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-   -   The real party of NO, the GOP, steps it up (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=39808)

Riot 12-06-2010 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Patrick333 (Post 730913)
Well said..
:tro:

It's right out of the Reaganomics playbook, and "trickle-down economics" didn't work then, didn't work during Bush II, and won't magically and suddenly work now.

In fact, David Stockmann - Reagans economic adviser, one of the creators of Reaganomics - has been making the rounds, he is completely against extending the tax cut for the rich. And in favor of a long-term extension of unemployment benefits.

Riot 12-06-2010 04:39 PM

The Tax Deal
 
Not a done deal yet, but what is being reported this afternoon (and it's nice to see the GOP start to "compromise" for the first time in 2 years, although their compromise essentially lays in seemingly agreeing not to keep beating the shiat out of Obama and keep taking his lunch money). And it is notable that the most important thing to the GOP, the hill they die on, is pleasing the wealthy.

Update: must be done deal, WH announcement at 6:10pm tonight.

Quote:

That said, the contours of an final package emerged with more detail than ever before. While it's clear that the White House gave in on its main front -- the desire to let the tax levels for the upper-income levels revert to pre-Bush rates -- administration officials claimed that they were able to secure major victories in return.

In exchange for allowing those rates to continue for two years, Republicans agreed to extend unemployment insurance for an additional 13 months, to offer a two-percent employee side payroll tax credit (at a cost of about $120 billion), and $40 billion in tax breaks for families and students (including a $1,000 child tax credit extended for two years and an expansion of the earned income tax credit)

Finally, the final deal would include a 100% expensing for businesses to write off purchases of outdated equipment -- another key element of Obama's fiscal plans. There also would be a compromise on the estate tax, which will be set for two years at 35 percent, with a $5 million exemption amount, according to the Daily Caller, which first reported the arrangement.

Briefing The Huffington Post about the deal, which could be announced as early as Monday night, the two senior administration officials claimed that they were able to get more bang for their buck than previously imagined. The costs for the payroll tax holidays, UI and other refundable credits come in at roughly $215 billion over two years. The extensions of the income tax rates strictly for the wealthy is estimated to cost about $95 billion. All of it is unpaid for. But the former provisions are more stimulative than the latter.

Cannon Shell 12-06-2010 05:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731057)
You're ignoring that the GOP hasn't compromised in 2 years, and the GOP still hasn't compromised one whit, while Obama compromises before negotiations begin, then does it again. Compromise takes two sides. The GOP has yet to step up in two years.

Yes, the left is quite fed up with Obama giving in over and over again to the GOP, and he'll face a progressive primary challenge if he doesn't turn it around.

Despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary you continue to promote falsehoods.

The GOP didn't compromise in this deal with the White house? Uh sure they didn't.

Obama has given in to the GOP time and time again? On what exactly?

The liberal mindset is that you aren't compromising unless you are capitulating.

Nothing would be better for the GOP and worse for the Demorats than a primary challenge for Obama from someone MORE liberal than he is.

Riot 12-06-2010 05:53 PM

Quote:

Despite overwhelming evidence to the contrary you continue to promote falsehoods.
Excuse me? I suggest you pay a little more attention to politics on a daily basis. You're obviously clueless as to what the Republicans have been doing - and not doing - for the past two years. You want to know what exactly that is? Try looking at the Senate voting record for the past two years.

You think the GOP has been compromising for two years? You there there is overwhelming evidence of this? BAWAAAHAAAAA Go ahead - produce it.

And you still haven't been able to produce any economists to support your absurd contention that unemployment benefits don't put cash into the economy, don't immediately help the economy, don't prevent loss of jobs (for grocers, etc).

Cannon Shell 12-06-2010 05:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731111)
Excuse me? I suggest you pay a little more attention to politics on a daily basis. You're obviously clueless as to what the Republicans have been doing - and not doing - for the past two years. You want to know what exactly that is? Try looking at the Senate voting record for the past two years.

You think the GOP has been compromising for two years? BAWAAAHAAAAA

But Obama gives them too much?

So The GOP blocks everything and yet Obama bend over for them?

I guess (if it were true) that the GOP strategy was a good one?

Riot 12-06-2010 06:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 731113)
But Obama gives them too much?

So The GOP blocks everything and yet Obama bend over for them?

I guess (if it were true) that the GOP strategy was a good one?

Yup. That is true, it is exactly what Obama has been doing. He gave away single payer for the health bill, that angered his base, and last week, when he proactively came out and said, before negotiations, that he'd extend all the Bush tax cuts for two years, his base went crazy. Don't forget one of his biggest campaign promises was not to extend that. Period.

BTW, this "deal" Obama made with the Senate may yet fall apart. All tax bills must come first from the House, anyway. Pelosi told Obama that some of her members are definitely not on board. There are GOP senators starting to publically defect on extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, in favor of deficit reduction. The progressive wing of the House wants to hold the line at 1 million for tax cut extensions, period.

Cannon Shell 12-06-2010 06:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731117)
Yup. That is true, it is exactly what Obama has been doing. He gave away single payer for the health bill, that angered his base, and last week, when he proactively came out and said, before negotiations, that he'd extend all the Bush tax cuts for two years, his base went crazy. Don't forget one of his biggest campaign promises was not to extend that. Period.

BTW, this "deal" Obama made with the Senate may yet fall apart. All tax bills must come first from the House, anyway. Pelosi told Obama that some of her members are definitely not on board. There are GOP senators starting to publically defect on extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, in favor of deficit reduction. The progressive wing of the House wants to hold the line at 1 million for tax cut extensions, period.

He gave away single payer? LOL. I guess you forgot that the obamacare debacle passed by a slim margin after buying off the skeptical. Single payer had no chance. Zero.

He said he would pass all the Bush tax ententions last week? Really? Did you see this on a wikileaks cable?

He has broken a lot of campaign promises but that isnt anything new for any politician. They say things to get elected and then once in office do things to stay elected. Hardly a big deal. How is Guantanamo working out?

If this deal doesnt get done it will be squarely on the shoulders of the Democrats. The GOP compromised and there is a fair deal that helps everyone, at least for a little while. Pelosi is a gift to the GOP that keeps on giving. She gave them the last election and is poised to give them the next one too. All in the name of redistribution!!!

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 731133)
He gave away single payer? LOL. I guess you forgot that the obamacare debacle passed by a slim margin after buying off the skeptical. Single payer had no chance. Zero.

He said he would pass all the Bush tax ententions last week? Really? Did you see this on a wikileaks cable?

He has broken a lot of campaign promises but that isnt anything new for any politician. They say things to get elected and then once in office do things to stay elected. Hardly a big deal. How is Guantanamo working out?

If this deal doesnt get done it will be squarely on the shoulders of the Democrats. The GOP compromised and there is a fair deal that helps everyone, at least for a little while. Pelosi is a gift to the GOP that keeps on giving. She gave them the last election and is poised to give them the next one too. All in the name of redistribution!!!

pelosi = free gop votes..instead of empowering her still[ gutsiest move ive ever seen mav]they should be acting like she was the problem and exile her to
the most limited access possible. but they dont and wont..more free votes for gop..keep up the good work!! lol

Riot 12-06-2010 07:03 PM

Quote:

He gave away single payer? LOL. I guess you forgot that the obamacare debacle passed by a slim margin after buying off the skeptical. Single payer had no chance. Zero.
Single payer was overwhelmingly supported by 70% of the public at the start of the healthcare debate.

Then the lies started about "death panels".

Quote:

He said he would pass all the Bush tax ententions last week? Really? Did you see this on a wikileaks cable?
You really don't pay much attention to politics on a daily basis, do you?

Actually it was well before that. Here's the quote from November 6th:

"The White House signaled Wednesday that President Barack Obama is ready to cut a deal on the Bush-era tax cuts — accepting a temporary extension of the cuts for the wealthiest Americans to win renewal of tax breaks for middle-class taxpayers."

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44990.html and elsewhere.

Quote:

If this deal doesnt get done it will be squarely on the shoulders of the Democrats.
Not in the eyes of his base. We'll see.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 07:04 PM

the jack booted thugs at the gop have done it again..you have to admit riot.your in deep trouble and it will only get worse as the jobs forcast thats not faked in some chart becomes more and more in view. people dont have 'hope' and they are sick of 1/2 'change'

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 07:09 PM

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1210/46019.html

i like this one..bush as the us was fed up with him still had more juice than
obama..hmm

Riot 12-06-2010 07:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 731143)
the jack booted thugs at the gop have done it again..you have to admit riot.your in deep trouble and it will only get worse as the jobs forcast thats not faked in some chart becomes more and more in view. people dont have 'hope' and they are sick of 1/2 'change'

I'm not happy at all Obama caved on tax cuts for the rich. What happened to all the deficit hawks on the right, too? The deficit, and the unemployed American, turns out to be far less important than supporting the wealthy for the GOP. Good luck with that in 2012. The left will run a progressive against Obama's weak centrist position in the primaries at this point.

I've watched and supported the GOP for decades. They have failed me again, and again, and again. And the current incarnation of the GOP is a joke of itself. The GOP now is what used to be just the far right crazy wing of the 1980's. They don't even accept social programs that Reagan or Nixon promoted at this point. And their fiscal irresponsibility reached unimaginable new heights during Bush II.

Riot 12-06-2010 07:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 731144)
http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1210/46019.html

i like this one..bush as the us was fed up with him still had more juice than
obama..hmm

Do you like "all" of the article you quote?

Quote:

Still, Bush’s 51 percent disapproval rating means he’s only one of two U.S. presidents in the past 50 years whose disapproval exceeds approval. The other is Richard Nixon, who resigned in disgrace 36 years ago and whose approval rating stands at 29 percent.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 07:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731146)
I'm not happy at all Obama caved on tax cuts for the rich. What happened to all the deficit hawks on the right, too? The deficit, and the unemployed American, turns out to be far less important than supporting the wealthy for the GOP. Good luck with that in 2012. The left will run a progressive against Obama's weak centrist position in the primaries at this point.

I've watched and supported the GOP for decades. They have failed me again, and again, and again. And the current incarnation of the GOP is a joke of itself. The GOP now is what used to be just the far right crazy wing of the 1980's. They don't even accept social programs that Reagan or Nixon promoted at this point. And their fiscal irresponsibility reached unimaginable new heights during Bush II.

wow did you read what you wrote..the unemployed american may get a new job now..even socalist need jobs at some point..we like to call it ..get off the couch economics.

Riot 12-06-2010 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 731150)
wow did you read what you wrote..the unemployed american may get a new job now..even socalist need jobs at some point..we like to call it ..get off the couch economics.

In what fantasy world do you think that extending tax cuts, the same tax cuts that have been present during the loss of 800,000 jobs since 2001 and 2003, will magically create jobs?

"Trickle down economics" didn't work for Reagan (his deficit deepened), they didn't work for Bush, and they are not magically going to work now.

As I said before, even Reagan's economic advisor, Mr. Trickle Down himself David Stockmann, says do NOT increase the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy, it's bad for the economy!

Let's hope there are tons of jobs suddenly created with the next 2 years, for the GOP's sake. Because the sunset on these tax cuts, if passed, will be right in the middle of the election. Actually, we need 4 million jobs right now, because that's who is losing their jobless benefits in December that this "deal" won't cover.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 07:50 PM

without calling names..and its hard..if the wealthier people ie small owners dont keep the tax breaks they have there is no way they will hire new or stay at least the way they are..do you agree..

dellinger63 12-06-2010 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731152)
In what fantasy world do you think that extending tax cuts, the same tax cuts that have been present during the loss of 800,000 jobs since 2001 and 2003, will magically create jobs?.

I would think revenue is an indicator of jobs.

Ten Myths About the Bush Tax Cuts-and the Facts

Myth #1: Tax revenues remain low.
Fact: Tax revenues are above the historical average, even after the tax cuts.

Myth #2: The Bush tax cuts substantially reduced 2006 revenues and expanded the budget deficit.
Fact: Nearly all of the 2006 budget deficit resulted from additional spending above the baseline.

Myth #3: Supply-side economics assumes that all tax cuts immediately pay for themselves.
Fact: It assumes replenishment of some but not necessarily all lost revenues.

Myth #4: Capital gains tax cuts do not pay for themselves.
Fact: Capital gains tax revenues doubled following the 2003 tax cut.

Myth #5: The Bush tax cuts are to blame for the projected long-term budget deficits.
Fact: Projections show that entitlement costs will dwarf the projected large revenue increases.

Myth #6: Raising tax rates is the best way to raise revenue.
Fact: Tax revenues correlate with economic growth, not tax rates.

Myth #7: Reversing the upper-income tax cuts would raise substantial revenues.
Fact: The low-income tax cuts reduced revenues the most.

Myth #8: Tax cuts help the economy by "putting money in people's pockets."
Fact: Pro-growth tax cuts support incentives for productive behavior.

Myth #9: The Bush tax cuts have not helped the economy.
Fact: The economy responded strongly to the 2003 tax cuts.

Myth #10: The Bush tax cuts were tilted toward the rich.
Fact: The rich are now shouldering even more of the income tax burden.

http://www.heritage.org/research/rep...-bush-tax-cuts

Riot 12-06-2010 07:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 731156)
without calling names..and its hard..if the wealthier people ie small owners dont keep the tax breaks they have there is no way they will hire new or stay at least the way they are..do you agree..

I just googled and searched, and I could not find one economist who said extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest would create jobs. I did find where even Dick Cheney says they do not :D But he's not an economist.

Find me one economist that says this is true, that the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy will create jobs.

I can find 20 that say not to do it. Find me one that says it's a good idea. Go ahead, convince me to change my mind.

Tax cuts that reward putting money in a business owners pocket does not make that person chose to rather invest it into his business. It takes money out of the business. People do not hire more, produce more, make more capital investment until the consumer demand is there, first. They do not do any of that just because they have a little extra money in their pocket. That's a good way to go broke - have more business than you have demand for!

And let's get straight what the "wealthiest" pay in taxes: it averages about 17-18% (because they have deductions and accountants and tax shelters). And the tax cuts for those up to $250K? That is on adjusted gross, not gross. So extending tax cuts up $250 covers people whose gross is up to $300 at least.

----------------------
And this appears to NOT be a done deal in the House:
Quote:

Rep. Peter Welch (D-Vt.) circulated a letter to his colleagues urging them to oppose the deal on grounds that it is "fiscally irresponsible." Addressed to House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.), the letter reads as follows:

Quote:

We oppose acceding to Republican demands to extend the Bush tax cuts to millionaires and billionaires for two reasons.

First, it is fiscally irresponsible. Adding $700 billion to our national debt, as this proposal would do, handcuffs our ability to offer a balanced plan to achieve fiscal stability without a punishing effect on our current commitments, including Social Security and Medicare.

Second, it is grossly unfair. This proposal will hurt, not help, the majority of Americans in the middle class and those working hard to get there. Even as Republicans seek to add $700 billion to our national debt, they oppose extending unemployment benefits to workers and resist COLA increases to seniors.

Without a doubt, the very same people who support this addition to our debt will oppose raising the debt ceiling to pay for it.

We support extending tax cuts in full to 98 percent of American taxpayers, as the President initially proposed. He should not back down. Nor should we.
A staffer for the congressman said that he was sending the letter to all Democratic offices and would be announcing co-signatories likely tomorrow. Opposition to the measure within the halls of Congress is abundantly clear. The Huffington Post's Howard Fineman reported that House Democrats could pose a problem for a potential deal over the weekend. And a "Democratic congressional source" told CNN on Monday that "we won't rubber stamp a deal between the White House and [Senate Minority Leader] Mitch McConnell...we want to make it clear. Don't take our support for granted."

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-06-2010 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731163)
I just googled and searched, and I could not find one economist who said extending the Bush tax cuts for the wealthiest would create jobs. I did find where even Dick Cheney says they do not :D But he's not an economist.

Find me one economist that says this is true, that the Bush tax cuts for the wealthy will create jobs.

I can find 20 that say not to do it. Find me one that says it's a good idea. Go ahead, convince me to change my mind.

Tax cuts that reward putting money in a business owners pocket does not make that person chose to rather invest it into his business. It takes money out of the business. People do not hire more, produce more, make more capital investment until the consumer demand is there, first. They do not do any of that just because they have a little extra money in their pocket. That's a good way to go broke - have more business than you have demand for!

And let's get straight what the "wealthiest" pay in taxes: it averages about 17-18% (because they have deductions and accountants and tax shelters). And the tax cuts for those up to $250K? That is on adjusted gross, not gross. So extending tax cuts up $250 covers people whose gross is up to $300 at least.

----------------------
And this appears to NOT be a done deal in the House:

ok lets say you are a small busness owner with some of your own money invested. you have 4 employees.and not making head way you keep employee number 4 on because hes loyal shows up on time ect. now if you lose your tax break. what happens.. hes gone period..you down size..in hopes of the big economic bounce back your waiting for..and waiting for..now this owner may make 300k or higher..whats good about this picture.
there arent enough chairs..

Riot 12-06-2010 09:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead (Post 731208)
ok lets say you are a small busness owner with some of your own money invested. you have 4 employees.and not making head way you keep employee number 4 on because hes loyal shows up on time ect. now if you lose your tax break. what happens.. hes gone period..you down size..in hopes of the big economic bounce back your waiting for..and waiting for..now this owner may make 300k or higher..whats good about this picture.
there arent enough chairs..

As an experienced small business owner I'll say the mistake in your business scenario above is that it's unrealistic: keeping on one employee too many when "you're not making headway". That's a very bad business decision. You don't run a business as a charity. Losing a small tax break has zero to do with that poorly run business in the example. It was doomed with the much larger expense of an employee the business couldn't afford.

And any owner taking out $300K from a business that "isn't making head way" is a complete moron. "Some" of your own money invested? Try all of it. That's how small businesses work.

Look at this "deal" that Obama has made - first, it is all unfunded. All of it.

Secondly, look at what was important to the GOP: they voted no on tax cuts to the middle class, they voted no on tax cuts for those up to a million, they voted yes only for tax cuts to those millionaires and above. They voted yes for lowering the estate tax from 55% to 35%. Where are the GOP priorities? Not jobs, not deficit reduction, not the unemployed. Only with concerns of the wealthy.

Aside from the above, it's a massive unfunded stimulus bill (payroll tax deductions, unemployment, etc) Now, I've already seen details that say it should generate about 176 billion in stimulus, which is a good, job creating thing.

But the key is "unfunded". Adding to the deficit. The tax cut for those earning over 1 million should be thrown out to help fund this.

SOREHOOF 12-07-2010 04:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63 (Post 731158)
I would think revenue is an indicator of jobs.

Ten Myths About the Bush Tax Cuts-and the Facts

Myth #1: Tax revenues remain low.
Fact: Tax revenues are above the historical average, even after the tax cuts.

Myth #2: The Bush tax cuts substantially reduced 2006 revenues and expanded the budget deficit.
Fact: Nearly all of the 2006 budget deficit resulted from additional spending above the baseline.

Myth #3: Supply-side economics assumes that all tax cuts immediately pay for themselves.
Fact: It assumes replenishment of some but not necessarily all lost revenues.

Myth #4: Capital gains tax cuts do not pay for themselves.
Fact: Capital gains tax revenues doubled following the 2003 tax cut.

Myth #5: The Bush tax cuts are to blame for the projected long-term budget deficits.
Fact: Projections show that entitlement costs will dwarf the projected large revenue increases.

Myth #6: Raising tax rates is the best way to raise revenue.
Fact: Tax revenues correlate with economic growth, not tax rates.

Myth #7: Reversing the upper-income tax cuts would raise substantial revenues.
Fact: The low-income tax cuts reduced revenues the most.

Myth #8: Tax cuts help the economy by "putting money in people's pockets."
Fact: Pro-growth tax cuts support incentives for productive behavior.

Myth #9: The Bush tax cuts have not helped the economy.
Fact: The economy responded strongly to the 2003 tax cuts.

Myth #10: The Bush tax cuts were tilted toward the rich.
Fact: The rich are now shouldering even more of the income tax burden.

http://www.heritage.org/research/rep...-bush-tax-cuts

It's not about facts. It's not about increasing revenue either.

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 08:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731142)
Single payer was overwhelmingly supported by 70% of the public at the start of the healthcare debate.

Then the lies started about "death panels".



You really don't pay much attention to politics on a daily basis, do you?

Actually it was well before that. Here's the quote from November 6th:

"The White House signaled Wednesday that President Barack Obama is ready to cut a deal on the Bush-era tax cuts — accepting a temporary extension of the cuts for the wealthiest Americans to win renewal of tax breaks for middle-class taxpayers."

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1110/44990.html and elsewhere.



Not in the eyes of his base. We'll see.

While admitting that I doubt the accuracy of your 70% number, I didn't know that the public was going to be voting on the measure. They had a majority in the House, Senate and Presidency and single payer was never close except in the wet dreams of the huffington crowd.

Uh your quote says "is ready to cut a deal". It isnt as though he was passing them as a matter of policy. He was negotiating. You know like give and take? It is part of being a politician.

His base? He won the election because he captured (tricked?)disgruntled Republicans and independents. Does anyone seriously believe that the lefties are going to try to run some schmuck like Feinstein against him? Or that they will suddenly vote against him in the 2012 election?

He is finally making deals that can only benefit him. The left is voting for him anyway, he can claim that he is a compromiser which is what indy's want and he can claim victory if the economy moves in the right direction and can blame the GOP for forcing this policy on him if the economy tanks.

Riot 12-07-2010 01:05 PM

The point of the healthcare debate is that Obama started too far towards compromise. Just like he did before this, saying he's willing to extend tax cuts for the rich before negotiations even started.

Obama got a second massive stimulus bill out of this, which will certainly help the economy and jobs, but nothing here is paid for. Nothing. I think that is a huge mistake.

I hope the House progressives holds out for eliminating tax cuts for those over 1 million just to pay for half of it. Shoot, go for 2 million. That'll still pay for nearly half of it.

The small business community should be far more thrilled with what Obama did here for them, than what the GOP did for the minority of the richest (making sure millionaires and billionaires keep their extra $25,000 a year).

Here's a reasonable summation from YahooFinance (Greg somebody, their financial columnist)

Quote:

It's taken two years, but President Obama and Congressional Republicans may finally have found something they can agree on. Over the weekend, the contours of a deal on taxes emerged, and Obama announced details of the compromise Monday evening. The existing tax rates on income and investments will stay where they are for the next two years, rather than rise on January 1. In return, President Obama won a bunch of concessions on short-term fiscal stimulus.

To a large degree, the deal represents a shift in strategy and tactics by the White House. But this isn't a sign of Obama tacking to the center, or even triangulating between Democrats and Republicans. It's a sign of Obama tacking toward reality. For the past two years, Obama & Co. had wagered that simply governing, proposing, and enacting solutions to long-term problems (health care, the bankruptcy of most of the domestic auto industry and financial sector) and presiding over incremental improvements from the horrible situation they inherited would be sufficient to maintain popularity and prospects for re-election. That theory came apart with the big losses in November.

Once the shock of the November election wore off, Obama recognized that the slow pace of recovery and jobs growth are the greatest threats to a second presidential term. And so he was eager to cut a deal on taxes. Never mind that the tax cuts were designed to expire at the end of this year. And never mind that keeping them intact on the highest earners would have little impact on overall economic growth. His problem is that he believes — and virtually every economist agrees — that the economy needs more stimulus. But throughout 2010, even with Democratic control of both Houses of Congress, the administration found that further fiscal stimulus was foreclosed. Tax credits for new jobs and extended unemployment benefits were stymied by the willingness of the Republican Senate caucus to hold once-routine measures hostage. That left the Federal Reserve, with its dwindling ammunition and credibility, as the sole stimulative force. And as recent experience has shown, allowing banks to borrow money more cheaply doesn't quickly filter into more hiring and more consumer spending.

Since January 2009, Republicans, time and again, have proven willing to vote against legislative items they once supported — on health care, on the environment, on weapons control — simply because they thought their passage would benefit Democrats politically. But there's one thing Republicans care about more than anything: lower taxes, especially for the wealthy. By caving to the Republicans on marginal income tax rates, Obama was able to extract the short-term, largely progressive stimulus he badly needs.

Republicans signed off on a payroll tax holiday, reducing the Social Security tax from 6.2 percent to 4.2 percent for 2011. Because the tax is regressive — it falls on the first $100,000 or so of all payroll income — this is a progressive tax cut. It puts money into the hands of all workers instantly, and could provide $120 billion in stimulus in 2011. As Charles Babington of the Associated Press noted: "More than three-fourths of all Americans pay more in these so-called payroll taxes than in federal income taxes."

Republicans also agreed to the payment of extended unemployment benefits through the end of 2011. This represents an important source of cash for people at lower income levels. More important, it takes an item of perpetual disagreement off the table for 12 months. Every time Republicans stonewalled extension, it made the White House look impotent.

Businesses were also given a sweetener — next year they can write off 100 percent of new investments in capital goods, up from 50 percent this year. Taken together, these three items should spur additional spending, investment, and — it's hoped — jobs in 2011.

(Aside from corporations, the only people who will have to make substantial changes in tax preparation in 2011 are the handful of folks who expect to leave estates valued at more than $5 million. The proposed deal would ward off a sharp increase in the estate tax, and have only the portion of estates worth more than $5 million be taxed at a 35 percent rate.)

At root, the willingness to deal illustrates a point the punditocracy largely misses. To a large degree, electoral success is a function of macroeconomic success. The work of political scientists like John Sides and Seth Masket convincingly shows a marked connection between economic performance and the degree to which voters are willing to reward incumbents. Economist Ray Fair of Yale University has models that predict, with a good deal of accuracy, the outcomes of presidential and Congressional elections based on a model that includes data on GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment. Simply put, when economic growth has been above trend in the quarters leading up to an election, and inflation is low, the incumbent usually wins.

So what would seem to be a new step toward bipartisanship is in fact partisanship by other means. Obama is gambling that the risk he takes by angering his own base is worth the reward of potentially higher growth in 2011 and 2012. Macroeconomic Advisers, one of the forecasters I trust the most, now projects growth of 3.7 percent for 2011 and 4.0 percent for 2012. Should that come good, it would boost President Obama's re-election prospects much more than if he were to go on an Outward Bound expedition with Mitch McConnell and John Boehner.

The deal will present a new set of problems. Republicans will take credit for stopping tax hikes, but pin responsibility for the much larger deficits on Obama. They'll continue to filibuster everything in Washington, including the buffet in the Senate dining room. That's just how they roll.

What's more, the extensions are for two years, meaning they will come up again in the fall of 2012 and early 2013. Obama's making a wager that this deal makes it more likely he'll be president when the time comes to cut the next deal on tax rates.

dellinger63 12-07-2010 01:31 PM

Please stop this guy from trying to save us money. He backs down from raising taxes on the rich (even though he said we could not afford to do so) and now robs from social security, lowers payroll taxes and a whole slew of other add on's at a cost of $900 Billion More?

Please go back to India.

The package would cost about $900 billion over the next two years, to be financed entirely by adding to the national debt, at a time when both parties are professing a desire to begin addressing long-term fiscal imbalances.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/40545954

dellinger63 12-07-2010 01:34 PM

Maybe he simply needs to be told we need program cuts of 900 billion?

Antitrust32 12-07-2010 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63 (Post 731487)
Please stop this guy from trying to save us money. He backs down from raising taxes on the rich (even though he said we could not afford to do so) and now robs from social security, lowers payroll taxes and a whole slew of other add on's at a cost of $900 Billion More?

Please go back to India.

The package would cost about $900 billion over the next two years, to be financed entirely by adding to the national debt, at a time when both parties are professing a desire to begin addressing long-term fiscal imbalances.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/40545954

the vast majority of that 900b is from not allowing the 250k and up tax cut to expire, but you knew that.

jms62 12-07-2010 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63 (Post 731487)
Please stop this guy from trying to save us money. He backs down from raising taxes on the rich (even though he said we could not afford to do so) and now robs from social security, lowers payroll taxes and a whole slew of other add on's at a cost of $900 Billion More?

Please go back to India.

The package would cost about $900 billion over the next two years, to be financed entirely by adding to the national debt, at a time when both parties are professing a desire to begin addressing long-term fiscal imbalances.

http://www.cnbc.com/id/40545954

You simply can't raise or lower taxes when you are in a depression and carrying all this debt. Is it a desperate attempt to even have an iota of a chance of getting re-elcted?

dellinger63 12-07-2010 02:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 731508)
the vast majority of that 900b is from not allowing the 250k and up tax cut to expire, but you knew that.


From Huffington via NY Times

"$60 Billion: The approximate amount that extending the Bush tax cuts on income above $250,000 a year -- which Congress seems on the verge of doing -- will cost a year, in inflation-adjusted terms."

So instead of swallowing the $60 billion per year or $120 for 2. He adds $780 billion to even things out?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/1..._n_792140.html

Antitrust32 12-07-2010 03:58 PM

are you upset that the 6.2% the gov takes out of your paycheck for SS will be reduced 2% for a year?

I love that. I really am not interested in paying for your retirement when I will never see that money in return.

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 04:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dellinger63 (Post 731511)
From Huffington via NY Times

"$60 Billion: The approximate amount that extending the Bush tax cuts on income above $250,000 a year -- which Congress seems on the verge of doing -- will cost a year, in inflation-adjusted terms."

So instead of swallowing the $60 billion per year or $120 for 2. He adds $780 billion to even things out?

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2010/1..._n_792140.html

Counting money not collected is money lost is only available to the govt.

In simple terms, if you make 200k a year and now your taxes arent goig to be raised 3%, the govt says it lost 6 k on you even though they never had that money. Imagine if we could do that?

The problem with our govt isnt that it collects too little, the problem is it spends too much.

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 731517)
are you upset that the 6.2% the gov takes out of your paycheck for SS will be reduced 2% for a year?

I love that. I really am not interested in paying for your retirement when I will never see that money in return.

An entitlement program for the working!!!

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 04:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Riot (Post 731477)
The point of the healthcare debate is that Obama started too far towards compromise. Just like he did before this, saying he's willing to extend tax cuts for the rich before negotiations even started.

Obama got a second massive stimulus bill out of this, which will certainly help the economy and jobs, but nothing here is paid for. Nothing. I think that is a huge mistake.

I hope the House progressives holds out for eliminating tax cuts for those over 1 million just to pay for half of it. Shoot, go for 2 million. That'll still pay for nearly half of it.

The small business community should be far more thrilled with what Obama did here for them, than what the GOP did for the minority of the richest (making sure millionaires and billionaires keep their extra $25,000 a year).
Here's a reasonable summation from YahooFinance (Greg somebody, their financial columnist)

LOL

oh ok. Now it was all Obama's idea?

Antitrust32 12-07-2010 04:11 PM

Unemployment
 
Since people are allowed to collect unemployment for just about ever it seems, there should be a rule added to unemployment.

If you are collecting unemployment (meaning you do not have a job), you must complete 80 hours of community service per month to continue to collect. That leaves you another 80 business hours per month to find a job.

The only way you are exempt from the community service is if you are going to school full time while collecting.

So, you are either going to benifit the community through your work, or you will benefit the community by furthering your education. win/win for all involved.

you should also have to prove that you are actively looking for work. Make photocopies of applications that you have to submit if when you are asking for your free check.

Have a minimum of 20 applications per month to continue to get unemployment. If you didnt apply for 20 job, reduce the check that they get. allow them to only collect $100 per week if you arent actively job searching.

I have a few friends who are just taking advantage of this unlimited umemployment and it is really disheartening. One girl is even making 500 per week stripping "under the table" on top of collecting her check.. from the company she was fired from (not even layed off) in May 2009. its ridiculous (I let her know that every time i see her also)

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 04:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 731522)

One girl is even making 500 per week stripping "under the table" on top of collecting her check.. from the company she was fired from (not even layed off) in May 2009. its ridiculous (I let her know that every time i see her also)

I thought most strippers stood on top of tables?

Antitrust32 12-07-2010 04:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 731525)
I thought most strippers stood on top of tables?

true... and she looks very good doing it.. but i tell her to stop stealing my tax dollars!

dellinger63 12-07-2010 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 731525)
I thought most strippers stood on top of tables?

The real money is in the 'under the table' moves.

Antitrust32 12-07-2010 04:21 PM

so is this 13 month unemployment extension on TOP of the 99 weeks the unemployed already get?

can people really get 155 weeks of unemployment?

If that is the case... its sickening.

I know for a fact that a lot of umemployed refuse to find a job that will pay them similar to what they are getting in unemployment. they can get a job that pays $300 per week.. but dont take it cause they'd rather make $300 per week by doing nothing.

Lazy mofo's.. i wonder how many people are committing fraud against the system. If uncle sam finds out that you dont apply for jobs cause you make the same with unemployment.. you should be forced to pay back every cent you collected plus 15% interest... or go to a Siberian work camp.

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 04:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 731530)
Lazy mofo's.. i wonder how many people are committing fraud against the system. If uncle sam finds out that you dont apply for jobs cause you make the same with unemployment.. you should be forced to pay back every cent you collected plus 15% interest... or go to a Siberian work camp.

What difference does it make? The Democrats will find someone to give money to. As a matter of fact I hope Riot doesnt take your suggestion to her superiors at Daily Kos because next thing we know Pelosi will be creating another govt regulatory agency for a few hundred billion (unions backed naturally) that monitors the unemployed.

hoovesupsideyourhead 12-07-2010 04:48 PM

they should make familys that are on welfare for more than 6 months with more than 3 kids get fixed.

Cannon Shell 12-07-2010 07:52 PM

http://www.cnn.com/2010/OPINION/12/0...ss_igoogle_cnn


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