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-   -   1/7: AQU/SA Carryovers (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=8563)

Kasept 01-07-2007 10:09 AM

1/7: AQU/SA Carryovers
 
Aqueduct ($140k) and Santa Anita ($138k) both carried over Saturday, and the two major ovals both card interesting and challenging sextets Sunday. The Big A pool will get over $500,000 today, while the Great Race Place pot should approach $1,000,000.


SELECTIONS -- Aqueduct, 1/7, R4-9 (P6, P4, etc..)


4th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 5.5f (P3, P6, Super)

1. #7 Zippy Missy 5-2: Cruises if ready WON
2. #6 Mama Theresa 3-1: Logical if top one falters 2nd
A. #5 Dorothy's Destiny 5-1
B. #2 Accordingtothecat 6-1 3rd

$1 Exacta 7-6 $9.00
$1 Trifecta 7-6-2 $30.00



5th: CLM/N3L, F&M-4+, 6f (Grand Slam, P3)

1. #9 Short Fuse Tara 6-1: Gets pace to chase 2nd
2. #6 Home Befor Midnite 9-2: Returns from ALW company
A. #7 Miss Baba 15-1 3rd
B. #1a (poe) Significant Other 5-2 WON

$1 Exacta 1-9 $12.90
$1 Trifecta 1-9-7 $115.75



6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 5.5f (DD, P4)

1. #5 Tiz Tutta 8-1: A. Dutrow murder in these spots
2. #2 Estimable 5-1: KMc firster working steadily for debut
A. #9 Are We Dreamin 5-1 3rd
B. #1e Breen entry 8-1 2nd
C. #4 Wild Debutante 3-1


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 1m & 70y (P3, Super)

1. #8 Morning Jewel 5-1: KMc Adena product improving, zipped in a.m.
2. #9 Super Cub 12-1: Destefano Old Trieste another on upswing; adds value
A. #5 Stolen Star 5-2
B. #3 Morning Gallop 10-1

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #2 Miz Yah Beaux 15-1


8th: 30th Ruthless, $65,000, 3yo-F, 6f (DD)

1. #3 Dorm Fever 3-1: Aced debut, got rest
2. #2 Small Lies 15-1: Value closer in field o' speed
3. #4 Golden Dreamer 2-1: Has done little wrong WON


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super)

1. #4 HUMMERUS ALEX 2-1 3rd
2. #2 Western Deed 5-1 WON
A. #8 Marlinspike 4-1 2nd
B. #9 Douknowthemuffinman 8-1

$1 Exacta 2-8 $26.00
$1 Trifecta 2-8-4 $55.00



<$200 P4 Play:

4: 6-7
5: 6-9
6: 2-5-9
7: 8-9
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 4

2x2x3x2x4x1 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-9
7: 3-4-8-9
8: 2-3-4-6
9: 4

3x4x4x1 = $48



SELECTIONS -- Santa Anita, 1/7, R4-9 (P6, etc..)

PRE-SCRATCHES/CHANGES...

4th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-T (DD, P3, P6, .10 Super)

1. #3 All Aglow 7-2 6th
2. #11 LATE SCR
A. #6 Spy Aly 6-1 3rd
B. #10 Moogie 6-1 4th


5th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #3 Stratagem 5-1 WON
2. #10 Take a Chance 9-2
A. #7 LATE SCR
B. #12 Le Copain 6-1 7th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m-T (DD, P3, P4, .10 Super)

1. #2 Forest Lair 15-1 10th
2. #5 Private Wind 6-1 6th
A. #11 Got a Question 7-2 5th
B. #9 More Shine 9-2 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #3 Pre Heat 15-1


7th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (DD, P3, .10 Super)

1. #8 Plagiarist 5-1 8th
2. #9 Shakin N Dancin 6-1 4th
A. #6 Souvenir Evening 3-1 WON
B. #3 Mr. Sekiguchi 9-2 2nd


8th: 39th San Georgio (Gr. II), $150,000, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD)

1. #6 Three Degrees 5-2 3rd
2. #1 Citronnade 6-1 WON
A. #3 Grande Melody 5-1 4th
B. #5 Ready to Please 7-2 7th


9th: MDN CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f (.10 Super)

1. #1 No Mystery to Us 5-1 9th
2. #10 Golden Playgirl 12-1 WON
A. #7 Island Kitty 6-1 3rd
B. #4 Larry's Girl 9-2 4th

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #9 Mme Goldpiece 15-1 6th


<$200 P6 Play:

4: 3-(11 SCR)
5: 3-(7 SCR)-10
6: 2-5-9-11
7: 8
8: 1-6
9: 1-10

2x3x4x1x2x2 = 96 x $2 = $192


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-5-9-11
7: 8-9
8: 1-3-6
9: 1-10

4x2x3x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

Bigsmc 01-07-2007 10:37 AM

Steve, I was checking out your P6 ticket and it appears you put the wrong numbers down for the 5th race. You put the 2 & 5 and neither of those are in your tabs above.

By the way, I am struggling with that race...

Bigs

Kasept 01-07-2007 10:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
Steve, I was checking out your P6 ticket and it appears you put the wrong numbers down for the 5th race. You put the 2 & 5 and neither of those are in your tabs above. By the way, I am struggling with that race... Bigs

Biggie..

THX buddy.. Fixed it.. The 5th is a mess. Very odd race.. Hope for help from the scratch board!

tnied680 01-07-2007 10:52 AM

steve 5th race pick 6 is that right

rock1968 01-07-2007 10:54 AM

Shall we hope for some better riding preformances today..

Kasept 01-07-2007 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tnied680
steve 5th race pick 6 is that right

It is now.. I had double transcribed the horses from the 6th... Using the 6-9 in the 5th... It's the goofiest race on the card... No one would surprise me there.

philcski 01-07-2007 12:20 PM

My P6 attack... so close yesterday, hopefully today is the day:

2,6/6/2,6,10/7/4,6/4 $24
3,5,7/6/2,6,10/7/4,6/4 $36
2,6/6/4,9/7/4,6/4 = $16
2,6/6/2,6,10/7/3/4 = $12
2,6/1,2,4/2,6,10/7/4,6/4 = $72
2,6/6/2,6,10/4,5/4,6/4 = $48
3,5,7/6/4,9/7/4,6/4 = $24
3,5,7/6/2,6,10/7/3/4 = $18
2,6/6/4,9/7/3/4 = $8

cal828 01-07-2007 12:38 PM

San Gorgonio
 
Race 8 SA

6. Three Degrees
5. Ready to Please
7. Beauty and the Beast
1. Citronnade

Longshot: Rahy's Appeal

philcski 01-07-2007 01:49 PM

In the 6th Hennig's filly #6 looks like an overlay at 15-1. Good steady works and there doesn't appear to be any giants in here.

Hickory Hill Hoff 01-07-2007 02:00 PM

Bombs away! 54-1...carryover???

Rudeboyelvis 01-07-2007 02:01 PM

Race 6 AQU - Thunder Sword wins it at 54-1, exacta 7-1 paid 818.00

I'm guessing this one carries over.

philcski 01-07-2007 02:05 PM

Sh!t, tabbed the wrong one. I thought this one was in the mix too but was so stone cold on the board I gave up on her.

I'd love to see another carryover... but I'm running out of bankroll for this week.

We probably need another big number to carry over again. Favorites winning the first two legs means there's still some live tickets out there with those using the "all" in this leg... which given the number of firsters isn't impossible.

Hickory Hill Hoff 01-07-2007 02:16 PM

I'm dead in the Big A 7th, the "preachman" likes my horses; 5/7/4/8

dellinger63 01-07-2007 02:17 PM

Man Wed's card looks tougher than today

4) MSW Ny breds 8 entries
5) MSW full field of 10
6) MD CLM NY breds full field of 10
7) Clm 40K full field of 10
8) Opt Alw NY breds full field of 10
9) MD CLM full field of 10

onto thursday?

Kasept 01-07-2007 02:26 PM

My god... This is nuts... $3,100 DD...

Scav 01-07-2007 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
My god... This is nuts...

It has to carry now, if it doesn't, there is someone that is trying to order a bottle of Xanax to curb the anixety of being alive in a monster P6 pool, with two $100+ horses

Hickory Hill Hoff 01-07-2007 02:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
My god... This is nuts... $3,100 DD...

Steve, when was the last time you could remember when two 50-1 shots ran back to back on one race card?

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-07-2007 02:34 PM

4 out payes 10k lol

Kasept 01-07-2007 02:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Hickory Hill Hoff
Steve, when was the last time you could remember when two 50-1 shots ran back to back on one race card?

I can't.. I've never seen a $3,000 happen "live"... Seth Merrow on Equidaily will post these kinds of explosions, but I've never seen it like that. Will anyone even have the P4?

Andy (BTW) may recall a pair like this, but I can't...

blackthroatedwind 01-07-2007 02:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
I can't.. I've never seen a $3,000 happen "live"... Seth Merrow on Equidaily will post these kinds of explosions, but I've never seen it like that. Will anyone even have the P4?

Andy (BTW) may recall a pair like this, but I can't...


The 8th and 9th may be very chalky.

Hickory Hill Hoff 01-07-2007 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
I can't.. I've never seen a $3,000 happen "live"... Seth Merrow on Equidaily will post these kinds of explosions, but I've never seen it like that. Will anyone even have the P4?

Andy (BTW) may recall a pair like this, but I can't...

Well, it could be a case of "nature and nurture" LOL!!! :D

philcski 01-07-2007 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
The 8th and 9th may be very chalky.

I'm not sure it'll be hit even if it is. The 7 I could make a case for in the 6th... the 10 in the 7th, forget it.

And anybody who had both of them on their ticket has a LOT more money than I do.

Rudeboyelvis 01-07-2007 02:48 PM

Looks like the AQU carryover will be approaching 700K

Bigsmc 01-07-2007 02:56 PM

Nice little weekend for Outofthebox.

Congrats.

Kasept 01-07-2007 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis
Looks like the AQU carryover will be approaching 700K

$467,000 bet into the pool today... There was only one live ticket after the first $50 winner...

philcski 01-07-2007 02:59 PM

403k carryover for Wednesday...

Unbridled 01-07-2007 03:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
$467,000 bet into the pool today... There was only one live ticket after the first $50 winner...


Steve, how'd you know that only one ticket was alive after the first $50 winner?

Scav 01-07-2007 03:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Unbridled
Steve, how'd you know that only one ticket was alive after the first $50 winner?

"Don't worreee about it" -Tony Soprano

:) :)

blackthroatedwind 01-07-2007 03:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
I'm not sure it'll be hit even if it is. The 7 I could make a case for in the 6th... the 10 in the 7th, forget it.

And anybody who had both of them on their ticket has a LOT more money than I do.


I was referring to the Pick-4. The Pick-6 was toast after those two winners and I highly doubt the 5th race winner was 2-1 in the Pick-6. There is no way that horse had 30% of the Pick-6 money.

philcski 01-07-2007 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
I was referring to the Pick-4. The Pick-6 was toast after those two winners and I highly doubt the 5th race winner was 2-1 in the Pick-6. There is no way that horse had 30% of the Pick-6 money.

I'm no good at judging percentages in the P6, but I'd agree- I had 5 in there that I thought were usable for the P6.

Likewise, I'd really doubt the Paraneck horse had 50% of the P6 money even in the short field.

Kasept 01-07-2007 03:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Unbridled
Steve, how'd you know that only one ticket was alive after the first $50 winner?

Heard it from John DaSilva of the NY Post who is at AQU...

Rootdog1 01-07-2007 04:02 PM

SA Pk6

4) 3,7
5) 3,12
6) 4,11
7) 9
8) 3,6
9) 7

Late Pk4
6) 4,6,9,11
7) 6,9
8) 6
9) 4,7,10

randallscott35 01-07-2007 04:12 PM

Another NY carryover. Pretty big one for this time of year.

Rootdog1 01-07-2007 06:15 PM

BIG CARRYOVER at SA...........WOW...

blackthroatedwind 01-07-2007 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Heard it from John DaSilva of the NY Post who is at AQU...


Let's just say I am HIGHLY dubious that he was accurate.

ceejay 01-07-2007 06:20 PM

Lookin like a big bi-coastal carryover Wednesday.


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