4/11 (KEE): Maker's Mark Mile (Gr. I)
 

9th (5:10) Maker's Mark Mile S. (G1)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $300,000

1 Kip Deville Velasquez C 123 L
2 Einstein (BRZ) Albarado R J 123 LA
3 Parading Velazquez J R 117 LA
4 Ruff and Ready Coa E M 117 LA
5 Thousand Words (GB) Castellano J J 117 LA
6 Zann Leparoux J R 117 LA
7 Cosmonaut Prado E S 119 L
8 Out of Control (BRZ) Gomez G K 121 LA
9 Shakis (IRE) Garcia Alan 117 LA
10 War Monger Desormeaux K J 119 LA
11 Thorn Song Bejarano R 117 LA



About as good a field for this category you would see outside of the BC Mile.

Wow, that is pretty loaded.

Shaped up to be one of the best races of the year so far. I don't even know which way I'll be playing it. Can't wait for this one...

Without looking at a Form, PG1985 posts his lock for the race in

5
4
3
2
1......

your right phil, that race is LOADED.

any chance we see Firm that day or is the weather still retarded?

I just had a write up for each horse and f'n lost it. you guys get nothing now :)

Absolutely loaded. VERY good field.

30%-50% chance of T-storms starting early tommorrow morning and continuing throughout the weekend. Doesn't look good for a firm course. I'm thinking yielding at best.

wow.. nice field... especially for this time of year.

Has Showing Up officially retired yet?

lets see how close I can get to the ML odds
 

1 Kip Deville Velasquez C 123 = 2/1
2 Einstein (BRZ) Albarado R J 123 = 6/1
3 Parading Velazquez J R 117 = 30/1
4 Ruff and Ready Coa E M 117 = 50/1
5 Thousand Words (GB) Castellano J J 117 = 9/2
6 Zann Leparoux J R 117 = 50/1
7 Cosmonaut Prado E S 119 = 4/1
8 Out of Control (BRZ) Gomez G K 121 = 12/1
9 Shakis (IRE) Garcia Alan 117 = 10/1
10 War Monger Desormeaux K J 119 = 8/1
11 Thorn Song Bejarano R 117 = 50/1

Is that off the top of your head, or did you look at a Form?

What do you think?

He's got Rough And Ready 50/1 - even though he's a Pletcher runner who's 4-for-4 lifetime on the turf - with three of those four wins coming by margins of 5.5 lengths or more.

I think Scavs future as a linemaker is about as bright as mine as a song writer.

shakis and war monger will both be lower then your touting them to be

Top of my head....I just made them messing around.

Drugs, I did it because the horse is way outclassed....

I know Scavarino - I know.

But you did say "let's see how close I can get to the ML odds" ... even if you (or an ML maker) have a knock on a horse or don't like it's chances - the ML makers job is to assign horses odds based on what he believes they will close at.

Well, IN MY WORLD, I assign what they should close at :)

I'll be sure to clarify if I am speaking of Scav's world or real world.

Love the addition of 'arino', a good touch

Is 8/1 realistic on War Monger, I have a little fun with him in this race if those odds can hold true, want to rewatch his last race at SA to see what happened there.

Thanks man.

But I'd say it was a bit of a 'bounce' after my James Taylor lyrics tweaking epicocity.

surely 1000 words isnt good enough here?? why 9/2 scav

Scavs, what I want to know is what are the odds of Out of Control getting scratched? That horse will be way overbet just because of Frankel/Gomez. His ability doesn't match up with these and his style of running won't match Keeneland's turf course.

He should be 20/1, but I'm guessing he gets bet down to 6/1 or 7/1 if Frankel actually runs him.

because people love Frankel and the last was somewhat impressive....

Your the Euro corespondent, she would toss 1000 words?

1000 Words doesnt scream G1 horse to me, he never has, always came up short against a quality field.. he was a good 2year old but didnt really progress last year, in fact, his last few races in England were shocking..

Frankel does seem to be able to work the oracle on these types though..

I was just perusing the nominations for this race and noticed Olympic Chief. How/why in the world is he not in this race?

How has he runs since debuting in last years Arkansas Derby?

I think the Makers Mark would have been a shrewd spot for him to make his turf debut.

i agree, he has taken advantage of some short semi questionable fields out west....

That's what I thought too, drugs. The Chief ran in two MSWs since his debut, and was actually beaten less than a pole in his last. And...as we all know, Davidson knows how to get them to fire huge off the layoff.

I'll be interested on Ruff and Ready's actual odds, might be right there on the lead

Zann at 50-1?? You are more nuts than I thought. 2nd time for KMac and surely didn't have the easiest of trips last out at Gulf. He was 5-1 that day.

Wow! What a fine group, great race on tap!

I hate to say it but the weather looks like its gonna awful all weekend here in the Bluegrass state. I wish it wasn't b/c this is a really good field and would love to be able to catch war monger back after that debacle in Calif. Just have to wait and see how things look on Friday.

If it is off the turf, who would scratch?

This is without a doubt the worst ML in history. Scav, u r the man.:D

My top 3 picks were the fav and two 50-1 shots. "back up the truck time".

1 1 Kip Deville Velasquez C Dutrow, Jr. R E 123 L 5-2
2 2 Einstein (BRZ) Albarado R J Pitts Helen 123 LA 4-1
3 3 Parading Velazquez J R McGaughey III C R 117 LA 20-1
4 4 Ruff and Ready Coa E M Pletcher Todd A 117 LA 10-1
5 5 Thousand Words (GB) Castellano J J Frankel Robert 117 LA 10-1
6 6 Zann Leparoux J R McLaughlin Kiaran P 117 LA 10-1
7 7 Cosmonaut Prado E S Serpe Philip M 119 L 6-1
8 8 Out of Control (BRZ) Gomez G K Frankel Robert 121 LA 10-1
9 9 Shakis (IRE) Garcia Alan McLaughlin Kiaran P 117 LA 8-1
10 10 War Monger Desormeaux K J Mott William I 119 LA 10-1
11 11 Thorn Song Bejarano R Romans Dale 117 LA 15-1


Great field like Shakis at 8-1

I was pretty close on most of them. But yeah, way off on others. 10/1 on Ruff and Ready is ridiculous. He is facing multiple graded stakes horses, I would play the horse at 45/1 or better.

NEVER SAID I WAS A GENIUS at ML making. I'll add this to the multiple page document of things I am not a genius at :)

As for your sig, The Bid is the king of the hedge. trust me.

I take back what I said about Ruff and Ready. Besides Kip Deville, he is the fastest damn horse in the race.

I do think Kip Deville is unplayable here. I would much rather play him in his next start then this one.

As much as I don't want to say this, Einstein is value here, along with Ruff and Ready and Shakis.

From 50-1 to one of your top picks, Scavie? I like Ruff and Ready too.

Yeah, I'm a moron. Ran a real good number last time, but he hasn't faced much. Don't really have a top pick in the race, very contentious. If I had to play one horse, I would be playing Einstein to Win and boxing him with like four other horses in the exacta.

All I can say is.....WOW! what a race, as good as it gets.