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-   -   Belmont Park - July 4th (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14762)

Holland Hacker 07-04-2007 07:13 AM

Belmont Park - July 4th
 
Looking at the late Pick 4 & am interested in some Comments & Critique on the following:

Race 7:

# 1 - Devils Concierge
# 1A - Ferocious Won - Scratched
# 9 - Running Dog
#10 - Air Race

Race 8:
# 4 - Rondo (Excluded from Pick 4)
# 6 - Commentator

Race 9:
# 2 - Nobiz like Shobiz
# 3 - Sightseeing
# 5 - First Defence (SCRATCHED)
# 6 - Any Given Saturday


Race 10:
# 2 - In the Spotlight
# 4 - Sacred City (Only because I own 3% - No inside info)
# 6 - Legal Tender
# 8 - Behrens Band
#11 - Seeking nore more
#13 - Dubliner

3 x 1 x 3 x 6 = $54

gamblin4ever 07-04-2007 07:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
Looking at the late Pick 4 & am interested in some Comments & Critique on the following:

Race 7:

# 1 - Devils Concierge
# 1A - Ferocious Won
# 9 - Running Dog

Race 8:
# 4 - Rondo
# 6 - Commentator

Race 9:
# 2 - Nobiz like Shobiz
# 3 - Sightseeing
# 5 - First Defence (Most likely will SCRATCH)
# 6 - Any Given Saturday


Race 10:
# 4 - Sacred City (Only because I own 3% - No inside info)
# 8 - Behrens Band
#11 - Seeking nore more
#13 - Dubliner

2 x 2 x 3 x 4 = 48

LATE PK 4 - BELMONT (PRE SCRATCHES)

R7= 1,6,9,10
R8 = 6
R9 = 2,3,6
R10= 2,6,11,13 (#s 4,8 - sires = poor 1st turf stats & both trainers have poor stats on 1st starts & 1st turf)

4X1X3X4 = $48

hockey2315 07-04-2007 10:22 AM

I'd single commentator and add horses in the last leg which could be a tricky one. . .

trifecta124 07-04-2007 10:26 AM

I am really surprised that no one likes Calculator in the 7th. His last race wasn't great, but he has run comprtitive Beyers in realtion to the rest of the field. Regardless, I believe all of these late pk 4 races are competitive today.

KY_Sasquash 07-04-2007 10:40 AM

I think Rondo will get drilled and his morning line odds of 4-1 are an underlay. He hasnt beaten anything in any of his races (none are stakes quality), he lost to Bound Notebook, who's only run fast once and he shouldnt have had any problem beating, first time in a graded stakes going 7F in a race that'll have plenty of pace. No thanks. If Commentator gets caught up in a duel and has nothing left i'll be looking for Istan or Awesome Twist to come and pick up the pieces at juicy odds of 12-1 & 20-1.


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