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Santa Anita Surface for the BC
Any thoughts on the surface? I am interested to hear what some of you think about the surface at santa anita. I am not a SHILL of any kind for synthetics or dirt for that matter. I am just curious.
I came in to the BC not liking synthetics at all. Unlike EVERYONE else on this board, i lost money on BC day;) . I still came away pleasantly surprised about how fairly the track played and how logical (if not always predictable) the results were. I am now ducking and covering my head because i know what the prevailing feeling about synthetics is from many handicappers...particularly those on this board. |
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I don't know what they did but I didn't like seeing those boneheads playing with my karma :) |
I think the first thing I learned is not all synthetics are the same. To say there are three surfaces; dirt, synthetic, and grass is misleading as there's different types of each.
I don't mind synthetic and now that Keeneland has had it for a while, I know how to play it, just like any surface. Once I got a grip on how the proride played (Hard to win on the lead) I capped accordingly and did very well. My 2 cents Spyder |
I actually enjoyed watching and wagering on the BC this past weekend TONS more than I originally anticipated I would. The main thing that I was intent on was not to change my wagering strategy. 80-85% of my plays on normal days are horizontal, so I stuck with that
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I think it basically proved to be an alternative TURF course, if you look at the results.
People will see that no horses broke down and love the stuff... eventhough if the races were held on a good, safe, dirt track.. the breakdown results would probably have been the same as on the Con-Ride. It works well in handicapping as you can throw out horses who have good dirt form - but that sucks for real good dirt horses who wanted to be crowned champion but ended up having to run on fake turf. I hope next year that ZERO dirt horses go to the breeders cup. That would make me smile :) Overall, I lost $5.50 on the day, and I used that 5.50 to buy a form. I'm glad I didnt bet the races except for the Juvi Turf (boys) cause that Euro that won looked real good before that race at those odds... |
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I guess I'm just more of a fan of watching good dirt runners run on a dirt surface... and not have 14 Breeders Cup races run all on Turf. It will be interesting to see how Stardom Bound takes to real dirt (if they ever run her on it). I thought the only legit "dirt" horses to win on the "dirt" this weekend was Zenyetta.. who may be a monster on any surface, and Midnight Lute (but it sucks that race wasnt on real dirt to see how Fabulous Strike could have done - I have a feeling he's better than Fatal Bullet:rolleyes: ). |
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See...thats me too. I spent some some stupid $20 win bets chasing some N2L turf sprinters at Belmont:o |
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Over the 2 days, I played 4 different pick 4 tickets, and didn't hit any of them. I have found that the pick 3 works best for my preferred wagering strategy. |
Eventhough I thought 14 races were a little much (dont think they need marathon, dirt mile and turf sprint), I really didnt mind Friday being "Ladies Day" as much as I thought I would...
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I think if you think you have some singles, then you can construct some good horizontal bets, but you have to take a stand. Luckily I used Stardom Bound, Zenyatta, Midnight Luke as 3 key singles over the two days and made out OK in pick threes.
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I wonder why:p
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The surface was excellent. If the race would have been run at CHD Ravens Pass and Henry would have ran 1-2, right?
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At Charlestown Raven would have been the nuts, hes a 4 turn specialist
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Curlin wouldnt have won there either...and its run on dirt. |
Curlin would have won anywhere with a natural dirt surface
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Wouldnt Ctown be 4 turns for a mile and a quarter? Where would they start that race
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So, if Curlin doesn't fire ( or his jockey moves too early and too wide) , how is it not plausible that two of Europe's top horses do fire big and run 1-2? Didn't Sakhee run big on DIRT? Didn't Giant's Causeway run big on DIRT? Had to be the surface.. whatever. |
Right.
You think Tiago beats Curlin on the dirt? Tiago would be lucky to beat me on the dirt |
didn't Tiago run very well on the dirt at Oaklawn?
I think you are placing Curlin way to high up on a pedestal.. He won his races this year over some very suspect "G1" horses. How is it not possible that he was either moved to early and too wide and Tiago basically sucked up for third after a ground saving trip? I just don't get your logic. |
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Horses who dont handle the surface dont make that move. How about he was not quite as good as he was 9-12 months ago, made a premature move on a tiring surface and then flattened out getting beat by horses with some quality to them. |
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He was moved when he needed to be moved he didnt kick on like he does on the dirt. Thats very typical of a horse that cannot get over a surface, they do not finish their run.
I do not think Curlin is great, but I certainly do not think that field should have beaten him, nor would they have on a dirt track. That being said you are right about how hes looked this year and the crappy horses hea beaten. Merchant Marine whom he just beat looked like garbage on BC day at Belmont. |
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The question is why did Curlin regress in this race? Was it solely the racing surface? Was it the effects of a long two years of racing, especially after a trip to Dubai and back? Was it a premature move by Albarado? None of us can say for sure. The fact is that this was by far the best field that Curlin faced all year, and he didn't get the job done. Finally, while it is questionable that either Raven's Pass or Henrythenavigator would have contested the Classic had it been run over a conventional dirt track, their pedigrees (by Elusive Quality and Kingmambo) would have been far more suited to a conventional dirt track than the pedigrees of the Euros (by such sires as Galileo, Danehill, and Sadler's Wells) that flopped in the Classic in recent years. They were legitimate Grade I horses that ran well. If they were able to transfer their form to a dirt surface (like a Giant's Causeway), the result may have very well been the same. |
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Hmmm, 10f at Charles Town...six furlong track, the chute is for 4.5f, well dang, I wonder how the hell they would run a mile and a quarter at that joint?
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They'd have to start here in Roanoke. |
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