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-   -   5/7: Belmont (4th-9th) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29540)

Kasept 05-07-2009 07:03 AM

5/7: Belmont (4th-9th)
 
Got back $505 on 2 consolations for $216 Churchill P6 play when pair of top choices failed in marathon feature Wednesday. Coming into the day down $100, the sextet result put me exactly even for the sum of the "Derby experience". But it was hard to swallow the 5 of 6 beat seeing the $33,000 return the sequence produced. As discussed at Derby Trail and on ATR, a short field of four going 11f frequently produces odd pace scenarios, and Leparoux gave the Michelle Nihei-trained winner a heady ride. The race was a good spot for the all button, but that would have strained the budget. Hope you did well...

Finally am turning attention back to New York today, though as NYRA's Andy Serling reported last night, they will be off the turf today at Belmont. With the meat of the New York season now ahead of us, need to catch up on the 'senior circuit' quickly after focusing outside the NY ovals for nearly a month.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


NOTE: 4th, 5th and 7th are OFF THE TURF, so check for post-scratch revisions...


4th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-OFF THE TURF (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Donk entry 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #7 Discreet Empire 12-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Mary's Song 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Crema d'Oro 20-1 3rd


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: # #1 Kitty Nip 5-1 7th
Best Value: #10 Favorite Flavor 6-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Kiss and Fly 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Street Talk 12-1 3rd


6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Super Shape 5-2 6th
Next Best: #1a (POE) Air Lord 4-1 WON
Best Value: #4 Saratoga Lullaby 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Bill Place 12-1 4th


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 6f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #14 SCR
Next Best: #13 Drowning Bear 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Platinum Couple 12-1 6th
Super Add: #15 Motor Patrol 8-1 WON


8th: Nasty and Bold, 3+, 12f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Delosvientos 7-5 5th
Next Best: #5 Alcomo 3-1 2nd
Best Value: #4 Eldaafer 12-1 3rd


9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Runnin On Guilt 3-1 WON
Next Best: #1 Saarlandisourland 9-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Asscher Cut 20-1 6th
Super Add: #5 Wonsome 5-1 7th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-9
7: 4-13-15
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 1-7

3x3x4x2 = $72

$1 P4 (1-15-2-7) Paid $1,040.50


Good luck!
Steve

Kasept 05-07-2009 10:34 AM

4

1 (poe) Strike the Bell Early OFF TURF
1A To the Point (ARG) Early
3 Recollect Early
8 Driven Snow Early
9 Empire West Early


5

1A Sweet Bama Breeze Early OFF TURF
3 Zip by You Early
4 Sextant Early
8 Way to Karakorum Early


6

1 (poe) Prince of Iron Early
6 Band of Thunder Early
7 Pirate King Early
8 Johns Grooms Early


7

1 Can't Refuse Early OFF TURF / NO SUPERFECTA
2 Iron Curtain Early
3 Thunder Minister Early
6 Dr. Decter Early
7 Bagavond Early
10 Silver Timber Early
12 Prince of Peace Early
14 Little Wise Guy Early


8

1 Alaazo Early
6 Critical Acclaim Early


9

2 Crimsons Gold Early
10 Buea Walnut Early

viscount26 05-07-2009 11:56 AM

Steve
Pick 4 numbers should read
4,13,15. In the 7th
They are correct is the race picks

dellinger63 05-07-2009 01:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
Steve
Pick 4 numbers should read
4,13,15. In the 7th
They are correct is the race picks

did u get the tone?

Kasept 05-07-2009 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
Steve
Pick 4 numbers should read
4,13,15. In the 7th
They are correct is the race picks

Thx Ian! G/L today..

viscount26 05-07-2009 01:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63
did u get the tone?

No, check your pms

gales0678 05-07-2009 02:02 PM

Late p 4 try <$100

6)1,2,3,5,9,10
7)8,11,13,15
8)5
9)1,3,5,7

6x4x1x4 = $94 good luck , stay dry

dellinger63 05-07-2009 02:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by viscount26
No, check your pms

I did i'll try sending it again a bunch of others got it

gales0678 05-07-2009 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by gales0678
Late p 4 try <$100

6)1,2,3,5,9,10
7)8,11,13,15
8)5
9)1,3,5,7

6x4x1x4 = $94 good luck , stay dry

saver exacta with the nice px's already in from the 6th and 7th

$50 ex 3/5

gales0678 05-07-2009 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
9th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 1m (Super)

Most Likely: #7 Runnin On Guilt 3-1
Next Best: #1 Saarlandisourland 9-2
Best Value: #8 Asscher Cut 20-1
Super Add: #5 Wonsome 5-1


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-9
7: 4-13-15
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 1-7

3x3x4x2 = $72


Good luck!
Steve

steve g/l in the last race , i thought i was going to get my single through !

pmacdaddy 05-07-2009 04:31 PM

Nice job on pk4 Steve. Welcome back to NY!

I needed Alcomo over Atoned in feature.

Congrats.

cassie 05-07-2009 04:32 PM

followed your pick 4 saved what was a bad day thanks:)

jms62 05-07-2009 04:33 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Got back $505 on 2 consolations for $216 Churchill P6 play when pair of top choices failed in marathon feature Wednesday. Coming into the day down $100, the sextet result put me exactly even for the sum of the "Derby experience". But it was hard to swallow the 5 of 6 beat seeing the $33,000 return the sequence produced. As discussed at Derby Trail and on ATR, a short field of four going 11f frequently produces odd pace scenarios, and Leparoux gave the Michelle Nihei-trained winner a heady ride. The race was a good spot for the all button, but that would have strained the budget. Hope you did well...

Finally am turning attention back to New York today, though as NYRA's Andy Serling reported last night, they will be off the turf today at Belmont. With the meat of the New York season now ahead of us, need to catch up on the 'senior circuit' quickly after focusing outside the NY ovals for nearly a month.


BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 1-4-9
7: 4-13-15
8: 2-3-4-5
9: 1-7

3x3x4x2 = $72

$1 P4 (1-15-2-7) Paid $1,040.50


Good luck!
Steve

Maybe you should concentrate on New York More often... Congrats:$:

pointman 05-07-2009 04:34 PM

Nice job Steve!!

declansharbor 05-07-2009 04:35 PM

Steve, great job! Way to go, esp. trying to beat the fave in the feature!

ninetoone 05-07-2009 04:42 PM

Excellent!

Kasept 05-07-2009 05:16 PM

Thx all...! That was a fun run on a day where I didn't feel like I capped that well. Nice to have ticket structure work out when the opinion was mediocre.

hoovesupsideyourhead 05-07-2009 05:21 PM

nice job steve

geeker2 05-07-2009 05:58 PM

Steve great job-

quote of the day " he's a little loose in the corner" classic!

sdjcom 05-07-2009 07:01 PM

PK 6 next
 
Steve just seen your play today, very nice, you know what's coming next.


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