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-   -   Rachel to Monmouth on July 24... (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=36931)

Cannon Shell 07-07-2010 05:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 666227)
Do they though? If Shirreffs can call Rail Trip "the highest mountain" with a straight face, I doubt they're being honest with themselves about the slugs she's beating.

Aint no mountain higher.........on polytrack

Smooth Operator 07-08-2010 10:21 AM

If there is a God, QR will get beat next out…

Indian Charlie 07-08-2010 11:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator (Post 666388)
If there is a God, QR will get beat next out…

There isn't one.

He might anyways.

Smooth Operator 07-08-2010 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 666422)
There isn't one.

He might anyways.

Thought you were gunna kill yourself?

the_fat_man 07-08-2010 11:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 666227)
Do they though? If Shirreffs can call Rail Trip "the highest mountain" with a straight face, I doubt they're being honest with themselves about the slugs she's beating.

Exactly right, not like Z has turned in performances equal to the super horse QR. I mean, QR has had a year so far that rivals that of any of the alltime greats.

Let's review the 3 races:

1) 1/3/10 GP --- Holds off the superstar You and I Forever to win the Hal's Hope, going, well, 8F.

2) 2/6/10 GP (yet again :rolleyes:) --- Runs away from the likes of Dry Martini and Delightful Kiss --- WOWWWWWWWWWWWWWW -- to win the Don going 9F

3) 5/31/10 BEL 8F (yet again) --- superior performance here --- not only does he REPEL the PREMATURE MOVE of the SPRINTER Warrior's Reward but he actually has enough to easily hold off that certain Hall of Famer Musket Man (with the Dominguez last run). Moreover, Tizway run 3rd. wow, again :rolleyes:

Throw in the 2 performances last year going 10F against Summer Bird, where he mailed it in and his REFUSAL at the CLASSIC and you have a cinch Horse of the Year.

Now, notice, that DM, DK, WR, MM do, in fact, qualify as 'alltime greats'.

It'll be interesting come CLASSIC time at CD.

Coach Pants 07-08-2010 11:52 AM

So it's the "We suck less" argument.

alysheba4 07-08-2010 11:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerS (Post 666435)
if there is a god Rachel will trample Ryan Seacrest in the stretch

......yeah baby.

slotdirt 07-08-2010 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 666448)
Exactly right, not like Z has turned in performances equal to the super horse QR. I mean, QR has had a year so far that rivals that of any of the alltime greats.

Let's review the 3 races:

1) 1/3/10 GP --- Holds off the superstar You and I Forever to win the Hal's Hope, going, well, 8F.

2) 2/6/10 GP (yet again :rolleyes:) --- Runs away from the likes of Dry Martini and Delightful Kiss --- WOWWWWWWWWWWWWWW -- to win the Don going 9F

3) 5/31/10 BEL 8F (yet again) --- superior performance here --- not only does he REPEL the PREMATURE MOVE of the SPRINTER Warrior's Reward but he actually has enough to easily hold off that certain Hall of Famer Musket Man (with the Dominguez last run). Moreover, Tizway run 3rd. wow, again :rolleyes:

Throw in the 2 performances last year going 10F against Summer Bird, where he mailed it in and his REFUSAL at the CLASSIC and you have a cinch Horse of the Year.

Now, notice, that DM, DK, WR, MM do, in fact, qualify as 'alltime greats'.

It'll be interesting come CLASSIC time at CD.

97 percent of this post requires some kind of Fat Man glossary. Anybody got one?

Dahoss 07-08-2010 01:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 666448)
Throw in the 2 performances last year going 10F against Summer Bird, where he mailed it in and his REFUSAL at the CLASSIC and you have a cinch Horse of the Year.

What does what QR did last year have to do with his races this year?

Indian Charlie 07-08-2010 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Smooth Operator (Post 666447)
Thought you were gunna kill yourself?

I was on the verge, but I heard a voice telling me that Zenyatta was going to take a dump last night, so I decided I had something to live for. I found no reports of it however on ESPN, so now I'm kinda bummed.

Indian Charlie 07-08-2010 01:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 666515)
What does what QR did last year have to do with his races this year?

You must be new here.

Don't try logic with The Fat Man. He'll just have some veins pop in his head while he throws tomatoes at his computer screen, yelling what a retarded jockey you are, who can't even make it at a NYRA track, because poly is clearly better than anything NYRA has.

CSC 07-08-2010 02:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HomerS (Post 666435)
if there is a god Rachel will trample Ryan Seacrest in the stretch

Rachel meet Snookie, Snookie meet Rachel:




Thunder Gulch 07-08-2010 02:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 666515)
What does what QR did last year have to do with his races this year?

There are a handful here who can't comprehend the constant of change.

Smooth Operator 07-08-2010 02:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 666520)
I was on the verge, but I heard a voice telling me that Zenyatta was going to take a dump last night, so I decided I had something to live for. I found no reports of it however on ESPN, so now I'm kinda bummed.

Damn … was just about to start the 'Indian Charlie has died' thread

CSC 07-08-2010 03:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 666546)
There are a handful here who can't comprehend the constant of change.

This is a silly argument, if you are betting real money and you are looking at the past performances, you mean to tell me it isn't useful to look at what a horse has done prior to 2010? You are correct, some cannot comprehend the constant of logic.

the_fat_man 07-08-2010 03:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666586)
This is a silly argument, if you are betting real money and you are looking at the past performances, you mean to tell me it isn't useful to look at what a horse has done prior to 2010? You are correct, some cannot comprehend the constant of logic.

The horse showed last year it couldn't get 10F (on TWO occasions). This year the horse has been limited to 2 8F races and a 9F race on the speed favoring GP oval. And has yet to face a REAL horse. YET, the suggestion that last year's 10F races are relevant gets his supporters out in force. Funny how simple things seem to escape them. It'll be interesting to see how eager they all are to bet their money on him going 10F in the Classic, where he just might face some competition. Of course, this assumes he shows up for it. Not a done deal, at all. Last I heard the race was at CD not GP.

Dahoss 07-08-2010 03:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666586)
This is a silly argument, if you are betting real money and you are looking at the past performances, you mean to tell me it isn't useful to look at what a horse has done prior to 2010? You are correct, some cannot comprehend the constant of logic.

No one is talking about though. Of course when betting you would do that. But The Closeted Man was talking about what QR had done this year, then jumped to last year.

One has nothing to do with the other.

The Indomitable DrugS 07-08-2010 04:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 666515)
What does what QR did last year have to do with his races this year?

You do realize you're talking to Mr. 'great horses don't lose to Lorenzonis' ?

Someone who thinks Easy Goer couldn't be great because he lost a 2yo debut sprint.

slotdirt 07-08-2010 04:30 PM

I'd love to see a list of recent horses who couldn't win going 10f as 3YO's that run away going classic distances as older horses. I would think that list would be much longer than one would think.

cmorioles 07-08-2010 04:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 666628)
I'd love to see a list of recent horses who couldn't win going 10f as 3YO's that run away going classic distances as older horses. I would think that list would be much longer than one would think.

There are what, 3 races for 3yos going 10f or more that matter? So it would make sense the winner's of those races aren't going to win all the 10f and more races when older.

CSC 07-08-2010 04:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dahoss (Post 666606)
No one is talking about though. Of course when betting you would do that. But The Closeted Man was talking about what QR had done this year, then jumped to last year.

One has nothing to do with the other.

I understand what you are saying, however as horseplayers we have to use all of the information we have available to make that call. I am not convinced QR will be better at 1 1/4 than he is at 1 mile from what I have seen of him. I'm not even sure he will offer any value if he is classic bound. To me he represents a great opportunity as a bet against if he continues to win and lines up as the favorite in the Classic.

slotdirt 07-08-2010 04:40 PM

Understood. My point was that lots of horses improve from three to four, and just because a horse failed going 10 panels at three doesn't mean he/she can't win going the same distance a year later.

cmorioles 07-08-2010 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 666596)
The horse showed last year it couldn't get 10F (on TWO occasions). This year the horse has been limited to 2 8F races and a 9F race on the speed favoring GP oval. And has yet to face a REAL horse. YET, the suggestion that last year's 10F races are relevant gets his supporters out in force. Funny how simple things seem to escape them. It'll be interesting to see how eager they all are to bet their money on him going 10F in the Classic, where he just might face some competition. Of course, this assumes he shows up for it. Not a done deal, at all. Last I heard the race was at CD not GP.

Couldn't get 10f? One was off a layoff with nothing but a 6.5f prep and he was on a very fast pace and weakened very late, the other he ran very well to narrowly lose to the Belmont winner. That means he can't "get" 10f?

CSC 07-08-2010 04:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 666638)
Understood. My point was that lots of horses improve from three to four, and just because a horse failed going 10 panels at three doesn't mean he/she can't win going the same distance a year later.

Again, not to keep reiterating I understand the 3 to 4 improvement cycle. Some horses just strike you as classic distance horses, some more than others. Summer Bird was a horse you knew would be better once he stretched out in distance. I don't get that feeling with QR, maybe he does-maybe he doesn't. At what price does one take on him given his bet down tendacies?

ateamstupid 07-08-2010 04:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666636)
I understand what you are saying, however as horseplayers we have to use all of the information we have available to make that call. I am not convinced QR will be better at 1 1/4 than he is at 1 mile from what I have seen of him. I'm not even sure he will offer any value if he is classic bound. To me he represents a great opportunity as a bet against if he continues to win and lines up as the favorite in the Classic.

Just like the_manic_depressive_man, you're changing the subject. The discussion was about 2010 HOY and where they stand at this point. What QR did last year has absolutely nothing to do with that.

CSC 07-08-2010 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 666645)
Just like the_manic_depressive_man, you're changing the subject. The discussion was about 2010 HOY and where they stand at this point. What QR did last year has absolutely nothing to do with that.

Yep, unlike you, some don't have their lives revolve around who will be HOY.

If you don't know by now it means nothing to me or very little.

ateamstupid 07-08-2010 04:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666647)
Yep, unlike you, some don't have their lives revolve around who will be HOY.

If you don't know by now it means nothing to me or very little.

TMDM was the one who brought up HOY in a defense of Zenyatta's schedule, asshat. I don't really care what it means to you, but you jumped into a discussion about 2010 HOY started by one of your butt buddies and then started yammering about QR not being a horseplayer's horse or something.

CSC 07-08-2010 05:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 666648)
TMDM was the one who brought up HOY in a defense of Zenyatta's schedule, asshat. I don't really care what it means to you, but you jumped into a discussion about 2010 HOY started by one of your butt buddies and then started yammering about QR not being a horseplayer's horse or something.

This is the purpose of a horseracing forum, isn't it? Discussing betting angles, horses to bet for against or against...you know regular things you hear at the track. Whomever wins or doesn't win HOY doesn't put money in bettors hands.

BTW staying on topic is fine, if one tried to hijack a thread by introducing politics into a Rachel to Monmouth on July 24 thread. I don't know how QR winning HOY or not fits this thread also, and certainly you didn't object then. Maybe you are the one who is a delusional sux.

ateamstupid 07-08-2010 05:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666652)
Maybe you are the one who is a delusional sux.

Thanks for the new signature. Your move Nascar.

CSC 07-08-2010 05:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 666660)
Thanks for the new signature. Your move Nascar.

Your welcome, I hope it brings you some serene inner peace. Here's a smiley for you :)

Dahoss 07-08-2010 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC (Post 666636)
I understand what you are saying, however as horseplayers we have to use all of the information we have available to make that call. I am not convinced QR will be better at 1 1/4 than he is at 1 mile from what I have seen of him. I'm not even sure he will offer any value if he is classic bound. To me he represents a great opportunity as a bet against if he continues to win and lines up as the favorite in the Classic.

No I don't think you do understand what I'm saying. The Closeted Man wasn't talking about betting. No one was. He was going off on another one of his rants and what QR did last year had nothing to do with his performances last year.

That's something you Zenyattatards can't seem to grasp. What happened last year was last year.

Sure, I prefer betting discussions but not every discussion is about betting. TCM's post definitely wasn't.

slotdirt 07-08-2010 06:33 PM

Find me the person who "just knew" that Summer Bird was going to be anything last year even after the Derby. That's some very solid hindsight.

Danzig 07-08-2010 06:33 PM

so, QR got a third and a second at 10f last year, but he can't get 10f? he entered the travers off a layoff, and then one sprint. then he contested the lead early, and battled with summer bird late, before finishing second in the gold cup. but he can't 'get' 10f? i'd like to see him make a few more efforts at that distance. he may get a mile or so better than 10f, but i don't think it's a given he would lose at the classic distance in the future.


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