6/14: Belmont ($47k Carryover)
 

Maddening miss in the late P4/P3 yesterday after starting out with $60.00 winner in the 6th.. Nice exotics score in the 7th made the day OK, but P4 brought back $2,000+.. Failure to get Loconia (P4 single) or Silver Timber (P3 inclusion) home in tricky 8th the death knell... Argh.. Carryover Thursday with mundane card on tap..


BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3+, 1m (P6, P3)

1. #6 Fiddlers Warrior 2-1: 10x Contessa loser better last T2D, 1st for tag.. 2nd
2. #8 Ferdi's Prince 5-2: Violette strong 2nd st., on stretch, off breaks.. 3rd
A. #2 Turf Only 12-1: Paraneck on schneid; 4yo returns to taggers.. 4th
B. #4 SCRATCHED SUB: #3 Snuff Box 10-1 WON

$1 EX: $48.50
$1 TRI: $129.50


5th: MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #8 Tizzy's Jazz 5-1: Tiznow bay best efforts came turfing; Gets Edgar.. 4th
2. #5 SCRATCHED
A. #1e Contessa entry 4-1: 1a Runaway Star looks mildly appealing.. 3rd
B. #7 Pecunia 6-1: Reynolds FL claim a threat with return to best.. WON


6th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #4 For Gill 3-1: Maintaining form for Contessa and hot Winning Move team.. 6th
2. #6 Rob's Boy Mat 9-2: Square price on dropper with winning races in PP's.. 3rd
A. #9 Sir Jackie 4-1: Another of the Florida buys from Reynolds-Pompa.. WON
B. #2 Mighty Gulch 7-2: Likely loses Dutrow 'edge' off claim, but compelled to include.. 5th


7th: CLM, 4+, 7f-T (P3, Super)

Super tough elongated turf sprint.. Make or break here in multis..

1. #2 SCRATCHED
2. #1 Bon Marie 12-1: Has scored this odd trip; Needs voyage from tough post.. WON
A. #8 Thunder Anees 30-1: Crazy ML value on 5yo pointing to good effort.. 9th
B. #10 Storm Boot Gold 5-1: Always scared to leave this knocker off tix.. 8th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #12 Pulpiteer 20-1: Returns to price of acquisition.. 6th


8th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (DD)

1. #1 Dixie Dawn 7-5: Simply taking Coa over Bracetty in odd group.. 5th
2. #2 Just Starting 8-5: Note tag and need for weight allocation on winner in 4 of last 6.. 3rd
3. #5 Karakorum Starlet 6-1: Very nice Skip Away daughter excels at BEL.. 2nd


9th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f-T (Super)

As usual, a rough way to finish.. Bad bunch o' coconuts here..

1. #6 Giggi's Baby 7-2 4th
2. #3 Siempre Verdi 8-1 3rd
A. #10 Two Regal 6-1 2nd
B. #11 Alchera 6-1 6th

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #2 Gypsy Gale 20-1 7th


<$100 P6 Play:

4: 2-6-8
5: 1e-8
6: 4-6
7: 1-8
8: 1
9: 3-6

3x2x2x2x1x2 = 48 x $2 = $96


@$50 P4/@$25 P3 Plays:

6: 4-6
7: 1-8-10-11-12
8: 1-2
9: 2-3-6

4: 2x5x2x3 = $60
3: 5x2x3 = $30


Good luck!
Steve

Considerable key scratches including Mr. Guggenheim (4th); Whole Emblem (5th)' Forward Move (7th)...

http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/BEL-changes.asp

Might be the most ridiculous series of scratches ever.

The puzzle to all those races was completely changed. If the cards stay like this until Saratoga it's going to be a very boring six weeks.

Steve...any thoughts on the #8 Panicking Petunia in the 9th from your friend Del Carroll? Looks like a "flyer" here with the 6 & 5 to beat.

Good to know.

When exactly did I say I was particularly interested in Graded stakes? Not that it's relevant but I rarely bet Graded stakes.

The day to day racing at Belmont was pretty good at the start of the meet but has been decidedly subpar since Memorial Day and specifically bad the last three racing days.

what are the reasons for not betting graded stakes, if U don't mind me asking? More $$ in the pools should equal more overlays, esp. when horses like perfict drift run and eliminate the takeout.

R6) Rob's Boy Matt: this horse is gonna make or break me, b/c im leaving him off my ticket today. Previous win came against same conditions but he was pretty much a gate to wire winner. A pretty good amount of speed in this race, and i don't see him getting an uncontested lead even if he does make it to the front end. His last 3 races leave something to be desired, and though he's making a pretty good drop down to a competitive level i still can't put him on the win ticket

going to use the "Johnny Obvious" selections: 9-4/ possible 2 if speed is holding today

gl all

-bt-

P6 play
 

R4) 6,8
R5) 1,8
R6) 2,4,6
R7) 5
R8) 1,2
R9) 5,6

96 bucks

The races tend to be more formful and overall probably present me with less of the kind of betting opportunities I am looking for.

Is it usually OK for Suburban day?

PK6

68
18
49 (left out the speed, might come back to haunt me)
15 11
1
569 = $144

Saver PK6 since i own a small piece of the #3 Snuff Box

3
18
9
5 11
1
569 = $24

gl all

-bt-

Congrats on your win.... Big price to boot!

thanks, wish i took all my pk6 investments and used him on the win ticket

what looked like the the easier portions of the pk6 turned out to be a nightmare, gl to those still alive


late pk4
249
15 11
15
569 = $54

-bt-

This is exactly how I feel, you look through the form and you know who is gonna be close at the wire. Rarely can you find a nugget in a Grade 1, but that 25k claimer on a Wed....you might find a nugget that others miss.

Musical Melody is extremely live in the last race for an outfit that rarely takes much money.