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-   -   Breeders Cup Saturday Fades (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=66993)

Dahoss 11-01-2019 08:43 PM

Breeders Cup Saturday Fades
 
F & M Sprint
1. Spiced Perfection
2. Dawn the Destroyer
3. Lady Ninja

Turf Sprint
1. Leinster
2. Eddie Haskell
3. Stubbins

Dirt Mile
1. Spun to Run
2. Diamond Oops
3. Mr Money

F & M Turf
1. Villa Marina
2. Sistercharlie
3. Fleeting

Sprint
1. Mitole
2. Imperial Hint
3. Whitmore

Mile
1. Hey Gaman
2. Uni
3. Lucullan

Distaff
1. Midnight Bisou
2. Ollie’s Candy
3. Dunbar Road

Turf
1. Arklow
2. Bricks and Mortar
3. Old Persian

Classic
1. Yoshida
2. Vino Rosso
3. Code of Honor

Dahoss 11-01-2019 08:48 PM

4th
Pick 4
8,9/ 1,2,3,5,7,10/ 3,4,5,9/ 2,9

6th
Pick 4
3,4,5,9/ 2,9/ 4,7,9/ 2,3,6,11,13

8th
Pick 5
4,7,9/ 2,3,6,11,13/ 2,4,5/ 5,9,10,11/ 5,10,11

Alabama Stakes 11-01-2019 09:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1132140)
4th
Pick 4
8,9/ 1,2,3,5,7,10/ 3,4,5,9/ 2,9

6th
Pick 4
3,4,5,9/ 2,9/ 4,7,9/ 2,3,6,11,13

8th
Pick 5
4,7,9/ 2,3,6,11,13/ 5,9,10,11/ 5,10,11

It's custom to select 5 legs in the pick 5 :zz:

moses 11-01-2019 09:12 PM

I was reading this wrong at first. Aren’t fades normally a play that you shy away from? You had me confused.

Dahoss 11-01-2019 09:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1132142)
It's custom to select 5 legs in the pick 5 :zz:

Thanks Dan!

Dahoss 11-01-2019 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moses (Post 1132144)
I was reading this wrong at first. Aren’t fades normally a play that you shy away from? You had me confused.

It was my attempt at sarcasm.

moses 11-01-2019 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1132146)
It was my attempt at sarcasm.

Hah...gotcha. I’m with you on the Classic so those horses are definite fades.

philcski 11-02-2019 12:48 AM

I'll add a few spot fades- I broke even today, can't run that good two days in a row!

R2) 4,5 exacta box: Roadster will be laughably overbet here; feels like Flagstaff's race to lose, and Comical Ghost has not disappointed on his incredible pedigree to start his career. $12-15 would be acceptable. Would suggest to defend with a backup 4,5/2 for 1/3 of the main wager ($10 exacta box 4,5 + $3 exacta 4,5/2 = $26).

R3) #11 Henley's Joy, #6 Jai's Solitude: Best bet in racing? East coast turf horses coming west in stakes. And these two are very accomplished and should be way shorter than their 10-1 and 15-1 ML's. Win bet both. Double to the 1 in the next.

R4) #1 Covfefe: 3yo's had been bad bets in this race previously; that 'curse' has been lifted, so I'll happily take the easily most talented filly here. Win bet. Exacta to 4,8,9. Double to a spread in the next.

R6) #4 Mr. Money: Omaha Beach gets all the press, rightfully so, but why not this guy here at fair odds of 6-1? Love the turnback, and he may be best from off the pace which should be swift here. Win, exacta top/bottom with 2,3,5,7,8

R7) Sistercharlie will be tough to beat, but I'm going to try to get #9 Villa Marina into the trifecta. #12 Fanny Logan has been brought along slowly, but Gosden is dangerous. He doesn't bring horses that aren't ready for this stage. It almost has to be Sistercharlie with two Euros filling out the trifecta, right?

R8) #5 Engage: I feel like this horse was close last year and is sitting on a breakthrough performance as a late 4yo. The pace scenario looks like it could fall right into his hands. He will need to improve but at 15-1, worth a stab.

R11) I love Bricks and Mortar. Great comeback story for a true grinder. Don't know if he's truly cut out for 12f but this is a weak BC Turf field. Will be accepting a shorter price than I want and singling in multis.

R12) I'll be rooting for Yoshida, but this is a wide open edition and really don't have a strong opinion. Good luck everyone.

philcski 11-02-2019 12:55 AM

I forgot- I have a decent sized two day double to Bricks and Mortar to show a day 1 profit, so he's definitely going to lose. Those are rigged- they count the tickets overnight and pay out the least amount left.

theguarantee 11-02-2019 12:14 PM

Thanks for sharing and best of luck today. I have a feeling Aidan is going to win one of the Turf Mile and/or the Turf today. Outside of those and War of Will in the BCC I'm on a lot of the same horses for my top 3-4 which I love to see.


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