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tjfla 11-22-2010 05:00 PM

Musket Man back?
 
DRF

Arson Squad, Bribon, Girolamo, and Musket Man head a list of probable starters for the Grade 1, $250,000 Cigar Mile.

RockHardTen1985 11-22-2010 08:01 PM

Does it matter? He is a horse Joey S has been right about. I said a long long time ago he wont win a race, maybe they will find a bad Grade 3 for him. Well they have not even been able to do that.

RolloTomasi 11-22-2010 08:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726463)
Does it matter? He is a horse Joey S has been right about. I said a long long time ago he wont win a race, maybe they will find a bad Grade 3 for him. Well they have not even been able to do that.

What's your problem with him exactly? His talent level or his bridesmaid tendency?

He probably would have been competitive in the BC Dirt Mile given the pace setup. The cutback from 9-10f races should help.

randallscott35 11-22-2010 08:26 PM

This race should be worth more money.

NTamm1215 11-22-2010 08:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 726472)
This race should be worth more money.

What would be the difference if it was worth $400,000?

randallscott35 11-22-2010 08:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 726473)
What would be the difference if it was worth $400,000?

Semantics

NTamm1215 11-22-2010 08:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 726474)
Semantics

I'm not sure I understand but I'm reasonably certain the field for this race would be the same if the purse was 400k.

SOREHOOF 11-22-2010 10:41 PM

He always runs hard. He's going to win one of these. He's always there. I'd be more worried about Friend or Foe.

RockHardTen1985 11-22-2010 11:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 726467)
What's your problem with him exactly? His talent level or his bridesmaid tendency?

He probably would have been competitive in the BC Dirt Mile given the pace setup. The cutback from 9-10f races should help.

Quality Road would have won the mile. W/ that pace setup Blame, Zenyatta, L@L and Fly Down would have all won it, right?
That argument sucks. Every single race this horse runs in, he is supposed to win. Why cant he just stink?

hockey2315 11-23-2010 12:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726531)
Quality Road would have won the mile. W/ that pace setup Blame, Zenyatta, L@L and Fly Down would have all won it, right?
That argument sucks. Every single race this horse runs in, he is supposed to win. Why cant he just stink?

No way, jose.

RockHardTen1985 11-23-2010 12:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 726532)
No way, jose.

Prolly not with the pace setup, but you get the point. Plus since the BC, several ppl around here not named Joey S or Jose have said that QR would have won it.

RolloTomasi 11-23-2010 01:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726531)
Every single race this horse runs in, he is supposed to win.

You're exaggerating. He's been favored in 3 out of 7 races this year, winning one of those. He's run well chasing the likes of Blame and Quality Road, neither of whom will start in this race.

OldDog 11-23-2010 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SOREHOOF (Post 726526)
He always runs hard. He's going to win one of these.

I hope so!

tjfla 11-23-2010 09:44 AM

He has a real good chance and the one I am betting to win. The field is suppose to be

Musket Man
Girolamo
Bribon
Arson Squad
Friend or Foe

Possible
Jersey Town
Regal Ransom
Vineyard Haven
Imperial Council
Our Dark Knight(Heard here or Clark)

I also highly doubt the field would be different if it was more cash.The bigger problem is the Clark is pretty much the same race on the same day. Its like every other bigger race,instead of tracks working together and get a monster field they try to compete with each other and we end up with 2 Ok 6 horse fields. Example would be PA and Super Derby this year

Someone mentioned something before that they should combine 2 or 3 races and offer all the purse from the 3 then the next year run it at the other place. That would be the best but it would never happen

johnny pinwheel 11-23-2010 10:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726531)
Quality Road would have won the mile. W/ that pace setup Blame, Zenyatta, L@L and Fly Down would have all won it, right?
That argument sucks. Every single race this horse runs in, he is supposed to win. Why cant he just stink?

he does not stink. hes just not as good as all the horses you just mentioned. if he runs a level lower, he could win ALOT. i think this horse has a great shot saturday. if he loses to these( at a flat mile)....i'll agree. the state bred even looks ok against this bunch. we can see the effects of the BC....this is pretty much the "has been" bunch that picks up checks where the best horses don't run.

the_fat_man 11-23-2010 12:03 PM

I think he stinks. He needs a perfect trip and a bad field (relatively) to win. Then again, any fatman would beat a field of nonagenarians around the block.

Musket Man's 'defining' race is the MET Mile: perfect setup, with Warrior's Reward providing him with a once-in-a-very-fortuitous-career setup, and he hangs like a rat.

And people want to give this horse the benefit of the doubt?

But he did 'PRESS' QR in the QR in the Whitney, didn't he? :rolleyes: So that has to count for something. (Which was the trip that got at least one of the INTELLIGENCIA on to QR in the Classic. ha ha ha)

blackthroatedwind 11-23-2010 12:17 PM

It's interesting to see how different people handle losing. Some work harder, look inside themselves, and try to figure out what they might be doing wrong, and use this to attempt to stem the tide.

And....some people crack up.

RockHardTen1985 11-23-2010 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 726577)
It's interesting to see how different people handle losing. Some work harder, look inside themselves, and try to figure out what they might be doing wrong, and use this to attempt to stem the tide.

And....some people crack up.

Musket Man is horrible. The fact that you touted him for weeks leading into the Classic really made me wonder. Watching the MSG/NYRA show w/ friends I said to myself, this is easily his worst pick that I can ever remember him making.

my miss storm cat 11-23-2010 02:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OldDog (Post 726555)
I hope so!

:tro:

my miss storm cat 11-23-2010 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 726575)
I think he stinks.

I've been a fan of this horse for some time now but I suddenly love him even more.

parsixfarms 11-23-2010 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726594)
Musket Man is horrible.

...and Warrior's Reward is somehow really good?

tjfla 11-23-2010 04:00 PM

DRF

Musket Man, assigned 117 pounds, is one of 10 horses expected for the Cigar Mile. Others expected to run include Girolamo (120 pounds), Haynesfield (120), Bribon (119), Vineyard Haven (119), Friend or Foe (115), Half Metal Jacket (115), Noble’s Promise (115), Jersey Town (114), and Soaring Empire (114).

Wonder where Arson Squad and Our Dark Knight are going then??

In same article, Ryan said Musket Man would definitely come back to run in 2011 as a 5-year-old and most likely be pointed to one-turn races such as the Carter and Met Mile.

NTamm1215 11-23-2010 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tjfla (Post 726613)
DRF

Musket Man, assigned 117 pounds, is one of 10 horses expected for the Cigar Mile. Others expected to run include Girolamo (120 pounds), Haynesfield (120), Bribon (119), Vineyard Haven (119), Friend or Foe (115), Half Metal Jacket (115), Noble’s Promise (115), Jersey Town (114), and Soaring Empire (114).

Wonder where Arson Squad and Our Dark Knight are going then??

In same article, Ryan said Musket Man would definitely come back to run in 2011 as a 5-year-old and most likely be pointed to one-turn races such as the Carter and Met Mile.

Haynesfield has worked once since the BC. Since 2002 Breeders' Cup horses are 1-13 in the Cigar Mile with Congaree's win in the 2003 edition being the lone victory and he was an absolute monster at Aqueduct.

None of those 13 horses went off more than 10-1.

RockHardTen1985 11-23-2010 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 726609)
...and Warrior's Reward is somehow really good?

Well he did beat Musket Man, in a race where he became a Grade 1 winner.

johnny pinwheel 11-24-2010 08:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 726575)
I think he stinks. He needs a perfect trip and a bad field (relatively) to win. Then again, any fatman would beat a field of nonagenarians around the block.

Musket Man's 'defining' race is the MET Mile: perfect setup, with Warrior's Reward providing him with a once-in-a-very-fortuitous-career setup, and he hangs like a rat.

And people want to give this horse the benefit of the doubt?

But he did 'PRESS' QR in the QR in the Whitney, didn't he? :rolleyes: So that has to count for something. (Which was the trip that got at least one of the INTELLIGENCIA on to QR in the Classic. ha ha ha)

you are right...."stinks" is relative . but its not like he loses the first at aqueduct against 7,500 claimers. he pretty much loses against the best around. if they were a little more realistic with ENTERING this horse i think he could beat this bunch he faces saturday REGULARLY. he probably would of had a good shot in that ridiculous mile a few weeks ago. but he ran where he had no shot whatsoever. of course, everything i'm saying is wrong if he gets trounced saturday. if this horse loses by anything more than length....he does suck!

parsixfarms 11-24-2010 08:40 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726639)
Well he did beat Musket Man, in a race where he became a Grade 1 winner.

By what, a nose? And then lost to Musket Man at Churchill and Belmont.

johnny pinwheel 11-24-2010 08:47 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 726594)
Musket Man is horrible. The fact that you touted him for weeks leading into the Classic really made me wonder. Watching the MSG/NYRA show w/ friends I said to myself, this is easily his worst pick that I can ever remember him making.

this tells me. you really don't know how to bet. musket man was ok relative to price....the worst bets were people picking looking at lucky and blind luck. when people pick overmatched horses at SHORT odds...thats the definition of a bad pick. you should really learn a thing or two before acting like an expert. but then again i love when folks like you bet.

NTamm1215 11-24-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 726774)
By what, a nose? And then lost to Musket Man at Churchill and Belmont.

Warrior's Reward finished well ahead of Musket Man at Churchill in the slop.

parsixfarms 11-24-2010 08:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 726777)
Warrior's Reward finished well ahead of Musket Man at Churchill in the slop.

My bad. For some reason, I thought Musket Man had finished second that day (instead of third, where he did finish).

NTamm1215 11-24-2010 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 726779)
My bad. For some reason, I thought Musket Man had finished second that day (instead of third, where he did finish).

Yeah, it was certainly not a remarkable race given it was the high point of Warrior's Reward's season post-Carter and Musket Man and Atta Boy Roy combined to go 1-7 the rest of the way.

Musket Man is not a superstar, but no one has ever made him out to be one. I think he has a decent shot in the Cigar Mile and would hope that if they say they're going to keep him to one turn races next year they actually stick to that plan.

parsixfarms 11-24-2010 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 726782)
Yeah, it was certainly not a remarkable race given it was the high point of Warrior's Reward's season post-Carter and Musket Man and Atta Boy Roy combined to go 1-7 the rest of the way.

Musket Man is not a superstar, but no one has ever made him out to be one. I think he has a decent shot in the Cigar Mile and would hope that if they say they're going to keep him to one turn races next year they actually stick to that plan.

I agree that Musket Man is not a superstar, but I've always respected him a lot. As a son of Yonaguska who came through Tampa and Hawthorne, I always thought his over-achieving Triple Crown efforts last year got lost in the Mine That Bird/ Rachel hoopla.

I also agree that it would be nice to see them stick to the one-turn plan next year. (Look what that did for Big Drama this year.) Not sure what to make of Saturday's race, as I'm leery of these post-Breeders' Cup entrants. The up-and-coming three year-olds, Friend or Foe and Noble's Promise, are interesting in this spot.

freddymo 11-24-2010 10:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 726786)
I agree that Musket Man is not a superstar, but I've always respected him a lot. As a son of Yonaguska who came through Tampa and Hawthorne, I always thought his over-achieving Triple Crown efforts last year got lost in the Mine That Bird/ Rachel hoopla.

I also agree that it would be nice to see them stick to the one-turn plan next year. (Look what that did for Big Drama this year.) Not sure what to make of Saturday's race, as I'm leery of these post-Breeders' Cup entrants. The up-and-coming three year-olds, Friend or Foe and Noble's Promise, are interesting in this spot.

Yonaguska is not a horrible stud, he can get you a real racehorse maybe not a ton of Graded winners but an earner

parsixfarms 11-24-2010 10:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 726789)
Yonaguska is not a horrible stud, he can get you a real racehorse maybe not a ton of Graded winners but an earner

Not awful, but it was certainly a surprise to see a son of his competing well in races at a classic distance.

RolloTomasi 11-24-2010 11:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 726791)
Not awful, but it was certainly a surprise to see a son of his competing well in races at a classic distance.

It's kind of interesting, because Yonaguska had a pedigree to be good at middle distances. As far as I remember, he only started twice in route races, getting third in the Champagne and running unplaced in the BC Juvenile. He retired after his 3yo season.

Certainly his sire, Cherokee Run, has been a good source of route horses. Seems like every year he has some sort of Derby prospect (eg Chelokee, Zanjero, War Pass, Kafwain, and now Industry Leader in CA). That's sort of surprising, too, because he made his mark as a sprinter.

But then you remember that he was a neck away from being a Preakness winner.

RockHardTen1985 11-24-2010 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by johnny pinwheel (Post 726776)
this tells me. you really don't know how to bet. musket man was ok relative to price....the worst bets were people picking looking at lucky and blind luck. when people pick overmatched horses at SHORT odds...thats the definition of a bad pick. you should really learn a thing or two before acting like an expert. but then again i love when folks like you bet.



LOL!!!!!!!!!!

Cannon Shell 11-24-2010 05:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 726789)
Yonaguska is not a horrible stud, he can get you a real racehorse maybe not a ton of Graded winners but an earner

He stands in LA for 4k. He aint AP Indy.

Cannon Shell 11-24-2010 05:06 PM

Musket Man has been handled in a curious fashion pretty much his entire career.

freddymo 11-24-2010 05:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 726914)
He stands in LA for 4k. He aint AP Indy.


Sent to TURKEY in 2010

Look up his progeny a tremendous percentage made it to the races and earned

Cannon Shell 11-24-2010 05:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by freddymo (Post 726920)
Sent to TURKEY in 2010

Look up his progeny a tremendous percentage made it to the races and earned

They didnt earn much

http://www.racingpost.com/bloodstock...orse_id=534976

freddymo 11-24-2010 06:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 726926)

http://www.pedigreequery.com

Type in Yon...and see his kids they all earned..this racing post is Kaka


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