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Gomez Clinches 4th Money Title In a Row
Congrats to jockey Garret Gomez for being the leading rider in the nation for the 4th year in a row.
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Doesnt matter, Leparoux is front runner to win the eclipse anyways.
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Gomez is $194 dollars behind and he just picked up the #6 cenizo in the 8Th race if he just stays on the horse he will win the Title...
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HRTV
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With his victory in the 8th race, it is now official.
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I'm surprised no one has touched on this topic....
but was it ethical for Pedroza to be "sick" so that Gomez could take over his horse and win the money title? |
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No of course not, but Pedroza made more not riding the race. |
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Ramon Dominguez was only 200k behind in third. I guess all those claiming and ALW purse money really do add up.
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NT |
Ramon had 700 more mounts than Gomez, pretty sad if you can't take advantage of that, but than again if your the East Coast Russell Baze those low end claiming races on 4/5 favorites don't pay particularly well, as it is Julien had over 300 more mounts so it's not like he didn't have a more than fair chance as well, plus they tried to move someone off a mount in the Stake at Calder and couldn't do it, guess he's not as popular as Garrett who had far more offers than just Pedroza, I know if my pal was that close I would have done the same for him, I just don't see how the bettors suffer, it's no different than when a rider goes down and a replacement rider is named at the last minute, especially in light of the fact most here think jocks are incidental anyway. Mike Smith admitted this type of thing has ALWAYS gone on and he personally gave up mounts to Angel Cordero to win Saratoga riding titles, one time 10 mounts in 2 days, and Pat Day would ride at small tracks at night replacing jocks to win the earnings title, Julien would have done it as well and I frankly see no big deal in it.
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A) Condone Pedroza giving Gomez a mount on the favorite B) Insult Dominguez C) Make up something about Leparoux trying to get a mount in a stake on a day where CrC ran an 8 race program with no stakes races D) All of the above Which one is it? NT |
To underline it's much to do about nothing, or any of the above.
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It is certainly not the same thing as a rider going down. That is an expected part of the game. What is not expected is taking an average rider off and putting a top rider on to reach a record few if any care about. As usual, the pecking order for concern ranks bettors about 18th behind pretty much everybody else. |
But the horse was a short priced favorite no matter which jock rode, it wasn't like the top jock was thrown on a bomb and brought it in, the horse was meant no matter who rode him, you think Pedroza wouldn't have won as well?
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The horse was 4 to 5 with Gomez, and probably 7 or 8 to 5 with Pedroza. It is certainly possible that Pedroza could have cost the horse a length, the margin of victory. Again, the information wasn't available when people made bets, so it shouldn't be changed unless absolutely necessary. Pedroza basically lied to the stewards and is being given a free pass. That is a terrible precedent to set. |
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I also don't buy the argument that multirace bettors have calculated things down to a specific number of lengths that a rider will cost a horse. Gomez sometimes costs a horse a length. You never know how its going to play out. You're implying that somebody figured the horse could win but kept it off their ticket because they felt Pedroza would not get the job done by costing the horse a length? please. there are many things to worry about in racing that effect bettors. this isn't one of them. |
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As for you other assertions, you are wrong. There are people that do exactly what you say shouldn't be worried about. They obviously are using computers and jockey ability is a part of the equation. I also suspect they are much better gamblers than you. |
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The best part of Ron Anderson's radio interview with Roger was when you could hear the toilet flush on Anderson's end of the phone call. Roger was amused and Ron started to studder abit. You can hear the show replay at http://www.rogerstein.com/
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of course people use jockey ability as part of the equation, but its only one small part of the equation. what you are alleging, is that there are some very sophisticated and "smart" gamblers who make pass or play decisions whether or not to use a horse on a multirace ticket based solely on the rider. ie: Gomez up, the horse is a play. Pedroza up on same horse in same race, its a pass, off the ticket. I would think that if the calculated difference in riding ability between Gomez and Pedroza alone was enough to make one horse have a higher rating than the other, that the smart player might include both horses or pass the bet entirely if it made the ticket to costly. The average difference in outcome that Gomez can be expected to have over an experienced journeyman like Pedroza on a particular horse in a particular race is not very large. In this case there certainly was much more uncertainty due to the many firsters and inexperienced runners. I don't think any programs exist that can accurately get a fix on those factors. In short, I don't believe anyone, smart player or not, passed on that horse against that field due to Pedroza having the mount. No doubt you're right, there are better gamblers out there than myself. Did you feel that by stating that it somehow makes your argument stronger? For the record, I suspect that you also don't stack up that well against the best gamblers. |
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In the race in question, the horse was an obvious play. It was the morning line favorite even with Pedroza. It didn't take the best jockey in the land to make it look like a strong play. |
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The rider is just one part, as you said. But the difference between Gomez and Pedroza is a piece of significant information that could easily put a bet in or out of whatever value threshold a good bettor is looking for. We can argue about how important this particular info was, but I don't think there can be any argument about whether the info was relevant. I completely agree with cmorioles on this. --Dunbar |
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