11/30: AQU/HOL (Late P4's)
 

Though P4 plays remained elusive, broke through with several nice scores on the big Saturday raceday. Three superfectas at Churchill were punctuated with the weekend making 11th that yielded a $71 exacta, $245 tri and $1,315 super. It was a great afternoon highlighted by the thrilling Hill 'n' Dale Cigar Mile where either Tale of Ekati or the DQ'd Harlem Rocker made deserving winners. And considering the verbal beating the sophomores have taken all year, it was a very good showing for the the Class of '08.

And while Old Fashioned garnered a lot of the oohing and ahhing Saturday, the most impressive baby race run at New York or Kentucky came from Jimmy Jerkens' Quality Road in the Big A 4th. Ned Evans' Elusive Quality (VA) son out of a Strawberry Road mare blew apart a MSW event that was supposed to feature several other notable neophytes.

Hope you did well yesterday! AQU and HOL P4's to fool around with...


AQUEDUCT


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW

Most Likely: #6 Mia's First 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #3 Pleasant Ballerina 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #9 Marascino Red 6-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Dattts Stormy 15-1 8th


7th: OC/N1X

Most Likely: #3 Seventh Street 1-1 WON
Next Best: #4 Jet Setting 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #7 Let's Fly Away 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Salt Water Reign 9-2 2nd


8th: Montauk-NYB

Best Value: #2 Morning Gallop 5-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Borrowing Base 4-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Point Me to It 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 My Dinah 5-2 3rd


9th: NYB-MSW
CANCELLED
Most Likely: #11 Cat On a Quest 6-1
Best Value: #5 Taxadame 8-1
Next Best: #7 Dixie Time Thief 9-2
Exotics Use: #6 Icy Silver 8-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 3-6
7: 3-4-7
8: 1-2-5-6
9: 5-7-11

2x3x4x3 = $72



HOLLYWOOD


PRE-SCRATCHES


7th: 27th Matriarch (Gr. I)

Most Likely: #3 Precious Kitten 2-1 2ND
Best Value: #8 Roshani 8-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Cocoa Beach 3-1 WON
Exotics Use: #7 Visit 5-2 3RD


8th: MSW

Most Likely: #4 Cut the Check 7-2 WON
Next Best: #10 Mr. Hot Stuff 3-1 10th
Best Value: #1a New Bay 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Acclimation 8-1 7th


9th: 67th Hollywood Derby (Gr. I)

Most Likely: #2 Court Vision 4-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Sailor's Cap 12-1 9th
Next Best: #7 Gio Ponti 5-2 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Albahri 8-1 6th


10th: Cal-MDN CLM

Most Likely: #10 Catsalot 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #1 Jeann D' Arc 20-1
Next Best: #4 Plaza Queen 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Shelbydell 6-1 WON


<$75 P4 Play:

7: 3-7-8-9
8: 4-10
9: 2-7-8
10: 1-4-10

4x2x3x3 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

AQUEDUCT CHANGES:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp

HOLLYWOOD:


Scratches

Race 1 #9 No Place Like Home

Race 3 #9 Kneeling's Pride

Race 4 #1 Kruger Park

Race 6 #9 Fast Lane's Bounty

Race 7 #1 Black Mamba (NZ)

Race 8 #1 Position A (POE), #9 Infernal

Anyone have any thoughts on the big return of El Gato Malo? 20 MTP...

What happened today at NYRA? Lost track of time? Didn't bother venturing outside?:rolleyes:

Good for a single in a small pick 3. I like Kris Silver in the 5th:

3/3/ALL

From the peanut gallery...
 

I'm going to try and beat him with Talkin To Mom Roo. El Gato Malo is a terminator, but I'm not feeling 3/2 right now. I really don't understand the public's infatuation with Gayego. Is it name recognition (from being in the Triple Crown races)? He's been a dog since the Arkansas Derby....a million years ago.

Ah, but what do I know? Maybe I just like the name: Talkin To Mom Roo.

Quick question
 

Why does it say Sam Houston under my name?

That's the default for your favorite track. Go into User CP...select Favorite Track and pick which track you like best.

The more you post the bigger and more famous and prestigious the tracks get.

NOW I understand
 

What I said about Gayego a minute ago....er, forget it.

I stand by my Talkin To Mom Roo pick, though. He was kind of bottled up before hitting the stretch.

How about that El Gato Malo?

that mambo in seattle didnt run a lick.

I won't post again once I hit Mountaineer then! I love their public handicappers, Mark Patterson, the big comic book guy-type, and "Nance," she of the monotone voice who uncomfortably deflects his "let's you and I get it on" comments. Golden.

He just crossed the finish line....NOW!

FYI... $459 P6 Carryover at Turfway.. :rolleyes:

can i even bet turfway?

Telephone.. I caught a nice EXA earlier in the feature. Willie Martinez on the winner in fact, $22. EXA came back $150.

zenyatta.. sweet looking animal......:$: :tro:

good for you!:tro: as the snow continues here..............................

[quote=Jax Cajun]Good for a single in a small pick 3. I like Kris Silver in the 5th:

I'm not trying to be a smart ass, I'm just trying to learn more about turf handicapping, but what is it you see in Kris Silver that warrants singling him over say, Maroon, Railroad, or Lockford (among others)?

Like I said, I'm not here to call anyone out, I'm just trying to learn from one of the truly great masters of Derbytrail.com.

;)

I like Kris Silver a little in this wide open race.

$20 win

OK. Kris Silver it is!

$4 to win!

Nice Coach.

Genius pick. I wish you'd tell me how you pulled Kris Silver out of those PPs, but I guess I should thank you for the twenty bucks.

Railroad was a suspect horse and was the only other viable speed. Figured Kris would be on the lead and that's a good place to be on that course.

The works plus Tyler Baze did it for me.

redboard :(





















:p

6:1 on a Mitchell horse? He looks interesting here, Mr. Elroy. He'll either be 1st or last but he's worth a try.

The 'wipeout' horses run 1-2 for a $60 exacta.

Cocoa Beach opens at 6:5

What's more interesting is that Visit opens LOWER than Precious Kitten.

Visit was my choice this morning, I just hadn't posted it till now. Unfortunately she is only 2/1 but she may drift upwards. If she reproduces her NA race I can't see anyone beating her, she'll be more effective going 2 furlongs shorter.

criminoligist is a mad layover:eek:

edgar is such a stiff...

And Ramon is :$: on turf, :rolleyes:

Hard to believe that PK couldn't wire with those fractions on that course (after all the **** that's been wiring there recently). Is there such a thing as going TOO slow?

i like you in the 8th at golden gate but was hoping for better than 9-5.

think i'll take a pass unless you drift up to 5-2 before post.

Golden Gate race 9) $2 ex 25/1256

There's a hunch play if I ever saw one. :rolleyes: