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-   -   10/21: BEL (C/O); WO (Int'l); RP (OK Derby) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=17504)

Kasept 10-21-2007 08:03 AM

10/21: BEL (C/O); WO (Int'l); RP (OK Derby)
 
Closing Day at Belmont, the official end of Summer-Fall racing in NY, delivers a must-distribute carryover of more than $63,000 after the predictably unpredictable NYB Showcase Saturday. Dr. V's Magic ($32.80) surprised the Empire Classic, and was the biggest contributor to the arduousness of the late multi-race wagering. The late P4 returned $11,500 thanks to the shocker, as Raynick's Fan (3-1), Al Basha (7-1) and Ferocious Fires (5-1) were all either plausible or logical.

Returning Ferocious Fires kept his perfect record intact via a DQ of Stormin Normandy in the Hudson, in a pitched battle of the Dutrow Brothers. Anthony's 4yo 'Fires', away nearly a year, relentlessly came at Rick's pacesetting 'Normandy' who began to drift out past the sixteenth pole clearly impeeding the son of Lite the Fuse. It was one of the day's best races.

Earlier, Barclay Tagg's Big Truck was stunned at 1-3 by red hot Richie Schosberg and his Giant Moon. A race later, Schosberg's Light Tactic (2-1), as well as (R.) Dutrow's Ice Kool Kitty (3-2) fell victim to Karakorum Elektra in the Iroquois to set continue the tone regularly set on this state bred card. Our multi-race wagers missed all day, but Karakorum Elektra (Best Value, $31.80), Ferocious Fires (Best Value-Best Bet, $12.00) and Ticonderoga exotics sweep softened the P4/P6 blows. A fun day of racing... Hope you did well.

The closeout carryover card features 2yo's, and was worth a look (below). At Woodbine, the Gr. I Pattison Canadian International ($2MM) drew a great cast, and s the highlight of a strong card. In Oklahoma City, Remington celebrates the state's Centennial with the Oklahoma Derby.


BELMONT PARK


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f-T (P6, P3)

Best Value: #5 SCR
Most Likely: #2 SCR
Exotics Use: #11 Doctor Cal 9-2
Other: #7 Shtarker 10-1


6th: MSW, 2yo, 1m (P3, GS, DD)

Best Value: #10 Coal Play 5-1 WON
Most Likely: #6 SCR
Exotics Use: #2 Indymine 12-1
Other: #3 SCR


7th: The Swinging Mood, 2yo-F, 1m-T (P4, .10 Super)

Best Value: #1 Zegarra 20-1
Most Likely: #4 SCR
Exotics Use: #5 SCR
Super Add: #10 Rose of Killarney 10-1

.10 SPR BOX SPOT PLAY: Key #4-SCR 1st/2nd with 1-5-6-8-10 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = $120/10 = $12.00)


8th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3)

Playing against ML fave #1 Celine (2-1).. Can employ as saver in multis..

Best Value: #8 Small Potatoes 10-1
Most Likely: #3 One in a Romp 8-1 WON
Exotics Use: #5 Jocasse 7-2
Other: #10 Daring Dreamer 5-1


9th: The King Cugat, 2yo, 1m-T (DD, .10 Super)

Best Value: #11 Sundaysunday 12-1
Most Likely: #10 Piquante Cat 9-2
Exotics Use: #9 Why Tonto 7-2
Super/Other: #7 Moral Compass 4-1


10th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 6f-IT (.10 Super)

Best Value: #2 Pavlov's Dog 20-1
Most Likely: #4 King Jacob 12-1
Exotics Use: #6 Prime Obsession 3-1
Super Add: #3 Pano's Love 9-2

.10 SPR BOX SPOT PLAY: Key #4 1st/2nd with 2-3-6-9-11 (1x5x4x3 + 5x1x4x3 = $120/10 = $12.00)


<$100 P6 Play:

5: X-X
6: X-10
7: X
8: 1-3-5-8
9: 9-10-11
10: 4

0x1x0x4x3x1 = No play after scratches..


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-X
8: 3-8
9: 10-11
10: 2-3-4-6-9-11

1x2x2x6 = $24 (After scratches)



WOODBINE

Superfectas in all..

5th: 52nd E.P. Taylor (Gr. I-CDN), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3)

Best Value: #3 Sealy Hill 6-1
Most Likely: #4 Mrs. Lindsay 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Safari Queen 9-2
Super Add: #8 Essential Edge 15-1


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 7f (P3)

Best Value: #4 Unto the Hills 8-1
Most Likely: #3 Bobbi Sioux 12-1
Exotics Use: #10 Dashingalltheway 5-2
Super Add: #2 Rose Data 8-1


7th: 70th Canadian Int'l (Gr. I-CDN), 3+, 12f-T (P3)

Best Value: #6 Irish Wells 8-1
Most Likely: #9 Ask 6-1
Exotics Use: #11 Sunriver 8-1
Super Adds: #12 Quijano 3-1; #4 Sky Conqueror 4-1


P3 Play:

5: 3-4
6: 1-2-3-4-9-10
7: 6-9

2x6x2 = $24


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3)

Best Value: #3 Princess Laila 8-1
Most Likely: #5 Knocker 6-1 WON
Exotics Use: #1 Palace Pier 2-1
Super Add: #4 Greeley's Flame 10-1


9th: 35th Nearctic (Gr. I-CDN), 3+, 6f-T (P3)

Best Value: #8 Hero's Reward 6-1 WON
Most Likely: #4 Smart Enough 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Ecclesiastic 10-1
Super Add: #1 Moth Ball 4-1


P3 Play:

7: 6-9-11-12
8: 3-5
9: 4-5-8

4x2x3 = $24



REMINGTON

.10 Supers in all..

8th: The Remington Green, 3+, 8.5f (P4, P3)

Best Value: #5 Jonesboro 4-1
Most Likely: #7 Ascertain 7-2 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Brego 5-1
Super Add: #3 Waupaca 6-1


9th: The Remington Mile, 2yo, 1m (P3)

Best Value: #7 Jeri Harper 20-1
Most Likely: #2 Verify 9-2
Exotics Use: #12 Hadnot 15-1
Super Add: #8 Laramie Woods 20-1


10th: Centennial Oklahoma Derby, 3yo, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #1e Asmussen entry 7-2
Most Likely: #2e Von Hemel entry 2-1 WON
Exotics Use: #9 Strong City 6-1
Super Add: #7 Forty Acres 9-2


11th: Remington Sprint, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #9 Nuttyboom 15-1
Most Likely: #4 Orphan Brigade 7-2
Exotics Use: #3 Stalwartly 9-2
Super Add: #2 Sing Baby Sing 5-1


<$50 P4 Play:

8: 5-7
9: 2-4-7-8-11-12
10: 1e-2e
11: 4-9


Good luck!
Steve

golfer 10-21-2007 08:41 AM

Quote:

Returning Ferocious Fires kept his perfect record intact via a DQ of Stormin Normandy in the Hudson, in a pitched battle of the Dutrow Brothers. Rick's 4yo 'Fires', away nearly a year, relentlessly came at Tony's pacesetting 'Normandy' who began to drift out past the sixteenth pole clearly impeeding the IEAH-Andrew Cohen son of Lite the Fuse. It was one of the day's best races.
Steve, not to nit-pick, but you've got the Dutrow brothers backwards... it was Dick "The Magician"'s "Normandy" and Tony's "Fires"...

Kasept 10-21-2007 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer
Steve, not to nit-pick, but you've got the Dutrow brothers backwards... it was Dick "The Magician"'s "Normandy" and Tony's "Fires"...

Is there really a difference? :D

J/K.. Thx.. (And there's a BIG difference...)

golfer 10-21-2007 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Is there a really difference? :D

J/K.. Thx.. (And there's a BIG difference...)

Well, since you mentioned it, 2 Dick "Magician" Dutrow horses from yesterday:

(and I don't mean to change the subject of the thread),

Expect the End from yesterday's 1st:

$1200 yearling purchase, runs a TG 22 in debut maiden $30,000 for Maker, Dutrow takes over, improves to a 9, then a 4.5..

Stormin Normandy from the 7th... this one was an expensive horse, $375,000 as a yearling, first 2 starts at 2 for Lukas, 12 and 15.. Dutrow takes over, off for 8 months, comes out with a ZERO!, then a 1.25..

I'm just asking, is Mr Dutrow simply a better trainer than the rest, or is there something else going on?

SentToStud 10-21-2007 10:29 AM

Bel Late 4

7: 4,8,9
8: 1,5,10
9: 1,6,8,12
10: 2,8,9,12

pointman 10-21-2007 01:04 PM

Steve, I am not sure if your picks are pre or post scratches. The 13 in the 9th is in, Cannonball, with Samyn aboard. Just wondering if you think he is an include in late pk4.

Coach Pants 10-21-2007 02:40 PM

Coal Play was impressive.

pointman 10-21-2007 03:07 PM

pk 4 split with pmac and ltjmac. Tough sequence today, but giving it a stab:

7: 1,6,8,10
8: 1,3,5,9
9: 7,8,11,13
10: 3,6,8,12

Good luck to all!

pointman 10-21-2007 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
pk 4 split with pmac and ltjmac. Tough sequence today, but giving it a stab:

7: 1,6,8,10
8: 1,3,5,9
9: 7,8,11,13
10: 3,6,8,12

Good luck to all!

As always, the one I throw out at the last minute beats me. Unbelievable. Coa should be shot for that ride, no reason to move that early.

Coach Pants 10-21-2007 03:36 PM

Late Pick 3
3,9,10
6,9,11
3,6,12

nom nom nom

pointman 10-21-2007 03:37 PM

I'll try a pk3, not sure why:

8: 1,5,9
9: 7,8,13
10: 3,6,8,12

hockey2315 10-21-2007 03:55 PM

I love the 5 in the 9th @ Woodbine. . . "Wolfson doesn't ship on a lark!"

Coach Pants 10-21-2007 04:20 PM

I hate this game. 13 must've been a f.uckin' giraffe...or was given phentermine :D

Kasept 10-21-2007 04:39 PM

Just home from afternoon out... Sorry not to get to the scratch board earlier for the changes which effectively made the effort at Belmont a total waste of time.

pointman 10-21-2007 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Just home from afternoon out... Sorry not to get to the scratch board earlier for the changes which effectively made the effort at Belmont a total waste of time.

I hope you didn't get a chance to bet, brutal day. The only thing I called right was the 13 in the 9th.

Kasept 10-21-2007 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
I hope you didn't get a chance to bet, brutal day. The only thing I called right was the 13 in the 9th.

No. Got home and was shocked to see all the scratches..


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