4/2: Gulfstream (6th-14th); Oaklawn (5th-13th; X-C P5)
 

GULFSTREAM


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Ghostzapper (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #4 Fearless 4-5 WON ($2.60)
Best Value: #1 Commandeer 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Greatest Honour 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Capocostello 10-1 3rd


7th: Sand Springs, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #5 Stunning Princess 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Stolen Holiday 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Crystal Cliffs 9-2 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #1 Traffic Song 7-2 8th


8th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #4 Wish You Well 12-1 WON ($5.20)
Next Best: #11 Easy to Love 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Frippet 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Inviting 8-1 4th


9th: Pan American (G2), 4+, 12f-T (Rainbow 6, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Gufo 9-5 WON ($4.60)
Next Best: #6 Temple 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Abaan 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #2 Mid Day Image 12-1 6th


10th: Sir Shackleton, 4+, 7f (P5, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #5 Girolamo's Attack 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Fortin Hill 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Collaborate 3-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Shivaree 12-1 6th


P4 Grid:

7: 3-5 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
8: 4-11 (A), - (B), 7-8 (C)
9: 3-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 1-5 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x3x2= 24 x .50 = $12 (A-C-A-A)


11th: Sanibel Island, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #7 Hail To 12-1 8th
Next Best: #1 Mischievous Kiss 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Beechnut Trophy 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 Ambiteuse 6-1 5th


12th: Gulfstream Oaks (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Most Likely: #7 Kathleen O. 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #4 Running Legacy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Goddess of Fire 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Cancel This 20-1 5th


13th: Appleton (G3), 4+, 1m-T (DD, Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Scarlett Sky 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 Phantom Currency 3-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #9 English Bee 7-2 5th
Super Add: #8 Carpenter's Call 10-1 3rd


14th: Florida Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #3 Simplification 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #6 Charge It 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #11 Steal Sunshine 30-1 7th
Exotics Use: #5 Pappacap 10-1 4th


P5 Grid:

10: 1-5 (A), 6-9 (B), - (C)
11: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
13: 2-7 (A), 9 (B), - (C)
14: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: 2x3x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (A-A-C-A-A) + 2x3x1x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (A-A-A-A-C)


P4 Grid:

11: 1-2-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 7 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
13: 2-7-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
14: 3-6 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x3x2 = 54 x .50 = $27
All A's: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backups: 3x1x3x2 = 18 x .50 = $9 (A-A-A-C)



OAKLAWN


POST-SCRATCHES


OAKLAWN 5th: Carousel, F&M-4+, 6f (X-C P5, P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Frank's Rockette 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #6 Joy's Rocket 2-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Lil Tootsie 3-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Acting Out 5-1 WON ($15.40)


X-C P5 Grid:

OP 5: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
AQ 8: 2-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
OP 9: 4 (A), 3-6-9 (B), - (C)
OP 10: 1-8 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
OP 12: 6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x3x1x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x1x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (A-A-A-A-C)


6th: MSW, 3yo, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Plausible Denile 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #5 King Ottoman 5-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Western River 4-1 WON ($11.40)
Exotics Use: #8 Commander Compton 6-1 7th


7th: OC/N$Y, F&M-4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Pharoah's Heart 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Mun Luv 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Sweet Tea 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Liberated Lady 10-1 3rd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Bandit Point 8-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Drena's Star 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Wobberjod 9-2 6th
Super Add: #9 A C Expressway 7-2 2nd


AQUEDUCT 8th: Excelsior, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 First Constitution 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Untreated 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Forewarned 5-1 WON ($11.40)


OAKLAWN 9th: Oaklawn Mile, 4+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cezanne 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Market Analysis 12-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Silver Prospector 8-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Necker Island 6-1 4th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x1 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (A-A-A-A-C)


P4 Grid:

6: 4-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 1-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-5 (A), 7-9 (B), - (C)
9: 3-4 (A), 6 (B), 9-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (A-A-A-C)


OAKLAWN 10th: Fantasy (G3), 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dream Lith 8-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Heartyconstitution 12-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Yuugiri 4-1 WON ($10.20)
Exotics Use: #9 Bubble Rock 3-1 3rd


11th: OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Gar Hole 7-2 3rd
Next Best: #8 Macron 7-2 WON ($7.00)
Best Value: #9 Edge to Edge 12-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Supremacy 8-1 4th


OAKLAWN 12th: Arkansas Derby (G1), 3yo, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #6 Secret Oath 5-2 3rd
Best Value: #2 Chasing Time 12-1 9th
Next Best: #4 Doppelganger 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Barber Road 8-1 2nd


13th: AR-OC/N$Y, 4+, 6f

Best Value: #3 Chicken Hawk 5-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Bellamys Roan 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Ima Bling Cat 6-1 4th
Super Add: #2 You Vee Zee 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

9: 4 (A), 3-6 (B), 9-10 (C)
10: 1-7-8-9 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
11: 5 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
12: 6 (A), - (B), 2-4 (C)
13: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x6x2x1x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x4x1x1x4 = 16 x .50 = $8
Backups: 2x4x1x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (C-A-A-A-A) + 1x4x1x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (A-A-A-C-A)


P4 Grid:

10: 1-7-8-9 (A), 4-6 (B), - (C)
11: 5 (A), 8 (B), - (C)
12: 6 (A), - (B), 2-4-8-9 (C)
13: 2-3-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x1x4 = $48 ($24 for .50)
All A's: 4x1x1x4 = $16 ($8 for .50)
Backups: 4x1x4x4 = 64 x .50 = $32 (A-A-C-A)


Good luck!
Steve

Why is the C picks for race #14 at Gulfstream 2,7 when your next two picks were 5,11, or is that just a misprint

Not a misprint. It's the difference between playing the race vertically for a score (keying Simplification/Charge It with exotics candidate prices like 5-Pappacap/9-O Captain/11-Steal Sunshine under) versus horizontally (multis) covering win candidates like 2-Classic Causeway/7-White Abarrio that I'm a bit 'against' (but are far from impossible)..

There's nothing gained in selections by tabbing the top 4 favorites (3-2-6-7). It's more likely to me that a a price or two works their way into the tri/super, so I'm playing with 10-1 Pappacap, 20-1 O Captain & 30-1 Steal Sunshine with the 2 logicals I like best in Simplification and Charge It.

So look at the tri plays like this.. If any of the prices get in the tri with Simplification or Charge It, you'll get a nice score. If 2 of the prices come in under Simplification or Charge It, you'll get a bonanza. I'll also add a small win saver on the 3 prices as sanity insurance.

3-6 w/ 3-6 w/ 5-9-11 (2x1x3)

3-6 w/ 5-9-11 with 3-6 (2x3x1)

3-6 w/ 5-9-11 w/ 5-9-11 (2x3x2)

Thank you Steve for your reply to my question, that was kind of you to explain your thoughts, I been following you for years and think you are the best handicapper I know, you are a great asset to the horse industry, good luck today and God bless you and your family

Thanks for the generous compliments. Greatly appreciated.

AQU SCR/CHG'S

GP SCR/CHG'S

OP SCR/CHG'S

uncle ben
 

how would that method hit twice? no questioning,, just dont get it thanks

I've hit the trifecta the last 25 years of every race run during that time. I just box all/all/all.

I'd love to discuss further but I don't have much time between hopping on my private jet and banging my super model wife.

You’d love to discuss and have been invited to do so.

Maybe a “I misspoke” vs. this misdirection/bootlicking that hasn’t fooled anyone?

Let us know.

Tell us you’re full of **** without actually saying it

In an effort to be fair, I’ll explain why people seem perplexed at what you’re saying. It makes no sense.

You can’t box the bet you describe. You can’t go two horses over three horses over all and then box that.

You said you had this great formula. It made no sense so people questioned you…to which you responded you’d love to discuss it. Then you said you’re not divulging secrets.

If you’re just trolling…Bravo.

:tro:

Well you cared enough to respond. But I like this new attitude now that you’ve been exposed as being a fraud.

It’s okay. Lots of people are completely full of sh.it online.

No one cares.

Gotta be better ways to try and get on Steve’s show than this.

You should apologize for being full of sh.it.

Tell us again about how you met your wife. That was fascinating stuff. Your podcasts much be quite the listening experience.

You started this. I tried to be civil because I’m always open to learning something new. But everyone saw through your BS immediately.

You might want to check your ego at the door next time. Or keep making up stories. Probably more fun for everyone that way.

You’re going to drag my message board moniker on your podcast no one listens to? Oh no!

I’m so scared!

Since you like to deal in facts, let’s see you prove ONE instance where you hit your proposed trifecta and got paid twice with it.

Should be VERY easy to provide just ONE example.

YOU said you have this method. You were asked to clarify and you said you’d love to discuss. When pressed to discuss you shut up and then went on this tirade because you know you got caught. Then you tried to parlay it as a way of getting on to Steve’s show. LOL

The thing is…you have no idea who my acquaintances are. You have no idea what my resume is, or what I’ve done in the sport. You don’t know any of this because :eek:I don’t need to boast about it on a message board.

You do. A twitch feed….LOLOLOLOLOL

The only one that is mad is you. I’m laughing at you. Like everyone else is. Just like everyone on Covers did before they banned you. :eek:

You should listen to DaHoss, man, they have a special armorded car on reserve for him at Saratoga for his big days. Oh, and he would like you to know that he is a real man.:D

No one cares.

Can you prove what you are saying? It’s a yes or no.

Cool...where is it documented so we can take a look?

Just want to clarify, this bet isn't available on ADW's right?

Also, what dark corner of the web can I find your podcast? Maybe a link to it?

I'd like to soak in all this brilliance further.

Thanks in advance.

I read this many times and still have no idea how this pays twice as a horse can only finish in 1 position. Im not a big triple player but do play it on derby day.

Nobody actually plays like that ( someone may have tried but he went broke a long time ago ). He would have it twice if two of the horses in the first two slots hit the board ( this does NOT have to happen ). If someone did it in a 20 horse Derby field, as he suggested, it would be 144 Box combinations, or 864 combinations ( assuming you want to possibly have it twice ). It's boxing 2x4x18 the way he laid it out ( with neither of the first two horses in the second slot ).

I must be very bored ( and at least a little pathetic ) to have thought this lunacy through. It's a moronic play, especially at a 25% takeout.

His example is wrong. In order to hit twice don't you need to include his first place picks in slot 2?

Sh*t if I was as dialed in as he to hit 7 Derby Trifecta's in a row. Given his example,I'd take that $864 and play a $144 Exacta 2x3

No, they could be in the third slot, and since it's a box it doesn't matter the slot. In his example you would have a 3/5/6 box....and a 6/5/3 box.

This while thing makes my brain hurt.

Imagine how Uncle Benelli's brain feels

I still want to know how I can listen to this podcast.

If it's anything like this thread the entertainment factor alone would make it worth it.