz Court 15-1 9th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, G/S)

Best Value: #8 McMagic 8-1 3rd
Most Likely: #4 Red Crusader 5-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Tsuris 5-1 4th
Exotics Add: #9 End of an Era 4-1 WON


6th: MDN CLM, 2yo, 6f (P4, DD)

Best Value: #1e Canet entry 8-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 TOOCOOLFORSCHOOL 5-2 WON
Next Best: #6 Hackensack 5-1 3rd
Exotics Add: #2 My Song 10-1


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, Super)

Best Value: #2 Lutay Love 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Zen Buddha 3-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Too Much Zip 5-2 4th
Exotics Add: #6 Precious Too 12-1 5th


8th: OC/N3X, 3+, 6f (DD)

Best Value: #1 (POE) Callmetony 3-1 WON
Most Likely: #2a Morine's Victory 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #3 (POE) Leonardo 8-5 3rd


9th: NYB-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (Super)

Best Value: #1 Against the Grain 6-1
Most Likely: #3 Two Turn Halo 9-2
Next Best: #2b American Dream'a 5-2
Exotics Add: #5 Bodgit's Jewel 8-1


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 1-3-4-11
5: 3-4
6: 5
7: 1
8: 1-2
9: 1-2-3

4x2x1x1x2x3 = 48 x $2 = $96



P4 Play:

6: 5
7: 1-2-4-6-8
8: 1-2
9: 1-2-3-5-8

1x5x2x5 = $50

Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 12-28-2007 11:05 AM

Several notable scratches including Lord Snowden (8th) and Papa's Kara (9th)..

AQU Changes:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

declansharbor 12-28-2007 11:10 AM

Lord Snowden out, thus making Leonardo a single?

Me thinks so.

pmacdaddy 12-28-2007 03:01 PM

Steve - Reinvested some KNS profits on your Big A Pick4. Got us live to 5. Let's get a price.

Good Luck!

Kasept 12-28-2007 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Steve - Reinvested some KNS profits on your Big A Pick4. Got us live to 5. Let's get a price.

Good Luck!

GL too Pat.. I was hoping the 7th was going to produce a price as well.

pointman 12-28-2007 03:15 PM

Steve, way to go so far. I am sitting in my office and split the pk4 with Pat so please let me know after the race whether we hit this one. Great job!

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-28-2007 03:18 PM

Home And Away!!!! Wtf,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

Kasept 12-28-2007 03:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Steve, way to go so far. I am sitting in my office and split the pk4 with Pat so please let me know after the race whether we hit this one. Great job!

We did not. Uncle Joe (Lostrito) beats us. Unbelievable.. Last ran a race like that in December 2005.

pmacdaddy 12-28-2007 03:25 PM

Dang... Good run at it.

pointman 12-28-2007 03:27 PM

Nice go at it Steve, too bad with the bomb in the last. Still it made for a fun afternoon between KNS and a pk 4 with potential for only 1/2 of $50. Still in the black for the day!

Kasept 12-28-2007 03:37 PM

Andy and I were just talking and he pointed out that Home and Away had a mystifyingly terrible ride by McCauley last time and was in decent enough form based on the turf effort two back. Add in the good race on the Inner back in 12/05, and you could make a case. Then things worked out for her up front, and she got a terrific pilot effort from Jose Espinoza. Yahtzee..

Holland Hacker 12-28-2007 05:20 PM

I downloaded the free Thorograph sheets for today and tomorrow and originally liked Home & Away. After looking at it further through I decided he didn't probablyt didn't have a chance. ( I truly am an IDIOT!) It was all I could do not to put my head between a door jamb and a door and slam the door on my stupid head. It was even more difficult when I saw the pay out, would have got me to almost break Even for the entire year. One of these days I'll hit a big pick 4, lets just hope I don't go broke first!

Anyone playing the Big A tomorrow?

pointman 12-28-2007 05:37 PM

I'll be playing Hacker. I hate when that happens, but you will get it sooner or later.

blackthroatedwind 12-28-2007 05:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
I downloaded the free Thorograph sheets for today and tomorrow and originally liked Home & Away. After looking at it further through I decided he didn't probablyt didn't have a chance. ( I truly am an IDIOT!) It was all I could do not to put my head between a door jamb and a door and slam the door on my stupid head. It was even more difficult when I saw the pay out, would have got me to almost break Even for the entire year. One of these days I'll hit a big pick 4, lets just hope I don't go broke first!

Anyone playing the Big A tomorrow?

You should have watched the replay of the ride she got last time. It was a beaut.

Holland Hacker 12-28-2007 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You should have watched the replay of the ride she got last time. It was a beaut.

Unfortunatley I was at work and couldn't even access the program numbers. let alone review a replay of the race. I had to access that information via my NYRA One Account via the telephone.

I guess that is the one good thing about doing this as a hobby rather than a liveliyhood (SP), I'll still get paid for working today even though I didn;t hit the Pick 4.

Not to blow smoke up your A$$, BTW but I'm amazed that any-one can actually make a living betting the horses. I am truly amazed!

blackthroatedwind 12-28-2007 06:00 PM

These days I'm amazed when I cash a bet.

Coach Pants 12-28-2007 06:01 PM

I'm amazed that a horse I have money on, that is winning with a sixteenth to go, hasn't spontaneously combusted before the finish.

I'm due.

the_fat_man 12-28-2007 06:02 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
You should have watched the replay of the ride she got last time. It was a beaut.

Figured you noticed this (hopefully before the fact and you had a few bucks on her.)

That race was full of idiot moves; her's was the 1st.

Check out the chart, looks like a turf race.

blackthroatedwind 12-28-2007 06:11 PM

Yeah, the ex-Jerkens horse who was in the race today also got a brilliant ride. But nothing compared to McHauley's gem.

It's a redboard....but I hit the Pick-4.

philcski 12-28-2007 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Yeah, the ex-Jerkens horse who was in the race today also got a brilliant ride. But nothing compared to McHauley's gem.

It's a redboard....but I hit the Pick-4.

Nice hit... pretty good payoff for 3 logicals and a bomb. Well done.


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