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-   -   Zenyatta assigned 129 pounds for Vanity (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36512)

2Hot4TV 06-07-2010 06:06 PM

Zenyatta assigned 129 pounds for Vanity
 
Now the great race mare Zenyatta will carry 129 in a short field and do you think that if Smith gives St. Trinian's a 8 to 10 lenght lead at the 1/4 pole with a 10 pound weight differance,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can she catch her?

HHHHHuuuuuuuuuuuuummmmmmmmmmmmm, I would be pretty amazing if she does.

prudery 06-07-2010 06:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV (Post 655104)
Now the great race mare Zenyatta will carry 129 in a short field and do you think that if Smith gives St. Trinian's a 8 to 10 lenght lead at the 1/4 pole with a 10 pound weight differance,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,can she catch her?

HHHHHuuuuuuuuuuuuummmmmmmmmmmmm, I would be pretty amazing if she does.

9 pounds, and yes .

2Hot4TV 06-07-2010 07:01 PM

St.trinians can run and it looks like the race sets up for her to be the target at the quarter pole. She doesnt quit and has a good turn of foot.

I dont think she can catch her.

The Zanyatta camp is taking a risk running in this race.

Indian Charlie 06-07-2010 07:06 PM

I'd be amazed if she runs

hurricanefrank 06-07-2010 07:21 PM

8-5 that Team Zenyatta says no thanks to this spot.

prudery 06-07-2010 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV (Post 655116)
St.trinians can run and it looks like the race sets up for her to be the target at the quarter pole. She doesnt quit and has a good turn of foot.

I dont think she can catch her.

The Zanyatta camp is taking a risk running in this race.


Every race theoretically is a risk .

I have a healthy respect for the egg beater St. Trinians, however .

jimmy the T 06-07-2010 08:06 PM

135 lbs would give every one a better chance

randallscott35 06-07-2010 08:07 PM

Built in excuse....she'll run.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 08:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV (Post 655116)
St.trinians can run and it looks like the race sets up for her to be the target at the quarter pole. She doesnt quit and has a good turn of foot.

I dont think she can catch her.

The Zanyatta camp is taking a risk running in this race.

yeah we dont want that...

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 08:31 PM

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fO0h4oyb6WI

130lbs

beating Educated Risk, Dispute and You'd be Surprised

You'd be Surprised 120
Trainer:Mack Miller
Owner: Rokeby Stable
Winnings: 23 Starts: 10 - 8 - 1, $606,007

At 4: WON Top Flight H. (G1), John A. Morris H. (G1), Gallorette H. (G3), 2ND: Capital Holding Mile S.; 3RD Hempstead H. (G1)
At 5 - WON New York H.(G2), 2ND: John A. Morris H. (G1), Saratoga Breeders' Cup H., Hempstead H. (G1)

Educated Risk 114
Owner: Ogden Mills Phipps
Trainer: Shug Mcgaughey
Winnings: 23 Starts: 11 - 6 - 4, $1,613,717

At 2: Won Frizette S.(G1), 2nd Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies S.(G1), Matron S.(G1)
At 3: 2nd Acorn S.(G1), 3rd Test S.(G1), Prioress S.(G2)
At 4: Won Top Flight H.(G1), Churchill Downs Breeders' Cup (G2), Virginia H.(G3), 2nd Beldame S.(G1), Rampart H.(G2), 3rd Ruffian H.(G1)
At 5: Won Rampart H.(G2), Shirley Jones H.(G3).

Dispute 117
Owner: Ogden Mills Phipps
Trainer: Shug McGaughey
Winnings: 19 Starts: 9 - 4 - 4, $1,106,906

1st: Kentucky Oaks (G1,CD,9F), Beldame (G1,Bel,9F), Gazelle (G1,Bel,9F), Spinster (G1,Kee,9F), Bonnie Miss (G2,8.5F,GP)
2nd: Astarita S., Ruffian H. (2x), Mother Goose S.
3rd: Nijana S., Bed o'Roses H., John A. Morris H.
4th: Breeders' Cup Distaff

Link River 110
Owner: Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al Maktoum
Trainer: Bill Mott
Winnings: 14 Starts: 6 - 2 - 0, $273,243

At 4: Won John A. Morris H. (G1); 2nd Go For Wand S. (G1)

2Hot4TV 06-07-2010 08:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 655147)
yeah we dont want that...

Just my point. They have been so selective to the spots and now that they clearly are going to hope that they go undefeated to the Breeders Cup and try to win the Classic, beating the boys 2 years in a row to cement her greatness forever.( In time we will die and on paper it will look to impressive to question.)

Merlinsky 06-07-2010 08:44 PM

I hope Sky Beauty makes it in the Hall next year. Someone's gonna have to pitch me why Smarty Jones should, esp. if they wanna argue it before her. She showed everybody how it's done there.

RolloTomasi 06-07-2010 08:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Merlinsky (Post 655163)
I hope Sky Beauty makes it in the Hall next year. Someone's gonna have to pitch me why Smarty Jones should, esp. if they wanna argue it before her. She showed everybody how it's done there.

Those trips across the Alleghenies ruined her reputation.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 08:52 PM

The hall of fame is really going to become a joke. Horses are going to be elected on reputation rather than accomplishment. There are already too many jockeys in there. Seriously every rider that was in the top 5 for 10 years or more in NY or CA the last 30 years is in. What kind of club is it if everyone gets in? There was some deserved hand wringing about Point given being elected. But that is just the tip of the iceberg. Personally I dont think Best Pal should have been put in. He just was never that good. I obviously didnt see a whole lot of the horses from the 60's and before but there isnt one horse that I saw that I wouldnt have taken over Best Pal. Of course now his accomplishment look better when you compare them to the current older horses which each year seem to be a little more disgraceful. It is Like Jaime Moyer being elected to the baseball HoF. Point Given is like Albert Belle.

randallscott35 06-07-2010 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 655166)
The hall of fame is really going to become a joke. Horses are going to be elected on reputation rather than accomplishment. There are already too many jockeys in there. Seriously every rider that was in the top 5 for 10 years or more in NY or CA the last 30 years is in. What kind of club is it if everyone gets in? There was some deserved hand wringing about Point given being elected. But that is just the tip of the iceberg. Personally I dont think Best Pal should have been put in. He just was never that good. I obviously didnt see a whole lot of the horses from the 60's and before but there isnt one horse that I saw that I wouldnt have taken over Best Pal. Of course now his accomplishment look better when you compare them to the current older horses which each year seem to be a little more disgraceful. It is Like Jaime Moyer being elected to the baseball HoF. Point Given is like Albert Belle.

Don't insult Belle.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 08:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 655168)
Don't insult Belle.

Joey belle

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 09:04 PM

If Best Pal and Point Given are in the hall of fame then Bet Twice and Lost Code should be in as well.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 09:17 PM

Why not Java Gold? Forty Niner? Chiefs Crown? Spend a Buck? Ferdinand?

Would anyone have taken Best Pal in a race against any of these non-hall of fame horses?

If you are going to elect Smarty jones and company you better go back and reevaluate these horses

RolloTomasi 06-07-2010 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 655178)
Why not Java Gold? Forty Niner? Chiefs Crown? Spend a Buck? Ferdinand?

Would anyone have taken Best Pal in a race against any of these non-hall of fame horses?

If you are going to elect Smarty jones and company you better go back and reevaluate these horses

I think to some degree you're knocking Best Pal for continuing to run way beyond his prime.

On paper, he was one of the most accomplished 2yos of recent memory and he was definitely in a zone as a 4yo in an abbreviated season.

That said, I don't think he should be in the HOF if some of the others you mentioned aren't.

alysheba4 06-07-2010 09:24 PM

have to say no.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 09:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 655183)
I think to some degree you're knocking Best Pal for continuing to run way beyond his prime.

On paper, he was one of the most accomplished 2yos of recent memory and he was definitely in a zone as a 4yo in an abbreviated season.

That said, I don't think he should be in the HOF if some of the others you mentioned aren't.

No I am knocking him because he just wasnt that good. He was durable and consistent but hardly great. he never won a single eclipe award despite racing during a down period. Perhaps you could have made a case that he could have been voted 2 year old champion but even back then the BC trumped most of the rest of the 2 yo races.

Eclipse winners years that he ran
2 yo -Fly So free
3 yo -Hansel
Older male (4) -Pleasant Tap
Older male (5) - Bertrando
Older male (6) - The Wicked North
Older male (7) - Cigar

Cigar notwithstanding, he never had a good enough single season to win a national award, losing to some of the worst winners since the awards were instituted in 1971. He was elected because of his longevity, not in spite of it.

The other problem that we have is that the voters are generally clueless as a group, with few having much of a grasp of the sports history prior to Cigar.

Revidere 06-07-2010 10:00 PM

QUOTE=Cannon Shell;655154]http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fO0h4oyb6WI

130lbs

beating Educated Risk, Dispute and You'd be Surprised

You'd be Surprised 120
Trainer:Mack Miller
Owner: Rokeby Stable
Winnings: 23 Starts: 10 - 8 - 1, $606,007

At 4: WON Top Flight H. (G1), John A. Morris H. (G1), Gallorette H. (G3), 2ND: Capital Holding Mile S.; 3RD Hempstead H. (G1)
At 5 - WON New York H.(G2), 2ND: John A. Morris H. (G1), Saratoga Breeders' Cup H., Hempstead H. (G1)

Educated Risk 114
Owner: Ogden Mills Phipps
Trainer: Shug Mcgaughey
Winnings: 23 Starts: 11 - 6 - 4, $1,613,717

At 2: Won Frizette S.(G1), 2nd Breeders' Cup Juvenile Fillies S.(G1), Matron S.(G1)
At 3: 2nd Acorn S.(G1), 3rd Test S.(G1), Prioress S.(G2)
At 4: Won Top Flight H.(G1), Churchill Downs Breeders' Cup (G2), Virginia H.(G3), 2nd Beldame S.(G1), Rampart H.(G2), 3rd Ruffian H.(G1)
At 5: Won Rampart H.(G2), Shirley Jones H.(G3).

Dispute 117
Owner: Ogden Mills Phipps
Trainer: Shug McGaughey
Winnings: 19 Starts: 9 - 4 - 4, $1,106,906

1st: Kentucky Oaks (G1,CD,9F), Beldame (G1,Bel,9F), Gazelle (G1,Bel,9F), Spinster (G1,Kee,9F), Bonnie Miss (G2,8.5F,GP)
2nd: Astarita S., Ruffian H. (2x), Mother Goose S.
3rd: Nijana S., Bed o'Roses H., John A. Morris H.
4th: Breeders' Cup Distaff

Link River 110
Owner: Sheikh Mohammed bin Rashid al Maktoum
Trainer: Bill Mott
Winnings: 14 Starts: 6 - 2 - 0, $273,243

At 4: Won John A. Morris H. (G1); 2nd Go For Wand S. (G1)[/quote]







dagolfer33 06-07-2010 10:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 655170)
Joey belle

"Joey" wasn't even close to being the worst thing they were calling him at Miss. St. when he went up in the stands after some people.

Cannon Shell 06-07-2010 10:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dagolfer33 (Post 655213)
"Joey" wasn't even close to being the worst thing they were calling him at Miss. St. when he went up in the stands after some people.

He was a gem

KirisClown 06-07-2010 11:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 655154)
130lbs

beating Educated Risk, Dispute and You'd be Surprised

Defeating those horses while carrying 130lbs was a real achievement.. I've always thought of it as the top moment in her career.. It's a shame the BC wasnt at Belmont in 94.. it would have been a heck of a race between her and Heavenly Prize..

CSC 06-08-2010 08:18 AM

9 lbs to St. Trinians...I have a healthy respect for whomever Mitchell is throwing out there at the moment. As much as the Rachelites will try to make of it, if St. Trinians runs her A race, this is a bigger test than what Rachel has faced this year. 2010

Coach Pants 06-08-2010 08:21 AM

Spinning already. :tro:

CSC 06-08-2010 08:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants (Post 655335)
Spinning already. :tro:

I know ST is not Zardana, but she is right there at the top of the division isn't she? No worries Zenyatta will be fine.

Coach Pants 06-08-2010 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 655337)
Well she is right there at the top of the division isn't she? No worries Zenyatta will be fine.

The Special Olympics Division? Don't be scared. I know it's possible to take after the connections but man up, dude.

Sightseek 06-08-2010 08:36 AM

Over/under on the number of Zenyatta bobbleheads Smooth Operator comes home with?

Port Conway Lane 06-08-2010 08:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 655333)
9 lbs to St. Trinians...I have a healthy respect for whomever Mitchell is throwing out there at the moment. As much as the Rachelites will try to make of it, if St. Trinians runs her A race, this is a bigger test than what Rachel has faced this year. 2010

Close call but I couldn't be so sure. Unrivaled Belle is an improving filly and never got the credit she deserved in defeating RA.

NTamm1215 06-08-2010 09:05 AM

So St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle because the former beat Life Is Sweet?

It's one thing to say that Zenyatta winning this race with all that weight would be a huge accomplishment, it's quite another to say that St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle.

I'm still waiting for someone to tell me why Zenyatta is only giving St. Trinians 9 lbs and why she's carrying the exact same thing she was last year in this race.

NT

CSC 06-08-2010 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 655350)
Close call but I couldn't be so sure. Unrivaled Belle is an improving filly and never got the credit she deserved in defeating RA.

Looking back UB came fresh off a gr.3 win at GP into the La Troienne, she was a distant 3rd choice in that race to Zardana and Rachel. It's an easy thing to say now she is good...but at the time not many took her seriously to win that race.

ST was a Gr.2 winner that was riding an unbeaten streak on AW in NA prior to the Big Cap. Infact if one looks at her Euro record on AW, it was no wonder why she was bet like iron in the Big Cap.

I differ, in my opinion, ST is the superior challenge of the 2 at this stage. Let's see how UB handles her new found fame, when she races against tougher as the season goes on. In addition, a vital point is Zenyatta is conceding 9 lbs to a gr.2 winner, something Rachel to this point hasn't done.

CSC 06-08-2010 09:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 655351)
So St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle because the former beat Life Is Sweet?

It's one thing to say that Zenyatta winning this race with all that weight would be a huge accomplishment, it's quite another to say that St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle.

I'm still waiting for someone to tell me why Zenyatta is only giving St. Trinians 9 lbs and why she's carrying the exact same thing she was last year in this race.

NT

What is it about St. Trinians that is so awful in your opinion? When the Apple Blossom was announced earlier this year, some were even saying she was the 3rd most interesting filly if she would have ran in that race. Unrivaled Belle has won one race, the same reaction occured when Zardana beat Rachel. Let's keep that in mind, she may turn out to be a pretty special filly, but at the moment let's reign back the superlatives. St. Trinians has atleast ran some big races in So Cal before her lacklustre Big Cap, I think anyone can observe she is not a filly that is chopped liver caliber coming into The Vanity, even the anti-Zenyatta advocates should recognize this.

RolloTomasi 06-08-2010 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 655356)
What is it about St. Trinians that is so awful in your opinion? When the Apple Blossom was announced earlier this year, some were even saying she was the 3rd most interesting filly if she would have ran in that race. Unrivaled Belle has won one race, the same reaction occured when Zardana beat Rachel. Let's keep that in mind, she may turn out to be a pretty special filly, but at the moment let's reign back the superlatives. St. Trinians has atleast ran some big races in So Cal before her lacklustre Big Cap, I think anyone can observe she is not a filly that is chopped liver caliber coming into The Vanity, even the anti-Zenyatta advocates should recognize this.

On paper, a case can be made that St. Trinians is the better (when taken into account that she runs on AW and the Vanity is run on AW), after all, Zardana was nearly 5 lengths behind her in the Santa Maria prior to upsetting Rachel Alexandra (though here you would need to ignore surface issues).

Nonetheless, there is no longer any guarantee that St. Trinians is still in that peak form she was in late last year and early this year. Its been 3 months since the Big Cap debacle (she should have been in the Santa Margarita--not the Apple Blossom) and who's to say she's the same horse after getting pummeled?

NTamm1215 06-08-2010 10:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 655356)
What is it about St. Trinians that is so awful in your opinion? When the Apple Blossom was announced earlier this year, some were even saying she was the 3rd most interesting filly if she would have ran in that race. Unrivaled Belle has won one race, the same reaction occured when Zardana beat Rachel. Let's keep that in mind, she may turn out to be a pretty special filly, but at the moment let's reign back the superlatives. St. Trinians has atleast ran some big races in So Cal before her lacklustre Big Cap, I think anyone can observe she is not a filly that is chopped liver caliber coming into The Vanity, even the anti-Zenyatta advocates should recognize this.

Go look at Unrivaled Belle's PPs. Then you'll have your facts straight. Click here: http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbH...0100612-494159

She won the Rampart on Fla Derby day before winning the La Troienne and came into the latter with a record of 5: 4-0-1 on conventional dirt with the only blemish being a 2nd place finish in the Gazelle. I know you're desperate to pound away at any horse who beat Rachel, but Unrivaled Belle was as accomplished coming into the La Troienne, if not more, than St. Trinians is coming into the Vanity.

Where did I say anything about St. Trinians being terrible? All I said was that a horse of Zenyatta's caliber should give ST at least 15 lbs in my opinion. You're talking about a Grade II and listed stakes winner and a 16x winner, BC Classic winner, 2x GI winner in 2010, and CSC Horse of the Year here. Come on, 9 lbs?

NT

Merlinsky 06-08-2010 10:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 655351)
I'm still waiting for someone to tell me why Zenyatta is only giving St. Trinians 9 lbs and why she's carrying the exact same thing she was last year in this race.

NT

Because they were afraid hitting the magical number of 130 or higher would cause Zenyatta's connections to tell them to go jump. They want her in the race, ergo she gets 129. They couldn't be absolutely ridiculous and give her less than before--she's won the BCC since. They also might've been concerned that they'd have to give ST and the others even less unless they had Z up high enough. A little balancing act.

10 pnt move up 06-08-2010 10:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 655351)
So St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle because the former beat Life Is Sweet?

It's one thing to say that Zenyatta winning this race with all that weight would be a huge accomplishment, it's quite another to say that St. Trinians is better than Unrivaled Belle.

I'm still waiting for someone to tell me why Zenyatta is only giving St. Trinians 9 lbs and why she's carrying the exact same thing she was last year in this race.

NT

This is rhetorical right, the reason?

CSC 06-08-2010 10:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RolloTomasi (Post 655359)
Nonetheless, there is no longer any guarantee that St. Trinians is still in that peak form she was in late last year and early this year. Its been 3 months since the Big Cap debacle (she should have been in the Santa Margarita--not the Apple Blossom) and who's to say she's the same horse after getting pummeled?

With the rate Mitchell is sending out winners, I would form an educated guess she will run back to form. On cushion, I would rate her second to only Zenyatta at the moment in the distaff division. As stated I have a healthy respect for her, I'm not sure what her odds will be, but even if you a fan of Zenyatta, if the spread is enough with the projected small field, any objective bettor would atleast have to entertain the thought she can possibly pull off the upset. Though as is always the case in her career Zenyatta may have a thing to say about that.

NTamm1215 06-08-2010 10:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 655368)
This is rhetorical right, the reason?

Are you speaking in some kind of code? I don't know what you're talking about.

NT


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