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-   -   English Channel 4-1 Lava Man 5-1 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11343)

whodey17 03-29-2007 01:23 AM

English Channel 4-1 Lava Man 5-1
 
This is a nice race. I couldnt imagine Lava Man going down in odds.

GPK 03-29-2007 06:40 AM

I saw those...and Miesques Approval is 6-1. I just don't see him getting the :45-:46 and the 1:09-1:10 that he needs to run at.

PPerfectfan 03-29-2007 07:06 AM

I would say that is about right. I would def. put EC over Lava Man.

brockguy 03-29-2007 07:39 AM

They are just awful estimated odds..really really awful..

EC 11-1 and Lava Man 7-1 here.. its such a competitive field and no horse deserves to be under 6-1 here!

ArlJim78 03-29-2007 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
They are just awful estimated odds..really really awful..

EC 11-1 and Lava Man 7-1 here.. its such a competitive field and no horse deserves to be under 6-1 here!

In these types of races the morning line odds are seldom real good over here.
I largely ignore it.

Scurlogue Champ 03-29-2007 11:05 AM

I think English Channel should be 20-1 in this type of company. Whoever has the winner will most likely get at least 5 points higher on it due to the American pools likely favoring Lava Man and EC with dumb money.

Great race to find the winner.

Linny 03-29-2007 11:17 AM

Irridesence is the overlay of the day.

jjf1031 03-29-2007 11:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by brockguy
They are just awful estimated odds..really really awful..

EC 11-1 and Lava Man 7-1 here.. its such a competitive field and no horse deserves to be under 6-1 here!

When just comparing those two EC is a gift at 11-1. Lava Man at 7-1 or less is horrible. But like above I think Irridesence is the bet

ArlJim78 03-29-2007 12:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Linny
Irridesence is the overlay of the day.

Why do you say that? To me she hasn't looked the same this year. The last was better but she was still behind two that are in this race, along with many others.

One horse I'm giving a good look at is Linngari. Think he might be getting strong at just the right time.

Pedigree Ann 03-29-2007 03:56 PM

Always beware of Mike de Kock in Dubai and he has an up and comer named Kapil in here. Ran decent again Linngari and course specialist Seihali in his first off the 6 month layoff, then won for fun. A Southern Hemisphere 4yo, G1 placed in South Africa. And Pompeii Ruler is a genuine (that's a pun, look at his pedigree) G1 horse at 7-10f. Been knocking heads with the best in Australia - El Segundo, Aqua d'Amore, et. al. - and has never been better. Remember Elvis (Elvstroem) in this one a couple of yearts ago?


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