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-   -   Are we getting close to a primetime Derby? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=41997)

NTamm1215 04-25-2011 11:33 AM

Are we getting close to a primetime Derby?
 
I was talking to a friend of mine about this the other day. Personally, I like night racing. Post time for the Derby this year is 6:24 PM EDT and now with lights you have to think the idea has been discussed.

I think it would be great.

randallscott35 04-25-2011 11:36 AM

They said it would happen in a few years I thought. So, yes.

somerfrost 04-25-2011 11:38 AM

Would be cool....hope it happens!

Sightseek 04-25-2011 12:12 PM

I don't like the idea.

MaTH716 04-25-2011 12:25 PM

I have always been against it, but the more I think about it, I would be all for it now. The best part for me personally, would actually be getting to watch/bet the rest of the undercard.
Who would be the ones to mandate such a change, the network covering the race?

Also I wonder if that would change the landscape of some prep races. You would think that Hollywood would/could market a 3 year old prep under the lights. Maybe Mountaineer would consider moving the WV Derby as well. You would think that some trainers would want to get their horses a race under the lights.

Who knows maybe networks will even devote air time to races since weekend programming seems to be a different animal all together.

knickslions2 04-25-2011 12:34 PM

I'm all for more drinking time!:p

Travis Stone 04-25-2011 12:45 PM

It'll exist between pure prime time / evening... but I don't think we ever see it at 9pm or 10pm at night. I could be wrong... prime time US Open does well with ratings, but when gambling plays a role, who knows...

PatCummings 04-25-2011 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 771308)
It'll exist between pure prime time / evening... but I don't think we ever see it at 9pm or 10pm at night. I could be wrong... prime time US Open does well with ratings, but when gambling plays a role, who knows...

I think it could definitely end up with a 9pm Eastern post. Don't think 10pm. Could even happen as soon as next year, in my opinion.

slotdirt 04-25-2011 05:34 PM

I think that if more folks would watch the Derby if it had a later start time, I'd be all for it.

hi_im_god 04-25-2011 08:44 PM

if you want to reach a younger demographic i'm not sure saturday night prime time tv is the answer.

you're going up against csi, criminal minds, and america's most wanted so i'm sure you'll kick some ass. but there's a reason the simpson writers thought making grandpa a matlock fan would strike a chord.

it's getting close to summer. it's a nice night out. let's stay home and watch tv. who does that?

Thunder Gulch 04-25-2011 10:20 PM

I'm thinking they make a test run of it with the Oaks on ESPN and then push it on over to an 8pm Derby a few years later.

PatCummings 04-25-2011 10:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 771378)
I'm thinking they make a test run of it with the Oaks on ESPN and then push it on over to an 8pm Derby a few years later.

For what its worth, May in Louisville is not really dark at 8pm, being on the far western edge of the eastern time zone. If they truly want it under the lights, 9pm is more of a lock for that, but it could go even later, who knows.

Mawhip 04-25-2011 11:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 771378)
I'm thinking they make a test run of it with the Oaks on ESPN and then push it on over to an 8pm Derby a few years later.

They had a test run with the BC last year. It's a bad idea.

dalakhani 04-26-2011 12:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mawhip (Post 771380)
They had a test run with the BC last year. It's a bad idea.

Bc wasn't prime time

ateamstupid 04-26-2011 02:38 AM

Eh, I'm against it. Nighttime racing is nice as a change of pace, but the vast majority of top racing in Amerca is conducted during the day and the Derby has been a day race for 140 years, so I don't like the idea of messing with the late afternoon post. Plus, as h_i_g said, I doubt it'll make it more of a viewing event.

3kings 04-26-2011 05:05 AM

I think an evening post would help ratings and wagering similarly to the Saturday of Final Four Weekend. A lot of people would have groups of friends over to watch and I think more people may be introduced to betting. With computer betting it is so easy to set up an account I think it would introduce more people to wagering.

I have had a few afternoon Derby cookouts over the years and everyone wanted some action even if they had never wagered before. Many people had to show up after later or after the race because they or their kids were involved in Saturday baseball, soccer, golf etc....... That is why prime time or early evening would make more sense.

slotdirt 04-26-2011 05:57 AM

I think a "twilight" Derby is definitely going to happen in the next few years. Now, whether a 7:38 post is "primetime" or not is another discussion.

OldDog 04-26-2011 08:35 AM

"If it ain't broke don't fix it."

The Kentucky Derby model is far from broken, in my opinion. It should remain as it is.

MaTH716 04-26-2011 08:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OldDog (Post 771405)
"If it ain't broke don't fix it."

The Kentucky Derby model is far from broken, in my opinion. It should remain as it is.

Agreed that's it's not broken, but is there a chance of making it better?

OldDog 04-26-2011 08:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 771407)
Agreed that's it's not broken, but is there a chance of making it better?

That's a fair question. If the goal is to increase tv viewers, I'm not sold that an 8 or 9 o'clock post time would accomplish that. Speaking for myself, a 5 or 6 PM post time best meshes with the popular Derby Day party concept, something with which I am quite enamored. :D

MaTH716 04-26-2011 09:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OldDog (Post 771410)
That's a fair question. If the goal is to increase tv viewers, I'm not sold that an 8 or 9 o'clock post time would accomplish that. Speaking for myself, a 5 or 6 PM post time best meshes with the popular Derby Day party concept, something with which I am quite enamored. :D

Yeah, but wouldn't parties function just as well into Saturday night?
Don't forget about the West Coast, the Derby goes off in the middle of the afternoon. I would think that you would pick up more viewers out there by having a later post time. Personally for me, I would have less of a chance on seeing the race if it was dead set in the middle of a Saturday afternoon.

The concept that intrigues me is that a network could really dedicate a time block and show more than the Derby to the public. The key is, to make it more about handicapping/racing than fluff pieces.
Maybe they can guarentee some sort of super pick 4 pool and then show all of the involving races.

OldDog 04-26-2011 10:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 771413)
Yeah, but wouldn't parties function just as well into Saturday night?
Don't forget about the West Coast, the Derby goes off in the middle of the afternoon. I would think that you would pick up more viewers out there by having a later post time. Personally for me, I would have less of a chance on seeing the race if it was dead set in the middle of a Saturday afternoon.

Again, that's a fair statement. Derby parties notwithstanding, I guess what it comes down to for me is that the Kentucky Derby is an event unto itself, a decidedly traditional event, and I'm more concerned about the event itself than how TV covers it. Derby Day is Derby Day, and I don't want it to change to Derby Night just to (perhaps) pick up some viewers.

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 771413)
The concept that intrigues me is that a network could really dedicate a time block and show more than the Derby to the public. The key is, to make it more about handicapping/racing than fluff pieces.
Maybe they can guarentee some sort of super pick 4 pool and then show all of the involving races.

TV producers seem to believe that viewers tuning into to Derby Day coverage want to see the fluff, as evidenced by them showing anything but the Woodford Reserve. Man, that steams me. Only during the BC coverage was a little more than casual attention paid to handicapping. I suppose that's what we get in the era of "reality tv" (which is anything but reality).

PatCummings 04-26-2011 10:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OldDog (Post 771410)
That's a fair question. If the goal is to increase tv viewers, I'm not sold that an 8 or 9 o'clock post time would accomplish that. Speaking for myself, a 5 or 6 PM post time best meshes with the popular Derby Day party concept, something with which I am quite enamored. :D

You can't teach an OldDog new tricks, I suppose.

jms62 04-26-2011 11:02 AM

Will we ever get to see the Woodford Reserve?? My ADW doesn't show it for contractual reasons and the network that is the reason for the contractual reasons failed to show it 2 years in a row.:zz:

ghartman02 04-26-2011 12:29 PM

I think it's a great idea, but I'm not sure from a "security" standpoint if that would work, releasing 150,000K after dark. The vast majority of people park away from the track. Churchill's lot is not all that large: so most folks park in the surrounding neighborhoods. The other thing is the infield. Unless you bathe that in light, it may be hard to see to get around (and wager) etc: it's difficult enough during the day: the windows don't have the best lighting. I've attended 40 plus Derbies in my lifetime, and while it's a great day, at around 7p, you're ready to leave.

helicopter11 04-26-2011 06:39 PM

The NBA and NHL playoffs occur durring that time, and dont forget MLB night games.

PatCummings 04-27-2011 12:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by helicopter11 (Post 771628)
The NBA and NHL playoffs occur durring that time, and dont forget MLB night games.

And all of them are likely occuring during the day as well as the night. It's still the most popular event on the day, the most known American horse race. Churchill shouldn't be beholden to anything else.

pba1817 04-27-2011 04:10 AM

The Derby is about the only thing horse racing has going that is a positive.. why they would even consider changing it is beyond me. You are not going to gain any added viewers by delaying the post a couple of hours... It is a live sporting event, those who are interested will watch no matter what time post is, those who are kinda interested but not intrigued will do the same thing the rest of us do.. DVR.

MaTH716 04-27-2011 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817 (Post 771687)
The Derby is about the only thing horse racing has going that is a positive.. why they would even consider changing it is beyond me. You are not going to gain any added viewers by delaying the post a couple of hours... It is a live sporting event, those who are interested will watch no matter what time post is, those who are kinda interested but not intrigued will do the same thing the rest of us do.. DVR.

I disagree with this.

First thing is, there is more than one positive thing in racing besides the Derby. (Actually from a handicapping standpoint, I actually don't like the derby. Most of the horses have the same pp's, it just seems like a big crapshoot to me and you need more racing luck than usually to be successful.)

As far as other positive things go, the whole NYRA/NYOTB thing is extremely positive as far as I'm concerned. To already go with the entire Saratoga meet/expierence. Aside from the surface, Del Mar is another popular meet. Santa Anita going back to dirt is positive as well. Eibar Coa walking out of a hosipital is probably the most important and positive news of all. And so on, obviously there are issues with our sport, but then again there are issues with every sport. There is positive news around, you just have to choose to acknowledge it.

As far as the later post goes, how do you know it won't attract more people? Many other sports have moved their playoff games to the evenings (obviously talking weekends here), isn't that strictly for viewership? How do you know that it wouldn't translate over for the Derby? The answer is that you don't? Really what's the worst thing that could happen? Even if they lose a big number viewers, then just chalk it up as a failed expierment and move it back the next year. But if it works, it could be a tremendous success for the event and sport as a whole. I think the risk-reward makes it a no brainer to at least expierment with.

mbahadur 04-27-2011 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ghartman02 (Post 771472)
I think it's a great idea, but I'm not sure from a "security" standpoint if that would work, releasing 150,000K after dark. The vast majority of people park away from the track. Churchill's lot is not all that large: so most folks park in the surrounding neighborhoods. .

I work near Churchill Downs and drive through those surrounding neighborhoods on the way to work in the daylight. When I leave work at night, I drive around those surrounding neighborhoods and avoid driving through them. I do not think they are totally safe at night unless you are surrounded by large numbers of people. I stayed at a hotel down the street from Churchill and my car, parked in the hotel parking lot, got broken into during the week of a popular trade show at the nearby convention hall (the police told me the thieves come out during big trade show weeks).

But they will get over 30,000 people this Saturday for night racing -- I think the post time for the Derby Trial is after 9:30pm.

pba1817 04-27-2011 08:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 771732)
I disagree with this.

First thing is, there is more than one positive thing in racing besides the Derby. (Actually from a handicapping standpoint, I actually don't like the derby. Most of the horses have the same pp's, it just seems like a big crapshoot to me and you need more racing luck than usually to be successful.)

As far as other positive things go, the whole NYRA/NYOTB thing is extremely positive as far as I'm concerned. To already go with the entire Saratoga meet/expierence. Aside from the surface, Del Mar is another popular meet. Santa Anita going back to dirt is positive as well. Eibar Coa walking out of a hosipital is probably the most important and positive news of all. And so on, obviously there are issues with our sport, but then again there are issues with every sport. There is positive news around, you just have to choose to acknowledge it.

As far as the later post goes, how do you know it won't attract more people? Many other sports have moved their playoff games to the evenings (obviously talking weekends here), isn't that strictly for viewership? How do you know that it wouldn't translate over for the Derby? The answer is that you don't? Really what's the worst thing that could happen? Even if they lose a big number viewers, then just chalk it up as a failed expierment and move it back the next year. But if it works, it could be a tremendous success for the event and sport as a whole. I think the risk-reward makes it a no brainer to at least expierment with.

I disagree with most all of this...

The Derby is the greatest single betting race each year, there is so much value there that if you saved some of your weekly/monthly bankroll specifically for it and fired into that race alone, the ROI is simply awesome. Just because there isn't a blatant 2/5 shot for you to lynch onto doesnt make it a bad betting race...

NYRA = Joke. No matter what they do there, that is a big fat bureaucracy that is destined to fail...

Saratoga = NYRA's saving grace, they will destroy it, just give enough time..

Del Mar is the closest track to me, and it was RUINED by Polytrack... The quality of racing in CA is dwindling fast.

SA and Coa are positives.

As I said in my original post, changing to post time will not have any effect on TV viewership. People who want to see it live, will do so no matter the post. The people who want to record it, will do so as well.

Changing things just for the sake of change is pretty immature in my opinion.

NTamm1215 04-27-2011 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817 (Post 771957)
I disagree with most all of this...

The Derby is the greatest single betting race each year, there is so much value there that if you saved some of your weekly/monthly bankroll specifically for it and fired into that race alone, the ROI is simply awesome. Just because there isn't a blatant 2/5 shot for you to lynch onto doesnt make it a bad betting race...

NYRA = Joke. No matter what they do there, that is a big fat bureaucracy that is destined to fail...

Saratoga = NYRA's saving grace, they will destroy it, just give enough time..

Del Mar is the closest track to me, and it was RUINED by Polytrack... The quality of racing in CA is dwindling fast.

SA and Coa are positives.

As I said in my original post, changing to post time will not have any effect on TV viewership. People who want to see it live, will do so no matter the post. The people who want to record it, will do so as well.

Changing things just for the sake of change is pretty immature in my opinion.

Yep, NYRA's a joke. They really fell on their face when the single largest bet taker on their races went belly up practically overnight. Er...

MaTH716 04-27-2011 10:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817 (Post 771957)
I disagree with most all of this...

The Derby is the greatest single betting race each year, there is so much value there that if you saved some of your weekly/monthly bankroll specifically for it and fired into that race alone, the ROI is simply awesome. Just because there isn't a blatant 2/5 shot for you to lynch onto doesnt make it a bad betting race...

NYRA = Joke. No matter what they do there, that is a big fat bureaucracy that is destined to fail...

Saratoga = NYRA's saving grace, they will destroy it, just give enough time..

Del Mar is the closest track to me, and it was RUINED by Polytrack... The quality of racing in CA is dwindling fast.

SA and Coa are positives.

As I said in my original post, changing to post time will not have any effect on TV viewership. People who want to see it live, will do so no matter the post. The people who want to record it, will do so as well.

Changing things just for the sake of change is pretty immature in my opinion.

Who said anything about it being a bad betting race? I said I didn't like it from a handicapping standpoint, period. Maybe you should learn to read before making stupid comments about 2/5 shots. It's two totally different things we are talking about. Of course there is going to be great value in a 20 horse field.

You are entitled to your opinion about NYRA, regardless how ridculous it sounds. They did it for a while there with smoke and mirrors, so you will probably be eating those words very soon with the infusion of cash that will be coming.

As far as the post time goes, you are right that the regular players will watch it whatever time it's on. Now you are trying to capture as many other non regulars as possible, so what's the harm of casting a line into the primetime waters hoping you catch the big one? I don't see the harm in trying it once to see what the numbers are.

SilverRP 04-27-2011 10:32 PM

I'm for anything that will help this sport attract more fans. Primetime Derby would be fine with me, and I can't help to think that it would attract more fans.
I know the Derby is the Derby, but why don't the networks talk more and show the races leading up to the derby? Especially now that Pick 4's have become so popular. Too many people I know think the only race going on that day is the Derby. Just seems like such a waste of an opportunity to show off the sport!

PatCummings 04-27-2011 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MaTH716 (Post 771968)
You are entitled to your opinion about NYRA, regardless how ridculous it sounds. They did it for a while there with smoke and mirrors, so you will probably be eating those words very soon with the infusion of cash that will be coming.

I see the cash coming in bigtime given the massive influx of on-track handle. They spent a little to bring the NYCOTB on track, and while Aqueduct in the winter ain't much, a 70% increase in your attendance will do wonders to your cash flow with all that on-track take.

Travis Stone 04-27-2011 10:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by PatCummings (Post 771972)
I see the cash coming in bigtime given the massive influx of on-track handle. They spent a little to bring the NYCOTB on track, and while Aqueduct in the winter ain't much, a 70% increase in your attendance will do wonders to your cash flow with all that on-track take.

The value of a $1 bet in the building, on the grounds vs. $1 bet from some facility 500 miles away cannot be emphasized enough. Most people don't really understand how significant it is. It's often up to 3x as valuable (if not more). Then when you factor in additional revenue via food/bev etc., it's a big deal.

horseofcourse 04-28-2011 03:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pba1817 (Post 771687)
The Derby is about the only thing horse racing has going that is a positive.. why they would even consider changing it is beyond me. You are not going to gain any added viewers by delaying the post a couple of hours... It is a live sporting event, those who are interested will watch no matter what time post is, those who are kinda interested but not intrigued will do the same thing the rest of us do.. DVR.

Well, I think they already changed it. AS mentioned earlier post time is now 6:24 PM. I'm almost positive when I was a kid post time was more like around 5:30 or so as network coverage had to end by 6 pm I think. Was that hour lost a devastating change?

pba1817 04-29-2011 04:38 AM

If they keep making it later and later I might; a) run out of funds before post time, or b) pass out before post time... I do not like the sounds of either.


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