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randallscott35 04-20-2010 10:36 AM

Devil May Care a Derby possibility
 
Big doings.

Filly in Derby "a possibility," Pletcher says

By Jay Privman

The filly Devil May Care, considered one of the leading contenders for the Kentucky Oaks on April 30, could be entered instead in the Kentucky Derby on May 1, a scenario her trainer, Todd Pletcher, termed "a possibility" on Tuesday morning.

"We're leaning toward the Oaks, but the Derby is a possibility," Pletcher said from New York, where he stopped for a day en route from Florida to Kentucky. "Everything will be determined after she works this weekend. It costs $2,500 to enter the Oaks. It costs $25,000 to enter the Derby, so you've got to be pretty serious about running in the Derby to spend that money."

Pletcher said the decision on which race or races to enter would have to be made by John Greathouse, whose Glencrest Farm owns Devil May Care.

"Everything is up in the air until she works," said Pletcher, who said Devil May Care had been training sensationally since her victory in the Bonnie Miss Stakes last month at Gulfstream Park. Pletcher said that if Devil May Care ran in the Oaks, he would still strongly consider running her in the final leg of the Triple Crown, the Belmont Stakes, five weeks later on June 5. Pletcher won both races in 2007 with Rags to Riches.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 10:38 AM

Unless it is strictly an owners decision, if Pletch thought Esken was a cinch, why enter the filly in the race who would be 2nd choice in the Oaks. Hmm

randallscott35 04-20-2010 10:49 AM

Hurting the chances of even more horses on the bubble especially if one of the two DTrial gang get in after this weekend. Horse 20, be nervous, be very nervous.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 10:58 AM

I don't know how the earnings stand, but I imagine if Eightyfiveandafifty was 20th without some entering, you could possibly see a horse with earnings being entered, only to scratch, with an interest in keeping that horse out of the race.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 10:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637539)
I don't know how the earnings stand, but I imagine if Eightyfiveandafifty was 20th without some entering, you could possibly see a horse with earnings being entered, only to scratch, with an interest in keeping that horse out of the race.

Danthebluegrassman Part 2. Shi-tty karma for those who do this.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 11:02 AM

Then the Derby should allow AEs.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 11:03 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637541)
Then the Derby should allow AEs.

Probably should.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 11:04 AM

I believe they've started 24 before in the race. At, 20, why not go to 24. Like watching RollerDerby

parsixfarms 04-20-2010 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637540)
Danthebluegrassman Part 2. Shi-tty karma for those who do this.

How so? Didn't Baffert win that Derby with War Emblem?

randallscott35 04-20-2010 11:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 637544)
How so? Didn't Baffert win that Derby with War Emblem?

How so? The public discussion of entering and scratching a horse to keep another one out.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 11:07 AM

I would imagine that Eightyfiveinafifty will be the big unspoken story Derby week should he have earnings and then be entered in the Derby. You can be pretty sure more than a few people will be wondering if there is a way to keep him out of the race....and this is potentially one of them.

I'm not saying it's fair, or that I would necessarily agree, but it is a very possible scenerio.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 11:08 AM

22 in 1974 when Cannonade won.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 11:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637548)
22 in 1974 when Cannonade won.

They do 24 in Europe all the time. With Belmonts sweeping turns they could probably do 30.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 11:11 AM

You apparently haven't actually seen the European courses.

parsixfarms 04-20-2010 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637546)
How so? The public discussion of entering and scratching a horse to keep another one out.

Where was the bad karma was my question? Baffert won the Derby from which Danthebluegrassman was scratched with War Emblem. You think he cares that he upset Barry Irwin?

parsixfarms 04-20-2010 11:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637547)
I would imagine that Eightyfiveinafifty will be the big unspoken story Derby week should he have earnings and then be entered in the Derby. You can be pretty sure more than a few people will be wondering if there is a way to keep him out of the race....and this is potentially one of them.

I'm not saying it's fair, or that I would necessarily agree, but it is a very possible scenerio.


Even if he won the Derby Trial, Eightyfiveinafifty would only have enough earnings if either Noble's Promise or Interactif dropped out. Pletcher could probably accomplish the same goal by entering Interactif and scratching.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 11:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 637551)
Where was the bad karma was my question? Baffert won the Derby from which Danthebluegrassman was scratched with War Emblem. You think he cares that he upset Barry Irwin?

Fair point. Longterm Karma damage.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 11:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms (Post 637553)
Even if he won the Derby Trial, Eightyfiveinafifty would only have enough earnings if either Noble's Promise or Interactif dropped out. Pletcher could probably accomplish the same goal by entering Interactif and scratching.

Or Aikenite if he runs second Saturday.

However, those connections already said they weren't going. Devil May Care never completely ruled it out.

I bet she does if Eightyfiveinafifty doesn't win Saturday.

Todd's a very smart guy.

tector 04-20-2010 12:00 PM

I am pretty sure this thread has more expressed interest in trying to keep 85ina50 out of the Derby than the genuine interest in such for all of the connections of the other 20 horses combined.

What is one more no-chance speedball in this field, except another good candidate for the "finish last" prop bet?

The horse some people may have worried about is Setsuko, but he ain't making it, not in the current insane atmosphere.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 637567)
I am pretty sure this thread has more expressed interest in trying to keep 85ina50 out of the Derby than the genuine interest in such for all of the connections of the other 20 horses combined.

What is one more no-chance speedball in this field, except another good candidate for the "finish last" prop bet?

The horse some people may have worried about is Setsuko, but he ain't making it, not in the current insane atmosphere.

A shame setsuko won 't get in as I thought he was live.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 12:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 637567)
I am pretty sure this thread has more expressed interest in trying to keep 85ina50 out of the Derby than the genuine interest in such for all of the connections of the other 20 horses combined.

What is one more no-chance speedball in this field, except another good candidate for the "finish last" prop bet?

The horse some people may have worried about is Setsuko, but he ain't making it, not in the current insane atmosphere.

You would be incorrect.

NTamm1215 04-20-2010 12:05 PM

That psychopath at a track with 150k people screaming and yelling in a 20 horse field where you run in front of the grandstand for the opening quarter is enough to make a trainer with the coolest nerves a tad uneasy.

NT

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 637570)
That psychopath at a track with 150k people screaming and yelling in a 20 horse field where you run in front of the grandstand for the opening quarter is enough to make a trainer with the coolest nerves a tad uneasy.

NT

You are all assuming 85/50 is winning on Saturday. I think thats a longshot.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637571)
You are all assuming 85/50 is winning on Saturday. I think thats a longshot.

Nobody is assuming that whatsoever. In fact, the opposite was made clear.

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637571)
You are all assuming 85/50 is winning on Saturday. I think thats a longshot.

But, we do know that the favorite winning is not a " longshot " whether we like the horse or not.

tector 04-20-2010 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 637570)
That psychopath at a track with 150k people screaming and yelling in a 20 horse field where you run in front of the grandstand for the opening quarter is enough to make a trainer with the coolest nerves a tad uneasy.

NT

OK, YOU may be on to something. But the collective fear of this horse stealing the Derby is somewhere around 0.0.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637573)
But, we do know that the favorite winning is not a " longshot " whether we like the horse or not.

I don't think this horse wants a mile. Therefore I wouldn't worry about him even making the field at this point. I think todd thinks this filly has a shot which is why she is being considered, not to cock block someone else.

slotdirt 04-20-2010 12:11 PM

Devil May Care entering would keep Homeboykris out of the race, so there's at least that.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 637577)
Devil May Care entering would keep Homeboykris out of the race, so there's at least that.

Now that would be funny.

tector 04-20-2010 12:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637568)
A shame setsuko won 't get in as I thought he was live.

On what looks like the projected pace scenario, hell yes.

slotdirt 04-20-2010 12:13 PM

Eh, if you were thinking of betting Setsuko, spend your money on Ice Box. Same idea.

tector 04-20-2010 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637578)
Now that would be funny.

If he was the horse kept out by the move, then I'd be fine with it "karmically" or whatever--although it is most certainly not the best move for this filly.

People have lost their minds this year.

tector 04-20-2010 12:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 637580)
Eh, if you were thinking of betting Setsuko, spend your money on Ice Box. Same idea.

You get better prices on both if they are both in the race. And I prefer one over the other.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 637582)
You get better prices on both if they are both in the race. And I prefer one over the other.

Low to mid 20's likely on Ice Box

blackthroatedwind 04-20-2010 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tector (Post 637575)
OK, YOU may be on to something. But the collective fear of this horse stealing the Derby is somewhere around 0.0.

I can only infer this to mean that YOU seem to think I consider Eightyfiveinafifty a threat in the KY Derby.

You be also be incorrect about that.

jms62 04-20-2010 12:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637584)
I can only infer this to mean that YOU seem to think I consider Eightyfiveinafifty a threat in the KY Derby.

You be also be incorrect about that.

A threat to jump into the stands maybe and really get the derby into the headlines.

asudevil 04-20-2010 12:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637583)
Low to mid 20's likely on Ice Box

10-15...IMO

slotdirt 04-20-2010 12:45 PM

If Ice Box is 10-1, based on previous Derbies, he'll be like fourth or fifth favorite. I just can't see it. I think 20-1 sounds more realistic.

randallscott35 04-20-2010 12:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by asudevil (Post 637587)
10-15...IMO

Offshore available around 25-1 or higher.

Merlinsky 04-20-2010 06:10 PM

If John Velazquez's on Eskendereya, who would get the mount? I'm trying to think of who else Pletcher uses that isn't already on a horse.


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