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It's probably not a good sign that my top two are both at 50/1 in the morning line (Liaison is my other but that post position...)... I'm not using Bode anywhere and although I really do like Gemologist have to use him along with Hansen, I'll Have Another, Union Rags and Went the Day Well underneath. I lost Prospective, Sabrecat and Daddy Nose Best narrowing it down and Went the Day Well will be the next to cut if need be. I am still using Liaison and in the top spot (in a couople of plays) but am feeling more confident about RS now that post postions have been drawn. |
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Sassy Image spoiled an otherwise lucky day for me in the '11 Derby. Court Vision's win in the 2011 Breeders Cup Mile spoiled the fact that I had shrewdly spent a few hundred dollars keying Gio Point and Goldikova underneath in superfectas and spreading with ALL's in the other slots, except thorwing out only Court Vision entirely on the win end. |
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Ignore DrugS at your peril, people. |
I'm not sure you'll be able to get down on a 10-cent superfecta in the Derby.
I think the minimum is $1 all day long. I may follow your lead and bring a jar of chocolate covered nuts to the track with me. It's going to be a long day Saturday. |
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Good luck everybody....
Is there any place to watch the works from the week online? the Works was a staple for me, but seems they bailed on it. Thanks. |
I can't get PPs from XB yet....Need to look at the Woodford for tomorrow's pick 3. Is there a link by chance?
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you can page down and get all the races he's got anything entered in. |
doug, didn't see anything negative in your comments on gemologist. why is he not one of the top four for you?
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Pletcher horses always run gangbusters at the start of the new calender year ... they normally peak within the first 3 starts of the season -- and often have peaked by the second start. Gemologist is a nice horse -- and I like that he's only had 2 races this year -- but he will need further improvment and from a bettting value standpoint...this is the time of the year when it's becoming safest to play against Pletcher horses. |
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that is my only knock on the horse. but that's a pretty big knock i think. thanks. |
A la Drugs, if anyone's interested, Derby analysis here: http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...eat-sheet.html
and here (with undercard): http://thetdnblog.blogspot.com/2012/...-analysis.html |
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Good stuff Bri, good luck! |
I'm in the Done Talking camp as well. I still believe that this race is going to set up for an off-the-pace type, and as hockey noted in his TDN comments, the horse has the right running style and experience navigating a large field to thrive in that kind of race. The question will be whether he's the right off-the-pace type.
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