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-   -   11/15: Churchill (7th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18171)

Kasept 11-15-2007 09:18 AM

11/15: Churchill (7th-10th)
 
Fun afternoon and fair run at Hollywood P6 carryover Wednesday.. Had winners of first 5 somewhere on main or backup tickets including 17-1 Lobo upsetter, but would not have had nightcap winner. Churchill P4 Thursday includes good ALW tests and possibility of long numbers in the quad.


CHURCHILL DOWNS -- POST SCRATCHES

SCRATCHES/CHANGES: http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...m_changes.html

7th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 1m (P4, P3, O/U, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 So Busted 6-1
Most Likely: #1 Wham 5-2
Exotics Must: #5 Friendsturnedfoes 4-1
Super Add: #7 SCR


8th: ALW/N1X, 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #1 Bunker 12-1
Most Likely: #6 Nistle's Crunch 9-2
Exotics Must: #10 SCR
Super Add: #9 Big Glen 12-1


9th: ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD, Super)

Best Value: #7 Spirited Away 5-1
Most Likely: #3 Marquee Delivery 5-2
Exotics Must: #4 Over the Edge 4-1
Super Add: #10 Marquise 8-1


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6.5f (Super)

Best Value: #11 SCR
Most Likely: #7 Tam Tam 4-1
Exotics Must: #4 Sevendaysmakeaweek 8-1
Super Add: #9 Solicit 7-2


P4 Play:

7: 1-4-5
8: 1-6
9: 3-4-7-10
10: 7-9

3x2x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

jman5581 11-15-2007 10:01 AM

No love for Le Chateau in the 9th in the exotics?

Last in her last 2 starts, G3 and G1...

Kasept 11-15-2007 10:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581
No love for Le Chateau in the 9th in the exotics?

Last in her last 2 starts, G3 and G1...

:D .. Two compelling efforts.. a 16L beat in the Gazelle and 26L drubbing at Hoosier. Still seems to be feeling the effects of the career best try in the Heed up here in August. Has worked well for this race though and hadn't shown that kind of morning zip before. For deep exotics only IMO... (And like Acinonyx and Unforgotten ahead of her even still...)

jman5581 11-15-2007 10:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Has worked well for this race though and hadn't shown that kind of morning zip before. For deep exotics only IMO... (And like Acinonyx and Unforgotten ahead of her even still...)

Other than the name, that's one of the only things that caught my eye about her... she clearly can't be overlooked at CD though. So, I'm going to play a tri with a spot for her in 2nd and 3rd.

I wanna play this race... I'll go $1 tri on 3/1,4,5,7,10/1,4,5,7,10

and the rest of my $100 toward a P4 which I haven't decided on yet...

Kasept 11-15-2007 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581
Other than the name, that's one of the only things that caught my eye about her... she clearly can't be overlooked at CD though. So, I'm going to play a tri with a spot for her in 2nd and 3rd.

I wanna play this race... I'll go $1 tri on 3/1,4,5,7,10/1,4,5,7,10

and the rest of my $100 toward a P4 which I haven't decided on yet...

Her gutwrencher over Sumwonlovesyou in May didn't catch your eye..? ;)

P4 is tough, and I'm not thrilled trying a single in the nightcap of maiden fillies. Hoping for some scratch help actually...

gilbertjump 11-15-2007 10:39 AM

The Big A
 
Steve,
How come you haven't been playing Aqueduct?


...Gil:o

jman5581 11-15-2007 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Her gutwrencher over Sumwonlovesyou in May didn't catch your eye..? ;)

That's what I meant by "name." I'm not so thorough in my 15 second posts sometimes... work with me here!! :p

Kasept 11-15-2007 10:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gilbertjump
Steve,
How come you haven't been playing Aqueduct?


...Gil:o

The schedule for on-air broadcast is more favorable for Churchill where I can bring 8th-10th... Will do some AQU though..

onebadbeast 11-15-2007 11:14 AM

just get race 10 churchill in please, making 1 bet on that race, by the way the barn jacket is great!

jman5581 11-15-2007 11:25 AM

P4 - my bet hinges on Chitoz in the second leg.. $72, probably over did it on the last leg, oh well.

7 - 1,3,4,5
8 - 2
9 - 3,4,7
10 - 3,4,6,7,9,12

Kasept 11-15-2007 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jman5581
P4 - my bet hinges on Chitoz in the second leg..

I dropped him from the play after the scratches cutting down from 5 to 2.. Given my adoration for Texas Fever, I should like Chitoz, but have a negative outlook on him here. Obviously went too fast early last and appears a wire threat if no one goes with him. Lawn, and less than firm lawn, the question mark. Good luck though..

jman5581 11-15-2007 04:25 PM

Boy, what can a guy do?? I picked 4 out of 6 horses in that first leg and the $20 horse comes home.... that one kind of hurt.

paid $3800 for $2.

Scurlogue Champ 11-15-2007 09:31 PM

Here was mine...

I needed it and didn't have the 7 in the feature.

Hurts, but I'll hit one before the meet is out.

http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...pping/#6_pick4

jman5581 11-16-2007 07:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scurlogue Champ
Here was mine...

I needed it and didn't have the 7 in the feature.

Hurts, but I'll hit one before the meet is out.

http://www.churchilldowns.com/racing...pping/#6_pick4


Hey, at least I got most of it back at HOL, that's about all I can say about yesterday! Good luck today...


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