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Divisional best by decade since 1900
There are a great many variables that go into handicapping a race. Handicapping completed careers is far easier - you're simply comparing an entire racing career with another, in division, from a relatively similar time period in history.
Horses are rated divisionally - by decade - based on accomplishment and ability. Hence horses who had superior ability at peak (like Formal Gold and Candy Ride types of recent) will be rated behind the slightly less monsterous who campaigned hard and achieved a lot more. I've put even a little less emphasis on peak ability than in the past - because it is so much harder to uncover it in charts and pp's with old, old-time horses. 1900's: 2yo: Colin 3yo's: Sysonby, Fitz Herbert, Hermis, Colin Older horse: Hermis, Ballot, Roseben, King James 1910's: 2yo: Man O' War 3yo: Roamer, Sir Barton, Friar Rock, The Finn Older horse: Whisk Broom, Old Rosebud, Roamer, Cudgel 1920's: 2yo: Morvich 3yo: Man O' War, Reigh Count, Grey Lag, Crusader Older horse: Exterminator, Sarazen, Sun Beau, Chance Play 1930's: 2yo: Top Flight (f) 3yo: War Admiral, Gallant Fox, Twenty Grand, Omaha Older horse: Discovery, Equipoise, Seabiscuit, War Admiral 1940's: 2yo: Count Fleet 3yo: Citation, Whirlaway, Count Fleet, Assault Older horse: Whirlaway, Armed, Coaltown, Challedon 1950's: 2yo: Native Dancer 3yo: Native Dancer, Bold Ruler, Swaps, Sword Dancer Older horse: Round Table, Tom Fool, Swaps, Nashua 1960's: 2yo: Buckpasser 3yo: Damascus, Buckpasser, Arts and Letters, Kelso Older horse: Kelso, Dr. Fager, Gun Bow, Native Diver 1970's: 2yo: Ruffian (f) 3yo: Secretariat, Spectacular Bid, Affirmed, Alydar Older horse: Forego, Affirmed, Ack Ack, Seattle Slew 1980's: 2yo: Easy Goer 3yo: Sunday Silence, Easy Goer, Spend A Buck, Conquistador Cielo Older horse: Spectacular Bid, Alysheba, John Henry, Ferdinand 1990's: 2yo: Favorite Trick 3yo: Holy Bull, Silver Charm, Skip Away, Unbridled Older horse: Skip Away, Cigar, Criminal Type, Gentlemen 2000-to-2009: 2yo: War Pass 3yo: Smarty Jones, Tiznow, Point Given, Bernardini Older horse: Ghostzapper, Mineshaft, Medaglia D' Oro, Invasor Best since 1900: 2yo: Native Dancer 3yo: Citation, Secretariat, Spectacular Bid, Damascus Older horse: Kelso, Forego, Discovery, Spectacular Bid If you're more partial to old, old-time horses than I am - Colin is your 2yo and rate Discovery ahead of Forego and Equipoise ahead of Spectacular Bid. While the 1900's through the 1920's was tricky - so few horses actually raced that it wasn't a tough process to identify who the seven or so best were and to - in some cases - try and split hairs. The best 3yo from '00 to '09 is brutal though. Smarty Jones could almost as easily been rated 9th best as best. |
Hard to leave Curlin off the list both 3 year old and older 2000-2009.
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I was a fan of Curlin but he's very hard to include as an older horse. His big celebrated win as an older horse was a very weak Dubai World Cup.
He for sure could be included as a 3-year-old. That was a total case of splitting hairs - but those sound defeats in the Derby and Haskell and losing to Rags to Riches in the Belmont don't help him. The older horses were awful when he was around. |
Bless your heart putting Mineshaft in there. Flowers coming to Erie.
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Mineshaft, Medaglia D' Oro, Congaree, Candy Ride all at their peak the same year. They sometimes made horses look hopelessly common who would be handicap superstars today. |
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just curious, how did Saint Liam compare to those
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landaluces 82' season as a 2yo was a monster
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I don't think SL was quite as good as Ghostzapper, Mineshaft, or MDO - he had some races that could beat Invasor, but I think Invasor beat a lot better BC Classic field. |
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This was his form going into the 1914 Kentucky Derby: ![]() Here's the chart of his KY Derby win: ![]() He won the KY Derby by 8 lengths at 4/5 odds - shaved 1.40 seconds off of the track record on a track that wasn't even yielding times all that fast. Good solid male sprinters went 6f in 1:13 3/5 in one race and 1:14 in another race - so 2:03 2/5 at Churchill is booking. The strong 2nd choice was a clear 2nd. He later won a bunch stakes at Churchill - including the Clark Handicap two years in a row. Big gaps all over. That's a race you'd project a figure in like the low 120's for. Old Rosebud gets hurt in his very next race after the KY Derby and is laid off for 3 years. He returns off of a 3-year layoff and wins 15 of 21 races and gets credited as Horse of the Year as a 6yo. |
surprised more people dont know about this one even though from 1914, what a record, adn also amazing after that 3 yrs off
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Great stuff, I love history and horse racing is very much a part of American History.
Glad to see Buckpasser in there, he is my horse's grandfather.:) |
Old Rosebud would have been a PETA case had he died in 2011 rather than 1922.
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He was named Horse of the Year in 2007 and 2008, and was also Champion 3-year-old in 2007 and Champion Older Male in 2008. Some of his major wins include the Breeders' Cup Classic, Jockey Club Gold Cup (twice), Dubai World Cup, Preakness, Rebel, Arkansas Derby, Stephen Foster Handicap, and Woodward Stakes. Curlin retired with 11 wins in 16 starts and earnings of over $10.5 million, the most ever by a thoroughbred race horse. |
I tend to agree with the original list, but have not yet taken the time for my own research. Certainly no one on there simply dosn't belong.
Curlin won a bunch of important races and had a very good career but at 3 he lost the Belmont to a filly and the Haskell which he shouldn't have. (I am willing to give his Derby a pass as he was still very much a work in progress at the time, having just debuted on Feb 7.) I guess in retrospect they should have passed on the grass experiment and manybe loked at the Foster (I don't have dates here, but I'm guessing that it was close in time to the grass race.) Like many modern horses they picked and chose their spots to avoid certain rivals and meet the easiest fields, then stood back and said "See how great he is!" |
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Commando came mighty close to Colin and I'd give him 2nd place in the 1900's 2yos. I might also squeak Zev in for 1920's 3yo's. I wonder what happened to him in the Preakness?
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Some great inclusions in there Doug...
Challedon is a horse not nearly enough people know about. Gun Bow another that whose praises aren't sung enough. Devil Diver merits an honorable mention in the 40's, no? And what do you do in a survey like this with my favorite, Gallorette? |
As I mentioned in an earlier thread today, Gallorette was a multi-GI winner against males in two distinctly different disciplines...as a six year old mare. And she was beating HOF'ers to boot. Is there even a modern-day equivalent to that?
ETA - how awesome were the fillies/mares from 1944-1948 or so? Three legit hall of famers on the track at the same time. |
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My one question is about this one. How close was it between Count Fleet and Citation (who I assume was second) in your mind? I take it you didn't hold it against Count Fleet that it took him a few races to get going. I guess the same question could be asked in other divisions as well. When comparing Bernardini to, for example, Curlin or Rachel Alexandra how much do you count Bernardini's debut against him? Does it matter that he started off his 3yo season with a defeat in a MSW, or do you primarily just look at how good the horses were once they got going and were running at their preferred distances, etc.? |
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Gallorette was easily one of the great race mares of all-time - and she faced a lot of strong male competition at several points - but her case for inclusion isn't very good unless you're graded fillies and mares on a curve - in which case, she's a total shoe-in for inclusion. |
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I didn't hold Bernardini's debut against him that much - heck, for an A. P. Indy first-time-starter going 6f - it sure wasn't bad. I don't think he faced any serious competition at all - to say the least - until the Breeders Cup Classic ... which he would have certainly won with a competent ride .. and I say that as someone who bet against him in that race. I think Tiznow was the best 3yo of that decade. However, I held the fact that he missed the triple crown series and pretty much the entire first half of the season against him... more than I held Smarty Jones missing the 2nd half of the season against him. As we know, the first half of the season is made to be all about the 3yo division. |
I've always had a huge problem with Mineshaft getting as much credit as he does and being named HOY in 2003. While he certainly was a good horse, they were extremely fortunate that year with him. While you don't ever want to criticize anyone for chosing a schedule that includes the Pimlico Special, Foster, Suburban, Woodward, and JCGC because those are the races you are supposed to run in with a horse of that caliber, I think that you have to look deeper than the names of the races that year. It's not his/their fault that none of the other top older males showed up to face him in those races. Most of the supporters of Mineshaft say that they were ducking him. I don't think that was the case at all. Either way, there remains the simple fact that 2003 was a pretty good year for the older male division. That season, we had Candy Ride, Medaglia d'Oro, Pleasantly Perfect, Congaree, Perfect Drift, Mineshaft, and Milwaukee Brew. While most of those horses were locking horns with each other several times during the year, taking turns knocking each other off and tarnishing each other's records, Mineshaft got away virtually unscathed. I think that those seven I named above were the general consensus seven top older males that year and Mineshaft only had to face ONE of them (Perfect Drift) and he only faced that one horse ONE time (in the Foster) and he LOST that one matchup. I feel like in a lot of ways, that situation is not unlike 2010 with Zenyatta. While Blame was taking on the best of the older horses all year (Battle Plan, Haynesfield, and Quality Road), Zenyatta was facing second and third rate horses all year and beating them and then in her one matchup with a top horse, she lost. If you wonder where this current trend of connections playing duck soup really took off, where less became more, I think 2003 is a good place to start.
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Mineshaft- 9 starts. Congaree- 9 starts. Medaglia D'Oro- 5 starts. Pleasantly Perfect- 4 starts. Milwaukee Brew- 4 starts. Candy Ride- 3 starts. Congaree was dusted in the Met Mile and beaten on the square in both the Kentucky Cup and the Breeder's Cup. Pleasantly Perfect and Milwaukee Brew were opportunists at best. Perfect Drift wasted starts on turf and was no factor in the BC. Medaglia D'Oro beat the exact same horses Mineshaft did (ie Olmodovar, Evening Attire, Volponi, etc.), but lost both his starts at 10f including the BC Classic. Candy Ride won a single main track race in a 3-horse field which included a horse that was retired 24 hours later with an injury, and he himself was never heard from again. |
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Frankel shipped MDO west after the Whitney that year and Milwaukee Brew was already out there. He chose to run them both in the Pacific Classic and i have read where people have argued that he was ducking Mineshaft. I have to disagree with that though considering that the BC was out west that year and there were a few more advantages to running at del Mar as opposed to running in the woodard or JCGC. It could be argued that Baffert ducked by sending Congaree to turfway but that doesnt hold water because Perfect Drift was there and that horse had already beaten mineshaft. The good three year olds coming up were either off form (funny cide), retiring (empire maker), or more suited to shorter distance (peace rules). Ten most wanted was too slow and he was a west coast horse anyway. There was Dynever but that horse could find a way to lose the cleveland cavs. Mineshaft came along in the right year (or the wrong year depending on how one sees things). Surely he was a nice horse but unfortunately he never proved it beating any other nice horses. |
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You talk about how Congaree and MDO and Perfect Drift were beaten in the Classic but you miss the point I was making in the first place. That they were all there to face each other meant that all of them except for one would have to lose. Congaree faced Perfect Drift in Kentucky. They both couldn't win. MDO and Candy Ride both couldn't win the Pacific Classic. Congaree, Milwaukee Brew, and Pleasantly Perfect were all in the San Antonio. This is what I'm talking about. Their records were all going to suffer because they were consistently facing each other while Mineshaft was getting a steady diet of lower level horses. |
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Pleasantly Perfect made all of 4 starts, all at Santa Anita. His record "suffered" because he didn't run between March and October and he couldn't get close to Congaree without a tailor-made setup. Instead of trying to pad your argument with nonsense, just say what your main gripe is...that Mineshaft didn't run in the BC Classic. Who cares? The race was won by the worst of your top 7 older horses that year when the beneficiary of one of the greatest setups of all time. Mineshaft had the more illustrious campaign of the bunch. The only other horse that didn't have a cherry-picked season was Congaree, but he had too many high-profile losses (Big Cap, Met Mile, etc.) to overtake Mineshaft. I find your argument pretty ironic coming from a guy who thinks Java Gold should have been HOY in 1987. |
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Perfect Drift faced Congaree in at Turfway and Mineshaft in the Foster Congaree faced everyone all year Medaglia faced Candy Ride at Del Mar and ran in the BC Pleasantly Perfect faced Congaree and Milwaukee Brew in February and was in the Classic. Of those seven, all of them faced more than one other member of the group and most of them did so multiple times. The only one that didn't was Mineshaft. This is a fact that you can't argue. I couldn't care less if Mineshaft had run in the Classic or not. Quite often, the horse I've thought should have been HOY didn't run in the Classic. Still doesn't change the fact that while the others were facing each other, some of them several times, Mineshaft got away without having to be challenged by any of them and the one time he was, he lost. Debate it how you want to but that's the truth. If he had to face Congaree a couple of times or Medaglia or Candy Ride, I doubt he comes out with the same kind of record he had. And yeah, the Java Gold argument is the same. He only beat Alysheba, Bet Twice, Gulch, Nostalgia's Star, Cryptoclearance, Polish Navy, Broad Brush, Temperate Sil, Cutlass Reality, etc. Save for Ferdinand and Lost Code, he beat just about every other top class dirt horse out there. |
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Why is a single horse's record (Mineshaft) being pitted against 6 other horses collectively? Consider those 6 horses individually, and none can overcome the accomplishments of Mineshaft. Quote:
Don't bother bringing up forays to Del Mar. Nobody had Candy Ride at the top of their list of top handicap horses (how could they?--no one knew who he was). Guess why Frankel showed up there instead of the Woodward? Quote:
He did get revenge on Balto Star in the Pimlico Special at least. Quote:
How'd he do in the Triple Crown? |
Soon as I finish looking up Hold that Tiger's record. Might as well look up Quest's record too and Western Pride and Judge's Case. Those monsters that Mineshaft had to face while the real top horses were facing each other.
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PP's of the top older males from 2003:
http://test.drf.com/eclipse/2003/pps/om.pdf Perfect Drift was a complete and utter badass that year. His dopey trainer kept running him on turf and talking about how he was going to enter him in the Melbourne Cup. I remember before Perfect Drift made his 5-year-old debut and all the hanging problems started - he was based at the CD training center. Before his first start that season, Wismer told me he thought something was amiss with him. He gallops horses that he trains and was on the track with him a lot of mornings. He told me not to bet Perfect Drift in his comeback race and said he thought he might miss the board - I basically laughed at him and mocked him for thinking that. |
Thanks for posting that Drugs. So if my ciphering is correct, here's what I get. Out of those seven horses (Candy Ride, Congaree, Medaglia d'Oro, Milwaukee Brew, Mineshaft, Perfect Drift, Pleasantly Perfect), here's the total number of matchups against the others in that group:
Congaree-8 (in four races, one win) (Pleasantly Perfect 3x, Milwaukee Brew 2x, Perfect Drift 2x, MDO 1x) Pleasantly Perfect-7 (in three races, one win) (Congaree 3x, Milwaukee Brew 2x, MDO 1x, Perfect Drift 1x) Milwaukee Brew-6 (in three races, one win) (Congaree 2x, Pleasantly Perfect 2x, Candy Ride 1x, MDO 1x) Medaglia d'Oro-5 (in two races, no wins) (Candy Ride, Milwaukee Brew, Pleasantly Perfect, Congaree, Perfect Drift 1x each) Perfect Drift-5 (in three races, two wins) (Congaree 2x, MDO 1x, Pleasantly Perfect 1x, Mineshaft 1x) Candy Ride-2 (in one race, one win) (MDO, Milwaukee Brew 1x each) Mineshaft-1 (in one race, no wins) (Perfect Drift 1x) ___________________ So with the exception of Candy Ride and Mineshaft, each of those other five faced another of the top seven in multiple races. It's pretty easy to see why I said they were facing each other consistently and beating each other. It's not unlike 1997 when Will's Way, Skip Away, and Formal Gold kept facing each other and beating each other up and Favorite Trick snuck in and won HOY. Again, you can't fault a horse for who shows up to face them, especially when they are running in the right races as Mineshaft was. But you also can't excape the reality of the fact that Mineshaft got off easy that year in comparison to what the others were facing on a regular basis. |
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