Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Joe Silverio Simulcast Center (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=3)
-   -   Aqueduct Sunday 1/27 (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=19727)

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 09:31 AM

Aqueduct Sunday 1/27
 
Aqueduct Late Pick4 intrigues today. Gonna put some tickets together...see what happens. Any thoughts on the sequence?

POST SCRATCHES

R6 - Gonna focus on Dutrow Dropper as A+.
A - 7
B - 4,5
C - 1,2,6,8

R7 - Likely take a stand here, just Breezing on top.
A - 7
B - 3,5
C - 8

R8 - Keep coming back to Run Red Run. Can't see R Clear Victory having his way with these. Cover French Transition and Run With Lark as B's. Platinum Couple as C.
A - 1
B - 2,4
C - 5

R9 - This is the race that makes me want to play the pick4...seems like value leg for me.
A - 1,5,6,12
B - X
C - 3,4,10

Good Luck!

Pk4 $2,189 on $1

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I like Greenwood Boy in the 6th. Check out his first two races. Was on the lead last time against Numaany, the horse that took a right turn midstretch yet recovered and won going away. With a more patient ride and the drop back to claimers I think he has a big shot.

That was one of the craziest stretch runs I've ever seen.

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 10:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I like Greenwood Boy in the 6th. Check out his first two races. Was on the lead last time against Numaany, the horse that took a right turn midstretch yet recovered and won going away. With a more patient ride and the drop back to claimers I think he has a big shot.

Thanks. Had that one as a bubble horse and was able to work into mix after scratches.

Identifying good wagering opportunities on horses going away from Contessa has NOT been my strong suit...

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 11:52 AM

Race 2
Najarans Star - Dutrow is solid 24% with second career starts and had a second time starter win a maiden claimer on Friday.

Win bet...

ex 3,7/3,4,7
tri 7/1,3,4/1,3,4

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 12:00 PM

I meant super box.

I hate this game.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 12:30 PM

Word of warning.....the rail is a conveyer belt today. Be careful.

the_fat_man 01-27-2008 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Word of warning.....the rail is a conveyer belt today. Be careful.

The good news is that there will be many nice betbacks.

The bad news is that it makes for unfair/unpredictable situations.

On days like this (and there are many) NYRA should really allowing betting AFTER the break.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 12:52 PM

I blame the track super.

The track was fair the last two days.

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 01:58 PM

How is Mike Luzzi getting mounts?

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 01:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pillow Pants
How is Mike Luzzi getting mounts?


Because he's the second best rider at Aqueduct?

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 02:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Because he's the second best rider at Aqueduct?

I'd hate to find out who the third best rider is.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 02:04 PM

It's a very bad group out there.

Dominguez embarrasses these guys on a daily basis.

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 02:09 PM

This 7th race is a real cupcake. Finger Lakes invades the New York Metropolitan area.

zippyneedsawin 01-27-2008 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
This 7th race is a real cupcake. Finger Lakes invades the New York Metropolitan area.


These are pretty high priced claimers for Finger Lakes.

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 02:16 PM

Aqueduct Race 7

7/3-5/all

This is a horrible race. The #5 Dinnerinthemeadow does intrigue me.

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 02:21 PM

Switching gates?

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 02:29 PM

That's a little strange. I hope the new gate works.

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 02:32 PM

Race 7
2,3,4 ex box

Ronnie 01-27-2008 02:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
The #5 Dinnerinthemeadow does intrigue me.

Great call!

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 03:04 PM

Live to to the 1,5,6,12 here in pk4. C'mon!!!

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Live to to the 1,5,6,12 here in pk4. C'mon!!!

Good luck. At least now I have a root as I probably won't bet. If you want to throw a couple bucks on a saver the 3 might not be the worst longshot.

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 03:14 PM

Can't beleive there is a $4,378 willpay to the current fav here #12 (Levine first timer).

ML favs are around $1,200 on $2.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 03:17 PM

Sea Cat was scratched from a higher priced claimer on Thursday ( the 7th race ). I hope he wins for you but I wouldn't touch him off that recent form....especially with that post.

Maragh aint exactly Mr. Aggressive either. He could end up in the four path on a gold rail in a walkover.

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 03:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Good luck. At least now I have a root as I probably won't bet. If you want to throw a couple bucks on a saver the 3 might not be the worst longshot.

Threw a few bucks on #3 at the price. Had him as a C and would be a brutal beat. Thanks.

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 03:26 PM

Way to go PMAC!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 03:26 PM

Nice!

Congrats.

Coach Pants 01-27-2008 03:28 PM

Explosive Hanger. What a mule.

fpsoxfan 01-27-2008 03:28 PM

Andy the three (your longshot) was FLYING at the end. I used him underneath some exactas for shiats and giggle.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 03:32 PM

Yeah, he made some run. Helps when your rider is smart enough to save ground.

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 03:33 PM

Thanks guys! Been in a bit of pick4 funk at Big A, this certainly makes up for it.

Ii would be remiss not to thank BTW, who gave a bit of sound advice that helped me meet my structure goal of getting to the finale. Thanks!

tiggerv 01-27-2008 03:34 PM

Grats Pmac. Nice hit.

blackthroatedwind 01-27-2008 03:35 PM

Thanks. It was my pleasure. Glad it helped you win.

Bigsmc 01-27-2008 03:37 PM

Nice job Pat.

declansharbor 01-27-2008 03:37 PM

Excellent work PMac.
Remember, noone wins them all. Everyone hits a skid now and then. Keep pluggin and things like today will happen to make up for the losses.
Congrats!

hoovesupsideyourhead 01-27-2008 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pmacdaddy
Thanks guys! Been in a bit of pick4 funk at Big A, this certainly makes up for it.

Ii would be remiss not to thank BTW, who gave a bit of sound advice that helped me meet my structure goal of getting to the finale. Thanks!

congrats nice hit

Holland Hacker 01-27-2008 04:17 PM

Pat,

NICE SCORE ! ! !

It seems like only yesterday that I told you that you could in fact handicap.

Quote:

Originally Posted by hollandhacker
You can definitely handicap. You have come up with some winners that I never would have.

Has anyone ever quoted themselves?

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 04:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Holland Hacker
Pat,

NICE SCORE ! ! !

It seems like only yesterday that I told you that you could in fact handicap.



Has anyone ever quoted themselves?

Thanks. Maybe I need to beat myself up more often...

Reread Exotic Betting pages 123-132 again last night and decided to stick with what had been working until recently.

pointman 01-27-2008 06:07 PM

Nice job Pat, we needed this one desparately!:D

pmacdaddy 01-27-2008 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by pointman
Nice job Pat, we needed this one desparately!:D

:D Told you last night, I was done foolin aound...lol...

To: "Nicholas Massimo" <nickmassimoesq@hotmail.com>
Subject: Re: Sun
From: bluefishpmac@yahoo.com Add to Address Book Add Mobile Alert
Date: Sat, 26 Jan 2008 8:51 PM

I'm not ****in around with tomorrow's pick 4. $150+,- budget. Garaunteed
hit...

Sent via BlackBerry by AT&T


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:21 AM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.