6/13: BEL (P4); CD (Stakes); MTH; PHA; DEL
 

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: CLM/N1Y, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Call Tiger 4-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Bullara 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 King Rush 20-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 (AE) The Zipster 10-1 WON


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Classic Impact 12-1 7th
Most Likely: #8 Suite Ernie B 3-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Tenacious Greg 7-2 WON
Super Add: #4 Dos Hombres 10-1 5th


9th: ALW/N2L, 3+, 8.5f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Top It 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Gridiron 12-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Nowhere to Hide 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Long Jump 8-1 5th


10th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (Super)

Most Likely: #1A (POE) Tall Poppi 8-5 WON
Best Value: #2e Duggan entry 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Theartofcompromise 6-1 5th
Super Add: #6 Triste Doble Q 20-1 8th

<$75 P4 Play:

7: 6-7
8: 3-4-5-8
9: 3-7
10: 1-2-6-7

2x4x2x4 = $64



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: Jefferson Cup (Gr. II), 3yo, 9f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 El Crespo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Jake Will Gallop 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 No Inflation 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #4 Florentino 3-1 WON


8th: Northern Dancer (Gr. III), 3yo, 8.5f (.50 P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Warrior's Reward 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Successful Dan 7-2 WON
Best Value: #8 Gresham 10-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Omniscent 9-2 3rd


9th: Fleur De Lis (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Miss Isella 2-1 WON
Best Value: #2 Distinctive Dixie 10-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Santa Teresita 3-1 4th
Super Add: #8 Swift Temper 8-1 2nd


10th: Stephen Foster H. (Gr. I), 3+, 9f (DD, Super)

Best Value: #2 Macho Again 10-1 WON
Most Likely: #3 Einstein 2-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Researcher 4-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Arson Squad 4-1 5th


11th: Regret (Gr. II), 3yo-F, 9f-T (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #7 Hot Cha Cha 8-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #3 Rena 8-1 8th
Exotics Use: #5 Banker's Choice 9-2 5th
High 5 Play: #2 The Best Day Ever 8-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

8: 2-3
9: 2-3-4-8
10: 2-3-4
11: 2-3-[4/SCR]-5-6-7

2x4x3x6 = 144 x .50 = $72



CALDER RACE COURSE

4th: MSW, 2yo, 4.5f -- SPOT PLAY

#11-AE SCRATCHED THANK U PHILLIPPE (6-1): Wolfson trainee working sharp for debut; May be special and wins if drawing in..



MONMOUTH PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


9th: 2nd Monmouth, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Strike a Deal 4-1 7th
Best Value: #2 Banrock 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Proudinsky 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #4 Grand Couturier 7-2 5th



PHILADELPHIA PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: 3rd Jostle, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Saarlight 3-1 8th
Best Value: #8 Northern Belle 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Missunitednations 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Bold Union 6-1 6th



DELAWARE PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


9th: Rooney Memorial, F&M-3+, 9f-OFF THE TURF (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #2 SCR
Best Value: #5 SCR
Next Best: #10 SCR
Super Add: #1 SCR


Good luck!
Steve

I think Can't Refuse is the 4 not the 3.

Also races 7 & 10 are OFF THE TURF.

BELMONT PARK TRACK & TURF CONDITIONS FOR SATURDAY, 6/13/2009 TRACK CONDITIONS Weather: Partly Sunny Track: Fast Turf: Soft Races off the Turf: 7,10 For the most up to date Track conditions please view the Scratches/Changes page on NYRA.com

Good Luck Today.

Let me know if you would like to use any of my photos in the calendar you're putting together for 2009. I got some good shots last Saturday of Munnings, Fabulous Strike, Gabby's Golden Gal & Summer Bird also have some fo Captain Candyman Can from the Bayshore.

HH

9th: 2nd Monmouth, 3+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Strike a Deal 4-1
Best Value: #2 Banrock 8-1
Next Best: #1 Proudinsky 3-1
Super Add: #4 Grand Couturier 7-2

Steve - No Precious Passion? I think he's going to take them all the way at a nice price. The guy loves Monmouth and I think GC and Proudinsky are going to get way overbet

Foster
 

$20 Ex 2-3
$10 Ex 2-6

$5 2-5,6,7,-3

I like the 2 for value as well. Desormeaux's only mount of the day. Thinking about taking a shot with a 4x3x2x1x3 $0.50 P5.

I'm unconvinced on Passion today.. May be using this as a tightener for the U.N., and won't be that much better of a price than the logical/obvious 1 and 4. And Precious Passion is going to get pressure on the front end too..

I don't get leaving the 5th on the turf but taking two off in the Pick 4 sequence on a day where the courses will dry as it wears on. The guarantee shouldn't be a problem but I just don't understand the cherry-picking of which ones are off.

NT

As Nick indicates, 7th and 10th OFF THE TURF at Belmont...

An educated guess is that it's a function of which fields they think will be the least decimated by scratches. Both the 7th and 10th have several "dirt" horses in the respective fields, either in the body of the race or as MTOs and, as a result, are still likely to end up with fields of 8 to 10 horses. The other races would likely draw fewer horses if they took them off the turf.

Does it matter? NYRA turf SUCKS today compared to CD, MTH, and DEL, etc. It's a ****in Saturday, is this the best they can do? I can get claiming race just about anywhere.
And, this taking races off **** is just old news. Sooner or later NYRA will realize that they're not the only game in town anymore and many, like me, have moved on to other tracks. They taken what used to be arguably the best turf meet of the year (rivaling SAR) and turned into garbage. I suppose their landscaper must have the final say: SAVE the GRASS at all cost.

Where's El Crespo's 'good' race? Influenced by Leparoux being up, I looked real hard and couldn't find one.

And, while Strike a Deal almost never gets a good trip and sooner or later will get one, how in the world did you leave Buddy's Humor out after his butcher job ride last out? Now he's cutting back on a course he likes.

Don't Tell me NYRA cares the the FAT_Man Says
 

Did they do an about face and leave the 7th & 10th on the turf?

Scratches/Changes


These changes added at 6/13/2009 11:03:00 AM Eastern Time BELMONT PARK SCRATCHES AND PROGRAM CHANGES FOR SATURDAY, 6/13/2009 TRACK CONDITIONS Weather: MOSTLY CLOUDY 72 Track: GOOD Turf: SOFT Turf Races: 3, 5, 7, 8, 10 Inner: Set at 27 Ft Widener: Set at 18 Ft P6 Carryover: NONE Takeout - 16.00 % Kind of makes it difficult to handicap and put together a ticket for the late pick four unless you wait until the last minute.

No.

THAT truly is a relief!

Hey if you're arouund tomorrow and Graphite Halo manages to win feel free to join me in the WC for a photo if you have the time.

BELMONT P4 SCR'S

Track: GOOD
Turf: SOFT
Turf Races: 3, 5, 8

7TH

1 (poe) Nacascolo Early OFF TURF
3 Jelly Roll Rumble Early
4 Can't Refuse Early
5 I've Got Speed Early
9 Absolute Return Early
10 Intiyaco (ARG) Early


8TH

11 Carry the Day Early
12 Patent Pending Tom Early
13 Nolite Timere Early


10TH

1 (poe) Woodrunner Early OFF TURF
2 (poe) Second Mortgage Early
3 Brushed Prince Early
5 Piazza Di Spagna Early
8 Puregoodniss Early
9 Striking Rizzi Early
13 Sergeant Karakorum Early

DELAWARE: Rooney SCR'S

RACE 9-Turf

#5 +2
Scratch #6 Encanto Park
Scratch #9 American Border
Scratch #11 Ocala Gator
Scratch #14 All Night Labor

Yeah, that's a great idea!

Thanks, really, but think about it.

PHILLY PARK-Jostle SCR'S

Race: 8

3 She's a Wow Has been scratched
9 Key Lime Baby Has been scratched
11 On the Menu Has been scratched

Thanx steve i hit the pick 4 for 2 bucks because i saw u liked macho again. Thank you sir

I gave u a $5 tri, and I only put one horse on top.;) :$:

Andy,

Assuming they stay on the turf, which based on the weather in western NJ today is questionable, and she wins please do join us in the Wc. Heck stop by the paddock or owners boxes and say hi.

Bill

Really nice hit vol jack. To be perfectly honest i didn't like the 2 at all. In the least. But steve making him his best value says alot so i included him instead of asiatic boy. Hope you had the win as well.

I can't go in the winner's circle with anyone. Think about how that looks for a second.

We do the show from the third floor while the horses are in the paddock. I will, however, try to go to the boxes for the race.

Can your show be seen at Arlington trackside?

I should hope so.

I'll look for it; management changes screens every race so we never get to see any analysis or post parades for longer then two seconds.

Steve,
You are a magician. In addition to a sizable Macho Again win score, I altered your Chuchill P4 by hitting the all button in the last race. $725.95 later, I thank you very much.
Forgot to bring my soc sec card to the track. Guess I gotta go back tomorrow :D

Guess I never thought about it from that perspective. I didn't mean to put you into an ethical quandary. Sorry about that, I forgot how perceptions of people especially in this business can jump to asinine conclusions. I guess I'm just way to naive and trusting.

Look forward to seeing you if you can find the time.

Good job Skip.. Nice hit... I didn't get to Keertana in the anchor.

VJ,

Very nice play. I didn't know what to do with Asiatic Boy.

Of course you could have just as easily congratulated yourself without taking the cheap shot. If you don't care for or respect the way in which I designate selections, just say so. It's certainly novel to come here to see how everyone made out, only to get sucker punched for picking Macho Again to win the Foster.

T/F,

Congrats and you're too kind... 'ALL' was a very clever approach in that tough anchor leg. Nicely played!

I don't know how asinine it would be if someone saw a TV handicapping analyst in the winner's circle with, say, some horse that paid $33, after he never mentioned that horse on the air, and felt possibly duped. Or, let's say I picked the horse, then some people might feel I had some inside information.

Appearances matter.

Fair enough.

But to tell the truth I don't even have any "inside information" I guess I'm just not connected enough. All I ever hear from the trainer is that she is doing "real good", what ever that means.

As always looking forward to seeing how your picks compare to mine.

Bill

Sorry, I should leave the ball busting to BTW.:o
I lucked out...the hedge bet came back double what the straight MA-einstein ex would have. I bet $150 around Macho yesterday in p4s and missed. lucked out with the tri. Should have just made a $150 win bet...What a concept.

He's the best at it... For my part, I didn't mean to be nasty either... sorry.

I don't know why exactly, but Macho Again seemed 'obvious' in this spot. The pace.. His timing for running good races.. Whatever. (Certainly wasn't 'Ol Possumhead.) I know what you mean about the P4 though. Don't know where you got tripped up, but to me, Keertana was just 'one of the ones'. That's why Tigerfan's ALL button was very clever.

I couldn't play yesterday as I had my father's 80th birsthday dinner in NYC and Tina and I were in the car all day, so I may have saved myself the same frustration.

You could fit the amount of inside information I get on the head of a pin.....but most people don't think that.

I agree steve, the 9 was just one of the crowd. He also was the highest payout of the 5 horses i had in the pick 4. However, I had tossed macho again based upon his erratic form. Without you having as your top selection, i would never have used him. Thanks again for all your hard work and making me look at a horse again who i had breezed over earlier.

Trying to beat Miss Isella and going 5 deep in her race proved my undoing.
Plus thinking Ocoluna was absolute lone speed...Even though I made good money off Keertana in her previous race..she kinda looked vulnerable on the class rise.
Macho had really been up against it in his last race, spotting the field up to 8lbs and had no pace to run into.
Its like BTW always preaches, its not about the horse itself, its about how the horse fits into the likey dynamics of the race.
This was the first race I had ever bet or relied on Macho. He has cost me plenty in the past, most notably at toga in the Jim Dandy. Where I had a big P3 and DD to Pyro. all is well that ends well.

Please tell me what channel you are on. The girl at the OTB says she'll put it on for me.

The NYRA feed.