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-   -   Performance Figures & the Derby (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12598)

somerfrost 05-01-2007 12:35 AM

Performance Figures & the Derby
 
As I've previously stated, I prefer Dr Roman's PF's to Beyers...another thread questioned the possibility of a sub-100 Beyer for this year's winner...I would likewise say no! Looking at the PF's for Derby winners since 1999 (Charismatic) we see
99...-48
00...-57
01...-75
02...-61
03...-60
04...-63
05...-48
06...-60
Looking at those numbers, one would expect a winning PF around -60 this year although lower is possible given the prep results.
Here is an interesting note for what it may be worth, in 8 of the last 9 years, the Derby winner had a PF of -54 or better in a 3yo prep of 8f or longer (Giacomo being the exception). This year, 6 horses meet that standard:
Circular Quay...-65
Any Given Sat...-60
Street Sense...-60
Nobiz...-55
Dominican...-54
Zanjero...-54
Again...just something to think about!

nomad 05-01-2007 12:41 AM

I want pps drf style.

Right now I am trying to separate my 3 horses:

Street Sense

Any Given Saturday

Scat Daddy

Leaning toward AGS

Can anybody help or do I wait until Thurs?

declansharbor 05-01-2007 12:46 AM

http://www.drf.com/tc/kentuckyderby/...rby_top_25.pdf

nomad 05-01-2007 09:05 PM

Thank you for the updated pps.

How come some people have racetracks under their name? Under mine, it just says "foal". It'll probably take me a while to figure out how to negotiate this site.


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