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-   -   Hollywood if Holly could (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=18455)

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 02:38 PM

Hollywood if Holly could
 
I try to stay away from the average cards out west, but you just can't ignore them this time of year.

Disclaimer - I stink


going to try and get a feel for these races with some paper bets, why not online?

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 03:00 PM

Hollywood race 2
$1 pick 3 (5 x 3,4 x 6,8) =$4

win bets
horse#-winamount

3 $19
4 $13
6 $10
7 $13

Daily doubles
$16 DD 5x4
$33 DD 5x3

$104 wagered

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 03:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
Hollywood race 2
$1 pick 3 (5 x 3,4 x 6,8) =$4 /loss

win bets
horse#-winamount

3 $19 /loss
4 $13 w/ $152
6 $10/loss
7 $13 /loss

Daily doubles
$16 DD 5x4 /loss
$33 DD 5x3 /loss

$104 wagered

ummm the 5 was supposed to win that...

robfla 11-29-2007 03:11 PM

still about a 45% profit

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
ummm the 5 was supposed to win that...

Something wrong with that barn.Maybe a virus or something.

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 03:31 PM

Hollywood race 3
$1 pick 3 (3,4 x 6,8 x 1,9,10) =$6

win bets
horse#-winamount

3 $7
4 $6

$2 exacta 3 with 5 = $2


Daily doubles
$1 DD 3x6,8=2
$4 DD 3x8
$2 DD 4x6
$2 DD 4x8


$31 wagered

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 03:33 PM

^ should say $12 as the pick 3 amount and 37 wagered
EDIT - ALSO BET A $ DOUBLE(should say $2 double 3x6,8=$4) -- make the total 39


thanks ^^ Robfla

good to know ^^ Scuds (hoping his 6 doesn't beat me in race 5)

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 03:39 PM

Quote:

$39 wagered / Loss

:eek:

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
^ should say $12 as the pick 3 amount and 37 wagered
EDIT - ALSO BET A $ DOUBLE(should say $2 double 3x6,8=$4) -- make the total 39


thanks ^^ Robfla

good to know ^^ Scuds (hoping his 6 doesn't beat me in race 5)

Beaten favorite in 5 of 6.Seriously,he is doing the same thing with his horses(keeps dropping like this.)Something not right.Cheater Mitchell probably will take another.

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 04:02 PM

race 4
$7 to win on #8
$1 ex 8,6 with 4

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 04:08 PM

Yep,that 4 with P VAL was ready,but the barn's horses aren't finishing.They thought they had that race.Played it heavy.Got clear.Normally with this barn it would have kept going.What are they now? 3 for 53 ?

Bobby Fischer 11-29-2007 04:11 PM

Something to keep following^

^^Yea Conclave looks solid here.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bobby Fischer
race 4
$7 to win on #8 w/$12
$1 ex 8,6 with 4 w/$5



Well thats it. I am going to leave with my lucky $17. Have a good Thursday.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 04:26 PM

I would love to hear some insider knowledge on what is going on there but I am pretty much throwing his runners out until proven otherwise.

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 04:35 PM

I like Holy Lark to get it late here in the 5th. he won't be worse than second,

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I like Holy Lark to get it late here in the 5th. he won't be worse than second,

not how i pictured it.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
not how i pictured it.

Me either and the theory to throw out his runners goes down in flames.

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 04:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
Have closers been compromised today?

don't know, just logged on last race.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 04:43 PM

Whatever is wrong with most of the Oneil runners wasn't wrong with that one.If you look,I think this one may be barned at Anita.The other 2 (who were empty today) are training here.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 04:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
Have closers been compromised today?

Speed is holding up big time.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 04:57 PM

Weird Meet.What is Espinoza doing?Look he rides the Han Moon in the last...WOW..LOL...

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 05:02 PM

pick three late
2 5 7 9 10 // 2 // 1 5 13

tiggerv 11-29-2007 05:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Weird Meet.What is Espinoza doing?Look he rides the Han Moon in the last...WOW..LOL...

ROFL. I guess its much tougher to get mounts with PVal, Bejarano,Talamo etc back at the Wood. The 3% win percentage doesn't help much :)

Like the 10 here. Hopefully he doesn't duel himself into the ground with the 9.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 05:10 PM

Too Much Chalk The Last 2 Days.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 05:17 PM

Way too much chalk.

I like the 4 here but not at the current odds.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 05:19 PM

THAT'S A 50K CLAIMER WINNING A 50K CLAIMER .Was way too easy.They gunna catch Mitchell again.No way they gunna just ignore that.Should have been a competitive race.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 05:32 PM

Unless they really penalize Mitchell and Sadler,they are just gunna keep alkalizing .If they would cut the Max allowable C02 to 35 ,they probably would get them.If you have been caught multiple times with high co2,then they should lower those trainers max allowable co2.That's real punishment.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 05:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
THAT'S A 50K CLAIMER WINNING A 50K CLAIMER .Was way too easy.They gunna catch Mitchell again.No way they gunna just ignore that.Should have been a competitive race.

Bejarano had a nice ride on the 5. Saved ground and found a hole on the rail while Gryder had my horse 4 wide the entire trip.

It wouldn't have mattered either way as Mitchell's horse was much the best...for whatever reason.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 05:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
Bejarano had a nice ride on the 5. Saved ground and found a hole on the rail while Gryder had my horse 4 wide the entire trip.

It wouldn't have mattered either way as Mitchell's horse was much the best...for whatever reason.

He has been caught atleast 3 times alkalizing.No real punishment.

tiggerv 11-29-2007 05:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
He has been caught atleast 3 times alkalizing.No real punishment.

Can't beat him.

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 05:51 PM

Gomez said he was almost scared on the turn,cuz he had so much horse.WILD WILD WEST out here right now.They are not just gunna sit back and have supertrainer cheats win 75% of the races with chalk.Sadler,or Mitchell gunna get caught again.Gimmee odds on it.

declansharbor 11-29-2007 06:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER
Weird Meet.What is Espinoza doing?Look he rides the Han Moon in the last...WOW..LOL...

One of the most overrated jocks in the game, IMO.

Scav 11-29-2007 06:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
One of the most overrated jocks in the game, IMO.

Scuds, has Mr Moon struck in a while? I haven't seen a Moon type payoff in sometime

SCUDSBROTHER 11-29-2007 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Scuds, has Mr Moon struck in a while? I haven't seen a Moon type payoff in sometime


No,but I didn't see what won at Del MAR.

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 06:08 PM

i like the 5 or 13 in the last, they're overlooked in the wagering if you ask me.

declansharbor 11-29-2007 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
i like the 5 or 13 in the last, they're overlooked in the wagering if you ask me.

Nice pick up Jim! Hope you smashed it.

ArlJim78 11-29-2007 06:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by declansharbor
Nice pick up Jim! Hope you smashed it.

not a smash, but did manage to have the late double and pick 3 a few times.

the super? one of the tickets i played was 13/all/1 9 12 / 5.
the 5 ran fifth and the super paid large. oh well.


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