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-   -   6/9: Belmont Stakes Day (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=14044)

Kasept 06-09-2007 06:46 AM

6/9: Belmont Stakes Day
 
Solid card on tap for Belmont Day, though getting prices on top may be challenging.. $1,000,000 guarantees on P6, P4 and a number of marquee horses on view for what has dawned as a heavily overcast day.. Apologies for a less-than-detailed analysis below, but it's been a rather full week.. Enjoy the end of the Triple Crown season..

BELMONT PARK

PRE-SCRATCHES

1st: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (DD)

1. #2e Houghton-Dutrow entry 5-2 3rd
2. #3 Oh My Stars 10-1 7th
A. #6 Unaffected 8-1 6th
B. #7 Grand Champion 2-1 WON


2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3)

1. #5 Wild Hoots 8-1 4th
2. #8 SCR
A. #9 Prom Party 5-2 WON
B. #10 Come Fly Away 8-1 8th


3rd: The Birdstone, 4+, 9f (P3)

1. #4 Hesanoldsalt 8-5 2nd
2. #1 A.P. Arrow 9-5 3rd
3. #3 Papi Chullo 3-1 WON


4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3yo, 6f (P3)

1. #3 Berry Bound 5-1 WON
2. #11 Minority Leader 15-1 8th
A #7 Conduct of Honor 20-1 10th
B. #9 Smokey Chimney 8-5 2nd

EX


5th: Foresta, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3)

1. #8 Criminologist 8-1 6th
2. #3 I'm in Love 12-1 2nd
A. #5 Beautiful Danielle 10-1 9th
B. #2 Daytime Promise 20-1 8th


6th: 29th True North H. (Gr. II), 3+, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

1. #5 Bordonero 8-5 7th
2. #4 Will He Shine 8-1 WON
A. #7 Joey P. 8-1 6th
B. #1e Houghton entry 6-1 2nd/3rd

EX


7th: 14th Just a Game (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 1m-T (Grand Slam, P3)

This is a much more intriguing race than it looks on paper.. Wait a While could end up winning easily, but this group is well-matched..

1. #5 Wait a While 6-5 2nd
2. #1 Take the Ribbon 5-1 3rd
A. #3 Miss Shop 15-1 5th
B. #2 My Typhoon 5-2 WON


8th: 23rd Woody Stephens (Gr. II), 3yo, 7f (P4, DD, Super)

1. #2 Deadly Dealer 5-2 7th
2. #6 Most Distinguished 6-1 2nd
A. #8 Street Magician 5-1 5th
B. #5 SCR

LONGSHOT/SUPER ADD: #10 Hobbitontherocks 20-1 8th


9th: 77th Acorn (Gr. I), P3, DD)

1. #1 Dream Rush 7-5 2nd
2. #4 Cotton Blossom 5-1 WON
A. #6 Boca Grande 7-2 4th
B. #2 Princess Janie 12-1 5th

EX


10th: 109th Manhattan H. (Gr. I), 3+, 10f-T (P4, DD, Super)

1. #3 SCR
2. #2 English Channel 5-2 2nd
A. #8 Cosmonaut 5-1 4th
B. #9 Kiss the Kid 20-1 7th


11th: 139th Belmont Stakes (Gr. I), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD, Super)

1. #6 Hard Spun 5-2 4th
2. #3 Curlin 6-5 2nd
A. #7 Rags to Riches 3-1 WON
B. #2 Tiago 10-1 3rd

EX/TRI/SUPER


12th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-T (DD)

1. #4 Iron Goddess 8-1 WON
2. #1e Contessa entry 5-2 3rd
A. #5 Quiet Rendition 8-1 2nd
B. #9 Heavenly Anna 5-1 8th

EX/TRI


13th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 9f-T (Super)

1. #8 You Sure 20-1 4th
2. #3 Stately Pegasus 8-5 WON
A. #1 In the Spotlight 15-1 3rd
B. #9 Jackie's Punt 10-1 10th
C. #12 Seittam 8-1 9th


<$50 P4/P3 Plays:

2: 5-(8-SCR)
3: 3-4
4: 3-11
5: 2-3-4-5-7-8 $24 P3 pays $44

2x2x2x6 = $48 (With scratch of 8 in 1st leg, ticket dropped to $24. Using next choice there produced the $127.50 P4)


8: 2-6-8
9: 1-4
10: 2-3-8-9
11: 3-6

3x2x4x2 = $48


10: 2-3
11: 3-6-7
12: 1-4-5-9
13: 3-8 ($24 P3 pays $100.25)

2x3x4x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

golfer 06-09-2007 06:50 AM

Steve, you may be in trouble, as we agree on many of the races:)
Did you ever get a chance to speak to Dan Peitz?

blackthroatedwind 06-09-2007 08:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by golfer
Steve, you may be in trouble, as we agree on many of the races:)
Did you ever get a chance to speak to Dan Peitz?


Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.

VOL JACK 06-09-2007 08:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.

Don't bash anyone for picking SW. Your picking Will He Shine!

golfer 06-09-2007 09:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Danny told him he would come on when he was running a horse with a chance.

I'd like to hear this from Steve, If you don't mind!;)

Storm Cadet 06-09-2007 10:00 AM

BELMONT PARK
SCRATCHES AND PROGRAM CHANGES FOR SATURDAY, 6/9/2007
TRACK CONDITIONS
Weather: CHANCE OF RAIN 78

Track: FAST

Turf: FIRM

Turf Races: 2, 5, 7, 10, 12, 13

Inner: Set at 0 Ft

Widener: Set at 0 Ft

P6 Carryover: NONE Takeout - 15.00 %

SCRATCHES
Race Program # Horse Time Notes
1 1 (poe) Trading Star Early
2B My Dynomite Early
4 Trippi Appeal Early

2 3X Unspoken Vow Early
8 Risky Agenda Early

3 6 Frost Giant Early

5 10 Dean's List Early

8 5 Sports Town Early
7 Out of Gwedda Early

10 3 Sky Conqueror Early

12 2 Sweet Corredor Early
10 Find the Chestnut Early
12 Freakazoid Early
14 Rizzi's Twist Early
15 Court and Spark Early

13 4 Howdyamissthisone Early
13 Raptime Early
14 Topsail Early

JOCKEY CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
2 2B Fascinating Girl C. Hill

12 13 Flying Sappho E. Martin

13 7 Storm Beat J. Ponce

MISCELLANEOUS CHANGES
Race Program # Horse Changes
6 1 Dashboard Drummer +2
6 Sir Five Star +4

AeWingnut 06-09-2007 10:08 AM

my inability to cash tickets by AeWingnut
 
bold denotes use in pick 3's or keying in exotics

Race 1 - tossing fav. Grand Champion<-- mortal lock now so the chalk wins whoopdee do

#1e Greater Fool - can this horse find trouble EVERY race ? probably his fault bobbled start 4 wide up for 3rd
#6 Unaffected - can the 176 layoff leave him unaffected:rolleyes: lost whip runs 6th
#2 Lord Snowndon - pace helps chances pace didn't help anyone today 4th
#3 Oh My Stars - rail hurts chances vied inside then quit and ran last

Race 2

#1 Slewfoundmoney - inside post helps chances rank ran 3rd
#6 Enchanted Rock - McGaughey is only 12% with 1st timers - Well bred broke very slow McGaughey not trying again
#4 Anascaul - 2nd off layoff - stretching from 6 to 8f no kick at all runs 5th
#9 Prom Party - favortei with best late kick in for the exotics another win for the chalk 1st

Race 3

no value pass
1 & 4 in pick 3 wtf

Race 4

#1 Dancing Robbins - post a concern but I like odds and early speed couldn't get the lead and quit
#2 Quick and Easy - my kinda girl oh wait these are boys:o another one that could run with the winner and quit
#3 Berry Bound - beter post than #10 Defrereoftheheart the 4th chalk victory in 4 races 1st
#6 Woodmere - turf to dirt another quitter

Race 5

#3 I'm in Love - when a trainer has more than one entry - take the longest part runs 2nd behind the chalk
#8 Criminologist - Prado sucked on on this not kick sorry pos
#10 Dean's List - could get up scr
#11 Fantastic Shirl - fast and 4th

Race 6

#1&1a Dashboard Drummer & Suave Jazz- running for place hey, I was right they got 2nd and 3rd now... where is the winner
#5 Bordonaro - winner gets taken for a ride and gives up like the chalk normally does only took 6 races for it to happen
#7 Joey P. - if Bordonaro falls down Boronaro fell down but there was no Joey P. to be seen


Race 7

#1 Take The Ribbon - post position and speed sits back and watches My Typhoon walk away idiot
#3 Miss Shop - in exotics in my dreams stupid horses I hate them
#5 Wait A While - hey it's wait a while waited and ran 2nd


Race 8

#1 Bill Place - post hurts chances but an include include in Super 4th
#3 Stormello - cut bak in distance and class and finish 3rd
#5 Sports Town - gets 'em late scr
#6 Most Distinguished - wise guy could only manage 2nd
#9 Not For Money - have to include see pace and odds another stellar nothing Prado not in the money

Race 9

#1 Dream Rush - the one ot catch hey the chalk ran 2nd
#4 Cotton Blossom - no Rags in this race no rags and gets the win too bad I was already out the door with all the chalk wins early #6 Boca Grande - in the exotics

Race 10 1st 3rd 4th and 5th per the usual

#4 Red Zipper - what if gets the lead for a change? Value got the lead and did nothing with it
#6 Shakis - things are looking up 3rd behind the best 2 horses
#7 Better Talk Now - always coming and beats the overrated but took my Super away Engrish Chanell 1st
#8 Cosmonaut - involved early 4th

Race 11
if you throw out all the favorites you get Birdstone .. I mean
#4 CP West had the lead on a speed favoring track just not a 1 1/2 horse

#3 Curlin gets beat by a girl 2nd
#6 Hard Spun got tired AGAIN 4th
#7 Rags to Riches - makes history I guess the Great Colin strikes again get it Strikes again

Race 12

#4 Iron Goddess - Migliore my only selection wins what a coup. I am the greatest handicapper that ever lived
ehhh I've alread gone home


Race 13

good luck didn't stick around to watch another chalk victory.

should've stayed home

pointman 06-09-2007 10:38 AM

Steve, a little surprised that you don't like the Mott entry in the second. Any reason? Good luck to all today.

tap 06-09-2007 10:59 AM

Belmont 6/9
 
R8 #9 Not For Money 15/1 ML

R10 #1 Minister's Joy 10/1 ML

R12 #3 Cordilleran Ice 15/1 ML

The Belmont Stakes

1 #3 Curlin 2nd
2 #2 Tiago 3rd
3 #7 Rags To Riches 1st

-BT- 06-09-2007 11:08 AM

Hank Goldberg just singled Hesanoldsalt in the 3rd for his pk4........ needless to say i already ripped my tickets

"we can't win we've been mushed"

-bt-

pointman 06-09-2007 11:52 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by -BT-
Hank Goldberg just singled Hesanoldsalt in the 3rd for his pk4........ needless to say i already ripped my tickets

"we can't win we've been mushed"

-bt-

Oh no!

GPK 06-09-2007 01:26 PM

The Foresta Race 5
 
I'm In Love will make some noise at a nice price.

I have Meribel singled in my Pick 3 though.

GPK 06-09-2007 01:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I'm In Love will make some noise at a nice price.

I have Meribel singled in my Pick 3 though.


Mother......and I don't play the freaking exacta!!!!!!!!!!!!!

ceejay 06-09-2007 01:58 PM

$180 P6 play
 
5 // 1,3 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 1,2 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6,3,7
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6,3,7,1,5
5 // 5 // 4,6 // 1 // 1,7,6 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 2,5,8 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 1,2 // 1 // 6 // 2,4,6
5 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 6 // 2,4,6,3,7
2 // 5 // 8 // 1 // 1,7 // 2,4,6

GPK 06-09-2007 02:46 PM

Late Pick 4
 
races 8-11

2,8/1/2/3,7

Gauchos0522 06-09-2007 02:55 PM

Late 4

$2 2,3,8/1/2,6,7,8/3,6
$2 1/1/2,6,7,8/3,6
$1 2/3,6/2,6,7,8/3,6
$2 2,3,8/1/1/3,6
$2 2/1/2,6,7,8/7

$100 total

Antitrust32 06-09-2007 03:06 PM

$1 pick 4 race 8

238
1
258
37

$1 belmont stakes tri
37 / 23467

docicu3 06-09-2007 04:12 PM

Cotton Blossom !!!!

Tuffflesburg!!!!

My Typhoon!!!




Just get me the cyanide now and get my oblong bed ready the end of the world is near!!! The Devil has won....

Rudeboyelvis 06-09-2007 05:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by docicu3
Cotton Blossom !!!!

Tuffflesburg!!!!

My Typhoon!!!




Just get me the cyanide now and get my oblong bed ready the end of the world is near!!! The Devil has won....

I think it's time for a huge win bet on I'mawildandcrazyguy...

letswastemoney 06-09-2007 05:23 PM

$4 Exacta

Rags, Hard Spun

over Tiago, Slew's Tizzy, Rags, Hard Spun $24

Curlin will be... 3rd I hope :D


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