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-   -   300 dollar horse at GP3 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=10772)

MisterB 03-12-2007 01:27 PM

300 dollar horse at GP3
 

Antitrust32 03-12-2007 01:41 PM

is it weird that the $1 ex paid more than the $1 super? also a 15,000 tri for a buck. numbers on the right are is the pool size
$2 Daily Double $631.80 5-12 $77,811
$1 Exacta $764.90 12-10 $125,265
$1 Superfecta $738.20 12-10-ALL-ALL $23,623
$1 Trifecta $15,596.20 12-10-8 $83,180

MisterB 03-12-2007 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
is it weird that the $1 ex paid more than the $1 super? also a 15,000 tri for a buck.
$2 Daily Double $631.80 5-12 $77,811
$1 Exacta $764.90 12-10 $125,265
$1 Superfecta $738.20 12-10-ALL-ALL $23,623
$1 Trifecta $15,596.20 12-10-8 $83,180

Nobody had the super, that is why I think

Antitrust32 03-12-2007 01:45 PM

thanks guys..

randallscott35 03-12-2007 01:48 PM

90 dollars to place. When it rains it pours Grits.

Antitrust32 03-12-2007 01:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
90 dollars to place. When it rains it pours Grits.


but you are realizing that over the long run grits will be right (may not be in the 250 sample... but the grits has the goods with her logic)

Grits 03-12-2007 01:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
but you are realizing that over the long run grits will be right (may not be in the 250 sample... but the grits has the goods with her logic)

Don't I know you'd chime in. LOLOL

Grits 03-12-2007 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
but you are realizing that over the long run grits will be right (may not be in the 250 sample... but the grits has the goods with her logic)

That's my girl, that's smart thinking! What's 250 samples over years and years of play? Zip.

MisterB 03-12-2007 01:59 PM

The 7th Sunday
Place horse paid $14 for place, $24 for show

It's all on the TOTE board to see

Grits 03-12-2007 02:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB

BisterB looks like a smiley face whistling, "DON'T WORRY, BE HAPPY!!!"

randallscott35 03-12-2007 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
but you are realizing that over the long run grits will be right (may not be in the 250 sample... but the grits has the goods with her logic)

Huh, should we go to a 1000 races? I mean 250 instances(not races) is plenty....And yes, it will end up closer.

Grits 03-12-2007 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Huh, should we go to a 1000 races? I mean 250 instances(not races) is plenty....And yes, it will end up closer.

That's another arguement with the way this thing is set up. People play races everyday, honey. PEOPLE DON'T PLAY INSTANCES

I can hear it now, "c'mon buddy, let's go to the track; man, they got a full 10 race card today of INSTANCES!!!!!!

I'll learn you something sooner or later.

Cajungator26 03-12-2007 02:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Grits
That's another arguement with the way this thing is set up. People play races everyday, honey. PEOPLE DON'T PLAY INSTANCES

I can hear it now, "c'mon buddy, let's go to the track; man, they got a full 10 race card today of INSTANCES!!!!!!

I'll learn you something sooner or later.

Spoken like a true southerner.

randallscott35 03-12-2007 02:12 PM

Grits, you'll learn me some blue label Jack.

Payson Dave 03-12-2007 02:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
but you are realizing that over the long run grits will be right (may not be in the 250 sample... but the grits has the goods with her logic)

You know what they say about opinions....:)
I am not sure who is right...how can you be sure...:confused:

Antitrust32 03-12-2007 02:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35
Huh, should we go to a 1000 races? I mean 250 instances(not races) is plenty....And yes, it will end up closer.

no that sample will be fine.. i do find it amazing how fast these races are adding up.

i dont know, when grits posted those notes her mentor gave her. it was just really logical and smart and along with discussing this situation with some pro handicappers, they all have sided with the exacta. just kinda makes sense for the long run ROI you know?

you have the advantage with the 250 sample size because as you know, there is only one favorite per race (sometimes not a clear favorite) and there are more than 1 10-1 shot in each race. so you have to figure, is the one longshot that gets the place really the one you would have played? do you take into consideration all those $2WP bets you lost cause the majority of the 10-1 shots ran third or off the board?

on the other hand. I bet WP because I dont know enough about handicapping to play for a living and I'm just there for the instant excitement.

randallscott35 03-12-2007 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
no that sample will be fine.. i do find it amazing how fast these races are adding up.

i dont know, when grits posted those notes her mentor gave her. it was just really logical and smart and along with discussing this situation with some pro handicappers, they all have sided with the exacta. just kinda makes sense for the long run ROI you know?

you have the advantage with the 250 sample size because as you know, there is only one favorite per race (sometimes not a clear favorite) and there are more than 1 10-1 shot in each race. so you have to figure, is the one longshot that gets the place really the one you would have played? do you take into consideration all those $2WP bets you lost cause the majority of the 10-1 shots ran third or off the board?

on the other hand. I bet WP because I dont know enough about handicapping to play for a living and I'm just there for the instant excitement.

See I lose even if I win....What do you want the sample to be....I'll go 1000 if you want...Think about it, the fave wins 30% of the time---they are going to win 30% of the time at a 1000 races also--or around that....Grits made up a 100 bucks in one day. She isn't done by any means....But if I thought in the last 10 years that her way made sense, I would've been doing that....Quite happy cashing a place ticket.


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