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-   -   Dreaming of Anna - Arlington (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=13808)

Scav 06-02-2007 12:54 AM

Dreaming of Anna - Arlington
 
I really REALLY think she is a play against tomorrow. She is going to be 2/5 maybe even 1/9 in this race with the stupid Arlington public betting into these pools. The whole Calabrese clan, who I support and respect greatly, will be all over her, and I just think there is NEGATIVE value in her. Horses like the 1 Forest Fortune, 3, Lemonlime, and 7 Secret Kin are all improving types, where Anna just seems to have some Sinister Minister in her. I am going out there to see her but I think she is a major play against tomorrow.

miraja2 06-02-2007 06:55 AM

I agree about DOA, and I too like Forest Fortune a bit. Her last two races look good, and in fact, all of her efforts since Pletcher switched her to the lawn have been pretty nice. I also like the fact that she is cutting back slightly from 8.5f to 8f, and with the short run into the first turn the 1 post is helpful.
I also like the 4 (Nice Inheritance) a little. The pace might be unusually fast up front for a two-turn turf race, and if it is, she may pick up the pieces like she did in that 7.5f turf stakes she won last November. In addition, she is switching from Albarado to Graham.....which I consider a definite upgrade, especially on the grass.

hoovesupsideyourhead 06-02-2007 04:02 PM

yea she is a play against...so much for your pro capper bs..

Buffymommy 06-02-2007 06:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
yea she is a play against...so much for your pro capper bs..


I take it she won? How did she look back on the grass?

Cannon Shell 06-02-2007 06:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
I take it she won? How did she look back on the grass?

Like she should against a bunch of glorified allowance horses...

Buffymommy 06-02-2007 06:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Like she should against a bunch of glorified allowance horses...


Good enough to give Wait A While a run for her money? Could DOA be my next Gorella? Hmmm...

robfla 06-02-2007 06:38 PM

no - no

Buffymommy 06-02-2007 06:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
no - no


Well dang. I need a new fave filly.

Cannon Shell 06-02-2007 06:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Buffymommy
Well dang. I need a new fave filly.

You qualify your favorites based upon how they stack up to Gorella? I take it you are a big Tiger Woods and Roger Federer fan too!

Buffymommy 06-02-2007 06:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You qualify your favorites based upon how they stack up to Gorella? I take it you are a big Tiger Woods and Roger Federer fan too!


No actually I am not. :)

I just loved Gorella. I like watching the fillies on the grass.

avance2000 06-02-2007 06:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
I also like the 4 (Nice Inheritance) a little. The pace might be unusually fast up front for a two-turn turf race, and if it is, she may pick up the pieces like she did in that 7.5f turf stakes she won last November. In addition, she is switching from Albarado to Graham.....which I consider a definite upgrade, especially on the grass.

she ran pretty well for second. hope you used her underneath anna.

miraja2 06-02-2007 09:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by avance2000
she ran pretty well for second. hope you used her underneath anna.

Well that would have made sense wouldn't it? Since I found an 8/1 shot that I liked, I can see how you would assume that I would play her underneath the 2/5 favorite. But I didn't.
In fact, that race was just one exhibit in the fascinating demonstration I put on today at Arlington Park entitled:
"How to turn decent handicapping into absolutely NO MONEY!!!"

philcski 06-02-2007 09:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
Well that would have made sense wouldn't it? Since I found an 8/1 shot that I liked, I can see how you would assume that I would play her underneath the 2/5 favorite. But I didn't.
In fact, that race was just one exhibit in the fascinating demonstration I put on today at Arlington Park entitled:
"How to turn decent handicapping into absolutely NO MONEY!!!"

Don't worry Miraja, I took the cake today at Monmouth in that category. I played the 50 cent P5 (which had a small carryover), and the first race in the sequence was scratched down to a 4 horse field of which only 3 had any ability. I liked the 2nd choice and played a $1 combo totalling $200 ticket starting with him, and went back and forth on whether to use the other two; finally I compromised and only used the 3rd choice in a 50 cent $16 ticket with my "A" horses in every other leg (so it would have been $16 more to include the 4/5 favorite in that secondary ticket.)
Needless to say, the 4/5 won by about a length, and I had all the other legs on the $16 ticket... and the P5 paid $4600 for a buck. :(

golfer 06-03-2007 05:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
Well that would have made sense wouldn't it? Since I found an 8/1 shot that I liked, I can see how you would assume that I would play her underneath the 2/5 favorite. But I didn't.
In fact, that race was just one exhibit in the fascinating demonstration I put on today at Arlington Park entitled:
"How to turn decent handicapping into absolutely NO MONEY!!!"

You been reading my latest book(that I haven't written yet, but have been doing hands on research for)?


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