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-   -   4/9: Keeneland (5th-10th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=69373)

Kasept 04-09-2021 05:50 AM

4/9: Keeneland (5th-10th)
 
KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD, J/P Hi-5)

Most Likely: #1 Editor At Large 5-2 6th
Best Value: #4 Office Party 8-1 5th
Next Best: #2 Stunning Princess 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Lijana 6-1 11th


6th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #6 Market Rumor 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Spice Is Nice 7-5 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Movie Moxy 5-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Maedean 7-2 4th


7th: Limestone T/Sprint, 3yo-F, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, J/P Hi-5)

Yikes.. Ascot/Deauville juvy heroine Campanelle SCR'D makes 3yo debut and she better have her running shoes on versus this deep, competitive group..

Most Likely: #7 Toby's Heart 6-1 WON ($6.40)
Best Value: #9 Goin' Good 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Alba 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #13 Navratolova 30-1 3rd


8th: ALW/M1X, 4+, 6.5f (P3, DD, J/P Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Answer In 7-2 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #3 Aloha West 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1a (POE) Wild Behavior 4-1 6th/8th
Exotics Use: #6 Growl Tiger 4-1 4th


9th: Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, J/P Hi-5)

Four seasonal debuts (both the Makers-3/9 & Browns-4/8) complicate this good group because players Hit the Road & Ride a Comet are in form..

Best Value: #6 Ride a Comet 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Raging Bull 7-2 WON ($9.00)
Exotics Use: #2 Hit the Road 4-1 5th
Super Add: #4 Sacred Life 4-1 3rd


10th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (J/P Hi-5)

Caramel Swirl, who has run into one toughie after another in her 4 starts, should be tough to beat unless one of the firsters (Pessin, Colebrook, Correas) proves special upon debut..

Most Likely: #9 Caramel Swirl 2-1 WON ($3.60)
Best Value: #6 Floris 12-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Red Hot and Blue 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Front Street 3-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

6: 5-6 (A), 1-4 (B), 2-3 (C)
7: 7-9-10 (A), 4-12-13 (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-6 (C)
9: 2-6-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x6x2x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backups: $18 (2-3) + $12 (1-6) + $18 (1-6)

]$0.50 Pick-5 (3,5/2,3,5,7,8,11/5/8/8,9) Paid $74.20 (A-A-A-A-A)
$0.50 Pick-5 (3,5/2,3,5,7,8,11/5/8/8,9) Paid $2.25 (4OF5)


P4 Grid:

7: 7-9-10 (A), 4-12-13 (B), 1-6 (C)
8: 3-5 (A), 1-6 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6-8-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-5 (C)
10: 9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x5x1 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 3x2x5x1 = 30 x .50 = $15
Backups: $10 (1-6) + $9 (1-3-5)

$0.50 Pick-4 (2,3,5,7,8,11/5/8/8,9) Paid $48.85 (A-A-A-A)


Good luck!
Steve

moses 04-09-2021 08:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1151308)
9th: Maker's Mark Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD, J/P Hi-5)

Four seasonal debuts (both the Makers-3/9 & Browns-4/8) complicate this good group because players Hit the Road & Ride a Comet are in form..

Best Value: #6 Ride a Comet 6-1
Next Best: #8 Raging Bull 7-2
Exotics Use: #2 Hit the Road 4-1
Super Add: #6 Sacred Life 4-1

Thanks Steve and good luck! In your selections for race 9, you've got two horses listed as the 6. Sacred Life should be the 4.

I think the #3 Aloha West in race 8 could be a pretty good horse so interested to see how he runs today with hopefully a clean start.

knickslions2 04-09-2021 09:24 AM

Fine Cotton may need one in 10th but the horse looks live and could upset at a nice price. Good luck Steve.

Kasept 04-09-2021 09:31 AM

Marty McGee
@DRFMcGee

Early SCR for a 10-race Friday card @keenelandracing, where we'll be fast and firm all day amid absolutely gorgeous spring weather. First post, 1:05 ET.

R1-(6)
R3-(7)
R4-(13)
R5-(1A, 5, 13)
R6-(3)
R7-(2, 5, 11)
R10-(8)

Kasept 04-09-2021 11:41 AM

KEE SCR/CHG'S

Kasept 04-09-2021 01:59 PM

Campanelle & Carimba now SCR'd from Limestone..

fpsoxfan 04-09-2021 04:36 PM

Nice call in the 9th Steve. Didn’t have time to look it over so I boxed your four
And hit the tri. Thanks!

Kasept 04-09-2021 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan (Post 1151354)
Nice call in the 9th Steve. Didn’t have time to look it over so I boxed your four
And hit the tri. Thanks!

Awesome.. Love it! Crazy value thanks to the over the top love for Hit the Road.

moses 04-09-2021 05:27 PM

Nice work Steve. I honestly tossed Hit the Road from all my bets...but jumped on the wrong Chad Brown horse.


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