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Lock of the year
Friday, Keeneland Race 5
#11 Trust This horse cannot be defeated. |
The 12 hoss beat him by 5 last time, 6 also finished in front of him in the same race. The MSW race that the one hoss came out of went a full second faster just 5 days later.
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How is he making up the 5 lengths the 12 hoss whipped him ? Just because they paid $240K for him , does not mean he is all that and a bag of chips. |
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The lock of the year is Chad Brown having an INSANE amount of barns filled to the brim with talent. WOWZAS!
Lock that man up for monopolizing turf races! Sheesh! |
Tough race to have a "Lock" in......but I will be playing the inside runner. Sometimes it isn't just solely 2nd out stats but more the dichotomy between the 1st out 2nd out numbers that tell the story. Tomilinson is, to be kind, poor with firsters.....but excellent next out. I also wouldn't be afraid to use the 2. Took money 1st out and this trainer, while fine with firsters, always get them to improve. Lanerie leaving isn't exactly a ringing endorsement though.
I will be playing Dagneys Warrior in this race, going outside to inside, with the aforementioned trainer numbers. Best of luck! |
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She has early speed,fits the main track profile right now. Good thread......I'll try a lock of the day on Saturday. |
Sept 16 race
The other half of the race that day, which was split, went in 1:10 . The race that Trust came out of went in 1:11 4/5. Is this an angle for you ? Lock of the year in the slow split of the race .
To me all 3 coming out of that race are tossola material. The 9 hoss was awesome in her debut. 9 with 7-8-14 |
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This race has that bomb look to it. Not sure Trust is fast enough to beat the 12 or the 6 and not sold that was even a good race. I'm looking at the 1 horse and a few other double digits here
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The guy comes here and gives an opinion. He's having some fun. Who do you like in the race? I'll bet $50, loser donates it to TRF, that his horse beats whatever horse you pick. |
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August Snow is interesting except for the post position and surrounding speed. If I was to take a shot, I would use the Union Rags filly, nice gate work last time and maybe corey will shake some of the ice off...but I doubt you will see 12/1, maybe 5/1...maybe
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By the way, 1) if I was a bookie I could afford to make those offers from time to time and 2) have you ever heard of exchange or lay wagering? |
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You didn't need the second paragraph. You were just piling on yourself. What exchange wagering has to do with you obnoxiously criticizing someone else's pick, especially when you don't even have one of your own, will remain a great mystery. |
I'd take a shot with 2-Pinot
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Joe & Ed look like they have this cornered with the 1 & 11..
I think you want to add #2 Pinot, by win early Into Mischief, to the mix at 10-1. KEE-based Gorder another guy that does strong work second out, filly got an education in modest debut and drilled a sharp half mile readying for this.. Best Value: #2 Pinot 10-1 5th Next Best: #11 Trust 5-1 WON ($9.80) Exotics Use: #12 Flash n' Dance 3-1 2nd Super Add: #8 Gorgeous in Rags 12-1 4th |
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5/1, is that a good thing given the connections? maybe its just that good a race, either way you can send it in at that price on your lock...good luck.
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Tremendous job.
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great job! - especially with all the dead weight on your back
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BOOM.
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Well done Joey
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Well Done...
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nice hit 7/2!
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Well done on the lock.
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Good call.
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Nice Work!!
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Nice call at just a tick under 4-1.
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So let's see, you actually gave a caveat for your horrendous opinion ( one man's caveat is another's whine ) as opposed to JUST congratulating him on a sensational opinion. As for stabs...Snake Oil Charlie? Really? The last time I picked him he won at Aqueduct a couple years ago and paid around $24. You're really on top of your game today. Probably should have quit while you were merely badly behind. I do, however, give you credit for posting pre-race picks here. That's very fair. You certainly have done a lot of that. |
Great work Joe! That was fun.
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