8/16: Saratoga (Alabama; Sword Dancer)
 

Surprisingly beautiful but very chalky afternoon at the Spa. Unless you found Backseat Rhythm, as did Andy Serling, it was the kind of afternoon where you hit P3's regularly and made no money. Fun day nontheless. 'Bama-Sword Dancer features include great horses though neither event a particularly terrific betting affair. Hope you did well Friday...


SARATOGA RACE COURSE


PRE-SCRATCHES


1st: ALW/N2L, 3+, 7f (P3, DD, Super)

Against favorite National Pride WON here..

Most Likely: #4 Posse Cat 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #8 Run With Me 8-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Joppa Flat's 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #7 Pewter 15-1 7th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Light Green 7-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Northern Harbor 15-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Cats 8-1 6th


3rd: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Fanfire 2-1 5th
Best Value: #2 Gift of Giving 10-1 7th
Next Best: #6 SCR
Super Add: #1 Patti Tiff 15-1 6th


4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Super tough turf sprint.. Will be spreading wide in multi-race plays..

Most Likely: #3 Mrs. Holden 6-1 8th
Best Value: #6 Doree Daze 12-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Miss Dolan's Rose 5-1 9th
Exotics Use: #1e Rice entry 7-2 2nd


5th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (P6, P3, DD, Super)

SCR #7 Take the Points who ran Friday..

Most Likely: #8 Girolamo 7-2 WON
Best Value: #5 Western Legend 12-1 8th
Next Best: #9 Blue Whistler 12-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Great Crusade 15-1 6th


<$75 P4 Play:

2: 2-7
3: 1-2-3-4-6-9
4: 3-6
5: 5-8-9

2x6x2x3 = $72


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Arrrr 7-2 WON
Best Value: #4 Spider Rock 12-1 10th
Next Best: #7 Honor Evening 15-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Hepcat 12-1 5th


7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Quick to Charm 3-1 WON
Best Value: #6 Monsooned Malabar 4-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Hard to Explain 7-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 SCR


8th: 33rd Sword Dancer (Gr. I), 3+, 12f-IT (P3, DD)

With SCR of Red Rocks and Champs Elysees, ML's don't really apply..

Most Likely: #2 Grand Couturier WON
Best Value: #5 Precous Passion 4th
Next Best: #6 Better Talk Now 2nd


9th: 129th Alabama (Gr. I), 3yo, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Proud Spell 6-5 WON
Best Value: #5 Sweet Vendetta 10-1 5th
Next Best: #1e Godolphin entry 1-1 2nd/3rd


10th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-IT (Super)

Most Likely: #3 Forest Trail 2-1 7th
Best Value: #8 Goo Goo Eyes 8-1 8th
Next Best: #6 Higher Incentive 12-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Queens Full 5-1 6th


<$100 P4 Play:

7: 5-6-7
8: 2-5-6-7
9: 1-2
10: 3-6-8-9

3x4x2x4 = $96


Good luck!
Steve

Is it safe to assume that they'll be ON THE TURF today?

I haven't called but I would say yes.

Heard anything about Music Note scratching to run in the Travers?

Who you gonna call???

drf.com says she's running today.



http://drf.com/news/article/97311.html

:cool: Although it would have added something special to the Travers...but Proud Spell is no push over...

Races ON TURF and labeled GOOD...

Amen!

Byk, you really think that Proud spell is the most likely winner of the Alabama?:confused:

Who do you think is the most likely winner? If your answer is Music Note, what is there to discuss? The odds on both will be miniscule.

Early Pick 4

2 - 2
3 - 3
4 - 1,2,3,4,5,6,7,9
5 - 1,2,3,4,5,6,8,9

GL

Pick 3

3 - 3
4 - 2,3,6,7
5 - 4,5,6,8

GL

Love getting a defending champ at fair odds in the Sword Dancer.

Better hope he gets the rail skimming ride he got last year.

Late Pick 4.......
 

2-3-5-6-7
2-5-7
1
3-6-8-9
$60
Good Luck All!

split with pmac, good luck!

7- 2,3,5,6,7,8,9
8- 2,5,6,7
9- 1,2,5
10- 3

I couldn't decide what to do with this P4.

So....I went

7 - 6,7
8 - 1,7
9 - 1,2
10 - 3,7 and banged it a few times.

GL boys.

Better play than ours, we can really chalk out on this one. Didn't get the value in the first leg. Good luck in the last few, but this could be a chalkfest.

Not anymore. GL the rest of the way.

If Proud Spell stays at 2-1, playing $20W 2, $10DD 2-3. Good Luck!

Yes. And anyone that listened to Larry Jones on ATR last night knew that Honest Man was the most likely in the Iselin too.

Nice job today Steve. Hope you capitalized on so many winners!

You really are on fire.

Spyder

I need to start listening to the show more.
I used to listen everyday, but I am not driving during those hours as much now. Great call, I just thought that L Belle would carve out faster fractions than what she did.

Spydee..

Thx but I thought I had a less than good day. Was mistified by the early results and got clobbered before string together the winners from the 5th-9th. But those winners did nothing for my bankroll and I bet they did little for those playing. The nightcap winner killed me too. Weird day.. Hope all did well.

The overwhelming part of the day was Proud Spell's win given how much I love this filly. I was as animated and excited as I've been for any race in ages.

And Liz Gray getting her first training win was a highlight too...

If by ages you mean hours..

I know exactly what you mean and to be honest I'm almost glad to see as I have never had a day where I had so many winners and lost so much. Triped up again and agin by second in pick 3 or winner with third place in exacta.....but it was a great card to play and we finally got some grass racing in