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King Glorious 12-10-2020 06:05 PM

NTRA Eclipse 50
 
A panel selected 10 champions from each of the past five decades along with one trainer and one jockey. They put the list out fans can vote for their 10 favorites from among the 50 horses. Well, 48 since two horses were picked for two decades.

Here's the complete lists:

https://www.ntra.com/wp-content/uplo...ndividuals.pdf

Dahoss 12-10-2020 07:07 PM

Zenyatta as a 2010-2019 horse is hilarious.

King Glorious 12-10-2020 07:14 PM

They have Spectacular Bid as an 80s horse.

RolloTomasi 12-10-2020 08:11 PM

No Go For Wand or Bayakoa but we get Silverbulletday and Paseana...OK

If this was Major League Baseball that would be the worst trade of all time...

King Glorious 12-10-2020 08:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147643)
No Go For Wand or Bayakoa but we get Silverbulletday and Paseana...OK

If this was Major League Baseball that would be the worst trade of all time...

Curious to know where you'd rank Go for Wand among the all-time female runners of the past 50 years? Dirt runners only.

Alabama Stakes 12-10-2020 08:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147643)
No Go For Wand or Bayakoa but we get Silverbulletday and Paseana...OK

If this was Major League Baseball that would be the worst trade of all time...

Not sure how Go For Wand is not there. But then they just played Back Throated Wind into commercial on the Patriots game, so anything is possible. West LA Fadeaway also played earlier.

RolloTomasi 12-10-2020 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147644)
Curious to know where you'd rank Go for Wand among the all-time female runners of the past 50 years? Dirt runners only.

50 years is too far back for me.

But mid-80s going forward what compares to a horse that was as fast as superstar sprinters Very Subtle and Safely Kept in the Test and only 9 days later as fast as Easy Goer was in the Travers when winning the Alabama?

And less than 2 months after that she was nearly as fast as Secretariat was in the Marlboro Cup when winning the Beldame.

Setting or pressing the pace in all 3 of those as well.

Dahoss 12-10-2020 09:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147640)
They have Spectacular Bid as an 80s horse.

Point taken although the difference between his 1980 year and her 2010 year is night and day.

His 1980 year was about as good a year as you could have, no?

King Glorious 12-10-2020 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147646)
50 years is too far back for me.

But mid-80s going forward what compares to a horse that was as fast as superstar sprinters Very Subtle and Safely Kept in the Test and only 9 days later as fast as Easy Goer was in the Travers when winning the Alabama?

And less than 2 months after that she was nearly as fast as Secretariat was in the Marlboro Cup when winning the Beldame.

Setting or pressing the pace in all 3 of those as well.

Exactly what I say. Ran 1:21 then 2:00 4/5 then 1:45 4/5. Then knowing how good Bayakoa was, Go for Wand ran step for step with her. On the flip side, knowing how good Go for Wand was, I had to elevate Bayakoa higher than I had before.

I have her on top. I have Bayakoa #2.

RolloTomasi 12-10-2020 09:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147648)
Exactly what I say. Ran 1:21 then 2:00 4/5 then 1:45 4/5. Then knowing how good Bayakoa was, Go for Wand ran step for step with her. On the flip side, knowing how good Go for Wand was, I had to elevate Bayakoa higher than I had before.

I have her on top. I have Bayakoa #2.

I was always impressed with Riboletta's transition to NY after running the table through the Winter/Spring/Summer in California. Put away an in-form Beautiful Pleasure easily in a very fast Beldame of her own.

She came out of the BC injured and I suppose the loss takes her off the all-timers list, but that was some run of victories oddly punctuated by a misstep on the grass at Golden Gate Fields.

RolloTomasi 12-10-2020 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1147647)
His 1980 year was about as good a year as you could have, no?

That was a near-mythologic campaign, east and west, all sorts of track records, a world record or two, and capped with a ceremonial walkover in the Woodward.

Sadly, the fantasy was ruined a bit when I found out that Spectacular Bid was actually entered in the Jockey Club Gold Cup that year, too. But he was nursing a sore suspensory and for some inexplicable reason, Buddy Delp was actually contemplating running him, standing him in ice all morning long on race day. Mercifully he called it off at the 11th hour, but what a disaster that could have proved to be if he tried to run (especially since he was always suspect at 12 furlongs).

Dahoss 12-10-2020 09:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147648)
Exactly what I say. Ran 1:21 then 2:00 4/5 then 1:45 4/5. Then knowing how good Bayakoa was, Go for Wand ran step for step with her. On the flip side, knowing how good Go for Wand was, I had to elevate Bayakoa higher than I had before.

I have her on top. I have Bayakoa #2.

Off topic but I just saw your updated signature. Gamine as HOY this year? I’d be interested in hearing an explanation on how you see Acorn, Test and BC Filly and Mare Sprint earns a horse HOY.

King Glorious 12-10-2020 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1147651)
Off topic but I just saw your updated signature. Gamine as HOY this year? I’d be interested in hearing an explanation on how you see Acorn, Test and BC Filly and Mare Sprint earns a horse HOY.

My first option is to always go with the horse that I think is the best horse during the year. Then I look at resumes. If the best horse and horse with the best resume aren't the same horse, I try to look and see who has the biggest advantage. For example, Authentic had a really good year. Had he won that Preakness, I'd give it to him. But his resume to me wasn't much better than Gamine's and I think she's the better horse.

In 2005, I thought Ghostzapper was the clear best horse to run in this country even though it was only one race. In my mind, the precedent has been set many times over with giving a horse a championship based on one race in this country. Singspiel won an Eclipse and never actually won a race in the United States. But if Arazi can be a HOY finaiist off of one race, so can Ghostzapper. I was very tempted to give it to St. Liam that year because his resume was much better but in the end, I decided that Ghostzapper was just so much clear the best horse that I went with him.

In the end, it's not an exact science so I flipped a coin.

King Glorious 12-10-2020 10:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1147647)
Point taken although the difference between his 1980 year and her 2010 year is night and day.

His 1980 year was about as good a year as you could have, no?

His 1980 season is arguably the best ever and would definitely have earned him horse of the decade for the 80s.

Dahoss 12-11-2020 07:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147652)
My first option is to always go with the horse that I think is the best horse during the year. Then I look at resumes. If the best horse and horse with the best resume aren't the same horse, I try to look and see who has the biggest advantage. For example, Authentic had a really good year. Had he won that Preakness, I'd give it to him. But his resume to me wasn't much better than Gamine's and I think she's the better horse.

In 2005, I thought Ghostzapper was the clear best horse to run in this country even though it was only one race. In my mind, the precedent has been set many times over with giving a horse a championship based on one race in this country. Singspiel won an Eclipse and never actually won a race in the United States. But if Arazi can be a HOY finaiist off of one race, so can Ghostzapper. I was very tempted to give it to St. Liam that year because his resume was much better but in the end, I decided that Ghostzapper was just so much clear the best horse that I went with him.

In the end, it's not an exact science so I flipped a coin.

Obviously it’s not an exact science and if you said she was the best sprinter I think you might have an argument. How about Swiss Skydiver? She was over the top in the Breeders Cup but had beaten Gamine before that. Her resume was much better.

And if it’s “best” horse what about Nashville? He’s been absolutely brilliant. I know you love you some Gamine but she ran 3 really good races, two good races and had two medication overages. She’s not even 3 year old filly of the year, let alone HOY.

King Glorious 12-11-2020 11:41 AM

Nashville is an interesting horse. I think he could be in the conversation for best horse and I'm really looking forward to the Malibu Stakes later this month. But his resume won't come close to being good enough.

I don't discriminate against sprinters. I actually think that in an era where the vast majority of races are eight furlongs and under and looking at who the main sires are, it's harder to dominate shorter races than it is longer races. The pool of good runners is deeper, I think. Most people give more credit to the horses that do better at the classic distances and I get that. I just don't agree with it. I think if you tell me that the race is 9f, I'm picking Swiss Skydiver to beat her. Anything under that and I'm picking Gamine. I think Gamine has a much better chance of beating Swiss Skydiver at 9f than the other way around.

Having said that, if Swiss Skydiver had finished better in the BC, i would have agreed with her as champion 3yo because her resume would have been enough to overcome what I thought was Gamine's brilliance.

Dahoss 12-11-2020 01:01 PM

She just wasn’t brilliant the one time they ran against Swiss Skydiver. ;)

I’m giving you a hard time but if Nashville doesn’t cut it due to resume how does Gamine get it over Swiss Skydiver in your eyes?

Ones resume was much better than the other

goodcopy 12-11-2020 01:22 PM

Dr. Fager beats them all
 
I know it's the late 60's but some how when mentioning all time horses the "Doctor:)" and his trainer John Nerud has to be given his and there due:eek:

Alabama Stakes 12-11-2020 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147644)
Curious to know where you'd rank Go for Wand among the all-time female runners of the past 50 years? Dirt runners only.

Realistically, She would be favored against any distaff runner. Speed of lightning, roar of thunder.

King Glorious 12-11-2020 04:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1147662)
She just wasn’t brilliant the one time they ran against Swiss Skydiver. ;)

I’m giving you a hard time but if Nashville doesn’t cut it due to resume how does Gamine get it over Swiss Skydiver in your eyes?

Ones resume was much better than the other

If Nashville were to win the Malibu, it would give him one grade one win and one graded stakes win. I could believe he's the best horse but that's just not enough if I feel like Gamine is right there with him and she has a much better resume than him.

When it comes to her against Swiss Skydiver, I do concede that Swiss Skydiver has the better resume but not by much. SS has won two G1 races. Gamine has three. While the Preakness might be the single biggest race on either resume, I don't think it was the best on either. I think the single best effort was by Gamine in the BC and the second was by Gamine in the Acorn and the third was by Gamine in the Test. It can be argued that in Swiss' two biggest tests, she lost (Oaks and Distaff). An on the board finish in the Distaff might have been enough for me to put her on top but that didn't happen due to her horrible start. I just feel like Gamine > Swiss on talent is bigger than Swiss > Gamine on resume. I wouldn't have any issue with anyone voting for Swiss as top 3yo filly. I have zero issue with anyone voting Authentic or Monomoy Girl as HOY. I don't think any of them would be an injustice. I just feel like Gamine was the most brilliant horse I've seen this year and she has the resume to compete with the other top contenders.

blackthroatedwind 12-11-2020 06:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1147670)
Realistically, She would be favored against any distaff runner. Speed of lightning, roar of thunder.

I can't think of a female dirt runner since Ruffian I am confident could beat her in a fairly run race. To me, Go for Wand was the gold standard.

RolloTomasi 12-11-2020 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147658)
I don't discriminate against sprinters. I actually think that in an era where the vast majority of races are eight furlongs and under and looking at who the main sires are, it's harder to dominate shorter races than it is longer races. The pool of good runners is deeper, I think.

That sounds all good in theory but that's not the reality as far as Gamine's campaign goes. She faced fields of 6, 7, and 8 horses in her big wins. Furthermore, despite the notion that American breeding is geared toward speed, Gamine was left untouched early in the Acorn and her main pace rival in the Test was thwarted by a hammerlock from her rider down the backstretch. Gamine also had the run of the race in the Kentucky Oaks yet failed to even threaten to break the race open, never mind capitalize on the ideal setup and win.

She faced a grand total of 7 different Grade 1 winners all year, beating 5 of those.

Quote:

Most people give more credit to the horses that do better at the classic distances and I get that. I just don't agree with it. I think if you tell me that the race is 9f, I'm picking Swiss Skydiver to beat her. Anything under that and I'm picking Gamine. I think Gamine has a much better chance of beating Swiss Skydiver at 9f than the other way around.
You down play the versatility of Swiss Skydiver. The pace numbers for several of her route races were high and she was in the mix or setting the fractions in the majority of those. On the Beyer scale she ran slightly faster (while hounding the same pace rival Gamine later faced in the Test) than Gamine at Oaklawn over 8.5 furlongs in early May...and she wasn't subsequently disqualified. Swiss Skydiver absolutely crushed going 7 furlongs in her debut.

And if history tells us anything, middle distance horses absolutely terrorize sprinters at 7 furlongs more often than not (see the 1991 Deputy Minister replay I posted a couple of weeks back or the history of the Malibu and the La Brea)...at least in a full field on a fair racetrack.

King Glorious 12-11-2020 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147682)
That sounds all good in theory but that's not the reality as far as Gamine's campaign goes. She faced fields of 6, 7, and 8 horses in her big wins. Furthermore, despite the notion that American breeding is geared toward speed, Gamine was left untouched early in the Acorn and her main pace rival in the Test was thwarted by a hammerlock from her rider down the backstretch. Gamine also had the run of the race in the Kentucky Oaks yet failed to even threaten to break the race open, never mind capitalize on the ideal setup and win.

She faced a grand total of 7 different Grade 1 winners all year, beating 5 of those.


You down play the versatility of Swiss Skydiver. The pace numbers for several of her route races were high and she was in the mix or setting the fractions in the majority of those. On the Beyer scale she ran slightly faster (while hounding the same pace rival Gamine later faced in the Test) than Gamine at Oaklawn over 8.5 furlongs in early May...and she wasn't subsequently disqualified. Swiss Skydiver absolutely crushed going 7 furlongs in her debut.

And if history tells us anything, middle distance horses absolutely terrorize sprinters at 7 furlongs more often than not (see the 1991 Deputy Minister replay I posted a couple of weeks back or the history of the Malibu and the La Brea)...at least in a full field on a fair racetrack.

My argument would be that beating Venetian Harbor at 7f is more impressive than beating her at 8.5f since sprinting is what she does best.

I'm not surprised that Gamine's early pace numbers aren't that great. I never thought she was particularly fast early which is why I thought she would get outrun early and be a non factor in the BC. Man, was I wrong on that one.

You bringing up middle distance horses beating sprinters is just not fair. Because I know it to be true. Of course I remember learning that lesson in my early years after watching Precisionist, Gulch, and Dancing Spree win the Sprint.

In the end, I can't make any overwhelming argument that says Gamine was the better horse. It's just my opinion. If they were to face off now going 7-8f, I'm taking Gamine in a runaway. If it's 9f, I'm still taking Gamine but not nearly as confident.

RolloTomasi 12-11-2020 11:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147683)
My argument would be that beating Venetian Harbor at 7f is more impressive than beating her at 8.5f since sprinting is what she does best.

A dubious assertion at this stage. Venetian Harbor is a run-off who has yet to mature into a reasonable running style. She is no more effective sprinting than she is routing. In fact, her sprint record is terrible compared to her two-turn record, which is at least consistent. She was buried in both the Test and the BC FM Sprint and just held sway in the lesser Raven Run. Meanwhile, the only two horses to beat her in a two-turn race are Swiss Skydiver and Speech (both of whom have technically beaten Gamine, by the way).

She hasn't beaten a sprinter of any merit and yet in her routes she's finished in front of the winners of the BC Juvenile Fillies, the Queen Elizabeth, the Demoiselle, the Kentucky Oaks, Fair Grounds Oaks, Remington Park Oaks, and Falls City...all two turn races. When she held on to win the Raven Run, she just edged the come backing Finite, another multiple graded stakes winner around two-turns.

That Swiss Skydiver was able to engage Venetian Harbor early after a blistering 1/2 mile and still go on to win Fantasy speaks to the quality of the former's cruising speed. It was a dozen lengths back to the rest of the field (which also says something about Venetian Harbor's ability to see out a distance).

That certainly trumps Gamine being able to out-foot Venetian Harbor in a pair sprints when the latter was hard held early in both races, effectively blunting the one weapon she's thus far displayed (her front-running speed).

If she learns to settle she'll be able to get a middle distance easily.

FATPIANO 12-12-2020 01:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147640)
They have Spectacular Bid as an 80s horse.

His 1980 season
ranks as one of the best of all time

FATPIANO 12-12-2020 01:11 PM

I just realized there was no love for Arrogate !!!!

King Glorious 12-12-2020 07:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1147681)
I can't think of a female dirt runner since Ruffian I am confident could beat her in a fairly run race. To me, Go for Wand was the gold standard.

Finally got one right. There’s hope for you after all.

Dahoss 12-12-2020 08:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147683)

I'm not surprised that Gamine's early pace numbers aren't that great. I never thought she was particularly fast early which is why I thought she would get outrun early and be a non factor in the BC.

I gotta call bullish.it here. I don’t think you thought Gamine would be a non factor in the BC. And if you did that could explain why you’re overrating her so much.

King Glorious 12-12-2020 09:02 PM

Here are a couple of my posts on another forum before the race:
Arazi 0
Posted November 2
As much as I love Gamine, I don't think she wins here. Serengeti Empress is the likely pick for me. I wouldn't be surprised to see Gamine off the board. She is not fast enough early to run with these.

——————————


Arazi 0
Posted November 5
If this race was 8f, I'd pick Gamine. It's not. I'll take it a step further. I think Gamine might be able to run 7f faster than Serengeti Empress in a vacuum. If allowed to run along uncontested, I think she could be faster. That Test Stakes was awesome. But in a sprint race with several runners all up there gunning, I don't see Gamine having the speed necessary to get the lead and that changes things.

Dahoss 12-12-2020 09:49 PM

Well that explains the HOY nonsense ;)

You underrated her going into that race (I did too) and are overrating her now

King Glorious 12-12-2020 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 1147716)
Well that explains the HOY nonsense ;)

You underrated her going into that race (I did too) and are overrating her now

I absolutely did underrate her chances in the race even though I think she’s the best horse on the country. She shocked me and earned my vote.

RolloTomasi 12-12-2020 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147715)
If this race was 8f, I'd pick Gamine. It's not. I'll take it a step further. I think Gamine might be able to run 7f faster than Serengeti Empress in a vacuum. If allowed to run along uncontested, I think she could be faster. That Test Stakes was awesome. But in a sprint race with several runners all up there gunning, I don't see Gamine having the speed necessary to get the lead and that changes things.

You seemed to have formed your opinion of the race based on sprint racing in general rather than looking at the PPs. The BC FM Sprint was an 8 horse field with 5 dead closers, a couple of run offs, and Gamine. There was never going to be a multi-horse battle for the lead.

The only shocking development was that Venetian Harbor's jock didn't go for the lead after that owner dude blew up Twitter after the Test Stakes crying about a well orchestrated conspiracy to get his horse beat.

King Glorious 12-13-2020 04:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147718)
You seemed to have formed your opinion of the race based on sprint racing in general rather than looking at the PPs. The BC FM Sprint was an 8 horse field with 5 dead closers, a couple of run offs, and Gamine. There was never going to be a multi-horse battle for the lead.

The only shocking development was that Venetian Harbor's jock didn't go for the lead after that owner dude blew up Twitter after the Test Stakes crying about a well orchestrated conspiracy to get his horse beat.

I didn't think she would be anywhere near Serengeti Empress in the early going and would be done for after trying to keep up.

blackthroatedwind 12-13-2020 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 1147718)

The only shocking development was that Venetian Harbor's jock didn't go for the lead after that owner dude blew up Twitter after the Test Stakes crying about a well orchestrated conspiracy to get his horse beat.

My favorite part about that was he found a captive audience that agreed with him. Kind of a precursor to what's happening now.

RolloTomasi 12-13-2020 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1147722)
Kind of a precursor to what's happening now.

It cannot be helped. We are trying to make lemonade here, especially this time of year.

RolloTomasi 12-13-2020 09:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious (Post 1147720)
I didn't think she would be anywhere near Serengeti Empress in the early going and would be done for after trying to keep up.

Gamine (surprisingly) relaxed comfortably on the lead after the first 1/4 in the Kentucky Oaks, John Velasquez is a seasoned rider who probably does his homework ahead of a major race, and the only time Serengeti Empress doesn't come back to the field is when the hapless Bellafina is her main rival.

Conditions were ripe for her to be in a garden spot, especially on a souped up track.


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