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-   -   'paceQuality' figs: Street Sense (last 4); Bluegrass S. (w/Trakus) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=12081)

Bobby Fischer 04-16-2007 08:55 PM

'paceQuality' figs: Street Sense (last 4); Bluegrass S. (w/Trakus)
 





(click and open full screen)

Here are my figures for Street Sense's last four races. Also included here is an in-depth look at the Bluegrass Stakes using Trakus Data with my figures.

Pace Quality or pQ attempts to measure the pace of the primary contenders in a race at the pace call. This can be important in identifying a true race shape. pQ2 measures the pace of the primary contenders from the pace call to the the finish. The Bluegrass was a visually obvious example of a race that "came home fast". Figures are listed in feet/second velocity.


- new to this forum any questions or comments welcome

Cannon Shell 04-16-2007 09:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer





(click and open full screen)

Here are my figures for Street Sense's last four races. Also included here is an in-depth look at the Bluegrass Stakes using Trakus Data with my figures.

Pace Quality or pQ attempts to measure the pace of the primary contenders in a race at the pace call. This can be important in identifying a true race shape. pQ2 measures the pace of the primary contenders from the pace call to the the finish. The Bluegrass was a visually obvious example of a race that "came home fast". Figures are listed in feet/second velocity.


- new to this forum any questions or comments welcome

You play chess?

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-16-2007 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer





(click and open full screen)

Here are my figures for Street Sense's last four races. Also included here is an in-depth look at the Bluegrass Stakes using Trakus Data with my figures.

Pace Quality or pQ attempts to measure the pace of the primary contenders in a race at the pace call. This can be important in identifying a true race shape. pQ2 measures the pace of the primary contenders from the pace call to the the finish. The Bluegrass was a visually obvious example of a race that "came home fast". Figures are listed in feet/second velocity.


- new to this forum any questions or comments welcome

If you were on the "other" board...they boot you off!
Run by a bunch of "A".....holes :mad:

Scav 04-16-2007 09:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer





(click and open full screen)

Here are my figures for Street Sense's last four races. Also included here is an in-depth look at the Bluegrass Stakes using Trakus Data with my figures.

Pace Quality or pQ attempts to measure the pace of the primary contenders in a race at the pace call. This can be important in identifying a true race shape. pQ2 measures the pace of the primary contenders from the pace call to the the finish. The Bluegrass was a visually obvious example of a race that "came home fast". Figures are listed in feet/second velocity.


- new to this forum any questions or comments welcome

Great information BF, a little indepth for someone like me who likes to fire at the windows but to each is own. Hopefully they let you back into the USA soon :)

Bobby Fischer 04-16-2007 09:20 PM

lol @ the chess comments. ;)

easy goer 04-17-2007 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
You play chess?

I think he gave it up 35 years ago.

easy goer 04-17-2007 12:28 AM

The trakus data is interesting:

1) is the data available on the internet? And/or have you done these data charts for all the preps?

2) Zanjero seems to save ground quite well; how come SS covered more ground than Dominican? Is that because Dominican angled out in the stretch?

3) Great Hunters speed/pace, these rates figure to be on the low side on account of his being blocked, but if he was not blocked would the figs reveal that he was tiring? The figs dont look too bad given that he wa blocked. I think Jerry Bailey said he was tiring and everyone sort of agreed do the numbers say that?

4) on the SS stats, you give the PQ for the field but I would like to see the velocity for Ss himself. HIs Beyer figs have gone down and this is supposed to be significant, obviously the CD surface was a help as was the synthetic, but Id really like to compare the futurity to the TB derby to see what that was.

blackthroatedwind 04-17-2007 08:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by easy goer
I think he gave it up 35 years ago.


Actually, Bobby Fischer became world chess champion 35 years ago and gave up his title 32 years ago. He played Boris Spassky in 1992, which was 15 years ago, in what may have been his last public match.

Thoroughbred Fan 04-17-2007 08:18 AM

Kasparov by a pole

todko 04-17-2007 09:20 AM

Dominican had the highest speed from the pace call to the finish. Figure a 12 clip at 55 ft per second and Dominican was running at 58 ft per second. Dominican was the best horse in that race.

The Trakus stats support the visual in this race.

I don't know if you can pull up distance run by each horse from the pace call to finish. Might show who veered the most.

Kasept 04-17-2007 11:36 AM

B/F,

Thanks for bringing these into the discussions... Though this kind of info is generally PaceAdvantage-ish, I'm sure everyone will appreciate the nums and it should generate great chatter. Feel free to chart the joint up!

Steve

Bobby Fischer 04-17-2007 10:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by easy goer

4) on the SS stats, you give the PQ for the field but I would like to see the velocity for Ss himself. HIs Beyer figs have gone down and this is supposed to be significant, obviously the CD surface was a help as was the synthetic, but Id really like to compare the futurity to the TB derby to see what that was.

I will respond to the other comments, first I would like to say thank you this is a good suggestion. I will now include this information with my derby prep figures.


STREET SENSE paceQuality with SS individual velocity numbers:




Circular Quay :cool:








Curlin will be up soon

Bobby Fischer 04-17-2007 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by easy goer
The trakus data is interesting:

1) is the data available on the internet? And/or have you done these data charts for all the preps?

Trakus data is available for free from the Keeneland website. I have the paceQuality figures on a spreadsheet and will post them as I have time to paste them into the templates. I don't currently have a website.

Quote:

Originally Posted by easy goer
2) Zanjero seems to save ground quite well; how come SS covered more ground than Dominican? Is that because Dominican angled out in the stretch?

According to the trakus, somewhere in the first 6 furlongs Street Sense managed to run 10 more feet than Dominican. Not much over the course of about 4000 feet, but still amounts to about a length in distance advantage.

Quote:

Originally Posted by easy goer
3) Great Hunters speed/pace, these rates figure to be on the low side on account of his being blocked, but if he was not blocked would the figs reveal that he was tiring? The figs dont look too bad given that he wa blocked. I think Jerry Bailey said he was tiring and everyone sort of agreed do the numbers say that?

They all came home so fast that with the traffic in the stretch it would be hard to spot anything on the figures alone. Even Beyer complained about this one!:D What do you think? The trakus numbers look good for him. Judgement call

easy goer 04-18-2007 02:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Actually, Bobby Fischer became world chess champion 35 years ago and gave up his title 32 years ago. He played Boris Spassky in 1992, which was 15 years ago, in what may have been his last public match.

It has certainly been his last to date and has led to his present problems vis a vis the US government. He was paid by Yugo. government at the time on a list of entities you cant do business with..Hence his sojourn to Phillipines, Japan, etc. Now in Iceland. Strange guy; did anyone see Schaap's interview with him in Iceland?

easy goer 04-18-2007 03:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer

They all came home so fast that with the traffic in the stretch it would be hard to spot anything on the figures alone. Even Beyer complained about this one!:D What do you think? The trakus numbers look good for him. Judgement call

I think it is hard to say that Great Hunter was tiring although Bailey seemed to think so and I guess Nakatani was not going to push the issue. Perhaps because GH was running 2nd position until the home stretch where he fell back a little. Have to watch this again, not at all certain. Could be a useful angle.

Bobby Fischer 04-18-2007 10:37 PM

CURLIN


NOBIZ LIKE SHOBIZ


SCAT DADDY

philcski 04-18-2007 10:46 PM

Just for informational purposes:
55 ft/s = 2:00 flat
54 ft/s = 2:02.22
53 ft/s = 2:04.5

The ideal "winning profile" in energy distribution:
55.9 ft/s early and 54.3 ft/s late.

easy goer 04-18-2007 10:59 PM

This is really good stuff Bobby, thanks. :)

I am looking at Curlin numbers and it seems that his figs are the same as the leading pace contenders. Yes? Is that because he is so far out in front or something else? It is hard to get a read on the field that he is in if his figs are the same as the field.


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